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The problem recently we have been having is that it is extending into at least the first 1/3rd of October as well. I could tolerate a hot September but October is unacceptable. Also, I wonder if a lot of those years were drought years and therefore prone to intense temperature rises. Especially when you look at the lows (unless that is factoring in the Smoky Mountains) but I don't recall the last time I saw a sub-40 low in September. Drought years typically are prone to lower lows and higher highs just like an arid or semiarid climate. In a relatively wet year like 2019, I feel like we shouldn't be quite this warm. Post Merge: September 06, 2019, 07:52:37 PMThe telecommunication combo predicted in the next week or two of + PNA, slightly +NAO, and -AO wouldn't be that bad in the wintertime especially if other factors are at least neutral to favorable.
The problem recently we have been having is that it is extending into at least the first 1/3rd of October as well. I could tolerate a hot September but October is unacceptable. Also, I wonder if a lot of those years were drought years and therefore prone to intense temperature rises. Especially when you look at the lows (unless that is factoring in the Smoky Mountains) but I don't recall the last time I saw a sub-40 low in September. Drought years typically are prone to lower lows and higher highs just like an arid or semiarid climate. In a relatively wet year like 2019, I feel like we shouldn't be quite this warm. Post Merge: September 06, 2019, 02:52:37 PMThe telecommunication combo predicted in the next week or two of + PNA, slightly +NAO, and -AO wouldn't be that bad in the wintertime especially if other factors are at least neutral to favorable.
Look at the lows in October with quite a few years having a trace or more of snowfall.
exactly what I was going bring up... these 90s r slowly getting extended in part October ... before you know it ... we will be flirting with the 90 mark in November ......
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814analog.off.gifMega North America Ridge.Do notice the analogs. 2009, 2004, and 2005 appear 7 out of 10 times. That is quite impressive. People remember 2009-10, but they forget that Fall 2009 was very warm and with the latest freeze on record for Middle TN. That is not to say that our winter will be like 2009-10. In matter of fact if you had to choose one especially from an ENSO standpoint then one would choose 2005. If that is the case then we could be set for a few tropical threats plus an epic and potentially dangerous fall severe weather season that could last into the winter months especially from the Mid-South up towards the Great Lakes region.
Very grateful for the rain in Rutherford County right now!! My yard was beginning to crunch under foot. Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk
Yes- some of the longer-range forecasts show high temps finally dropping out of the 90s just about in time for astronomical fall in about 10 days. Looks like we're going to have to bake a little while longer before that though, but at least we can look forward to it.
