Fall 2019

[mempho]

She ain't dead yet, but she's close. Still a few 80+ degree days left in the forecast.

Meanwhile, there are areas in the upper Midwest (not mountains) that will likely pick up more snow in one early October storm than we'll pick up all winter.

How that happens amazes me.

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[mempho]

hear you ... I

[StormNine]

The longer-range looks kinda battleground ish.  The ridge won't go away but we have a vigorous northern stream and associated systems chomping at the bits to our northwest.  We may get some gulf moisture as well which will help those who really need the rain.

After a solid 2 inches of rain plus a surprise, 1 inch of rain at the end of September may yard is back to green and is growing again.  If the rains continue I may have to even mow it. 

[joemomma]

I'm holding off making my final mow of the year as long as I can.

[Bruce]

It won

[Thundersnow]

It won

[Greyhound]

...until... what exactly?

Grammar Lessons?

[Eric]

[StormNine]

The crashing -SOI has doomed any threat of a La Nina emerging this fall or winter.   

It is looking now like a Warm Neutral with even a shot at a late-blooming Nino like 2014-15.  Quite a swing in the ENSO department

[Clarksville Snowman]

Me and my mowing partner have 63 yards in Montgomery County and we are still cutting but it has slowed down. We have about 30-35 yards that I imagine will get mowed at least 2 more times a few maybe 3, we have another 28-30 yards that will probably need it just one more time. But that is not counting getting leaves up for my customers that usually gets me through most of November and some years even into the first week of December.

[joemomma]

Are we locked in on this cooler pattern at this point?

[StormNine]

https://www.winterparkresort.com/the-mountain/mountain-cams

[schneitzeit]

We made it, folks. We all survived the epic torchfest of 2019.

I hope you all are enjoying the nice weather!

[snowdog]

Are we locked in on this cooler pattern at this point?

No. Cooler than 90s yes but we will mostly stay at or above avg according to long range Euro.

This ridge just won't die. Also the MJO will stay in our warm phases through most of fall. Almost unheard of. About as bad a hand as mother nature could of dealt us this fall.

[joemomma]

Well I can deal with slightly above normal, but the 90s I'm done with.