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Author Topic: Fall 2019  (Read 4357 times)

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Offline StormNine

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #60 on: September 05, 2019, 05:25:22 PM »
The hottest temperature in 2019 has been 95F in the Hopkinsville/Clarksville area.  I like for that to be topped especially on Tuesday.  Probably looking at 97-98F if I had to guess and the 2nd year in the row where the hottest temperature of the year occurred in September.   

Offline memphishogfan

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #61 on: September 05, 2019, 07:52:06 PM »
I know a ton of farmers who are thankful for some dry hot weather right now.  Corn is drying out and being harvested right now as well as rice. Soybeans and cotton should start within the next week to 10 days.

After the trouble of last fall and small margins this year those guys could use all the dry weather they can get.

Offline StormNine

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #62 on: September 05, 2019, 08:45:27 PM »
If it wasn't for 1925 then this September would probably be one of the hottest on record.  The pattern looks very May 2018ish with a conjoined Sonora/Bermuda ridge and it will probably take a typhoon from the Pacific, a tropical storm from the Atlantic, or a potentially nasty severe/tornado outbreak across our region and up to the Midwest to break it.   

I don't think we will see that quite yet but October and November may feature one or more of those items that could break this ridge. 

Then the million dollar question becomes does it return in the winter months. 

Offline BRUCE

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #63 on: September 05, 2019, 09:45:29 PM »
If it wasn't for 1925 then this September would probably be one of the hottest on record.  The pattern looks very May 2018ish with a conjoined Sonora/Bermuda ridge and it will probably take a typhoon from the Pacific, a tropical storm from the Atlantic, or a potentially nasty severe/tornado outbreak across our region and up to the Midwest to break it.   

I don't think we will see that quite yet but October and November may feature one or more of those items that could break this ridge. 

Then the million dollar question becomes does it return in the winter months.
drum roll please.....
Come on severe wx season...

Offline Flash

Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #64 on: September 06, 2019, 07:04:18 AM »
If it wasn't for 1925 then this September would probably be one of the hottest on record.  The pattern looks very May 2018ish with a conjoined Sonora/Bermuda ridge and it will probably take a typhoon from the Pacific, a tropical storm from the Atlantic, or a potentially nasty severe/tornado outbreak across our region and up to the Midwest to break it.   

I don't think we will see that quite yet but October and November may feature one or more of those items that could break this ridge. 

Then the million dollar question becomes does it return in the winter months.

I'm willing to put my $ on fall arriving late October/early November, Indian summer leading into Thanksgiving, a brief cool week in December to tease us, and then  ::blowtorch:: until late March when our snow window has closed.
"By the breath of God ice is given, and the broad waters are frozen fast." ~ Job 37:10 (ESV)

Offline snowdog

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #65 on: September 06, 2019, 07:22:41 AM »
I'm willing to put my $ on fall arriving late October/early November, Indian summer leading into Thanksgiving, a brief cool week in December to tease us, and then  ::blowtorch:: until late March when our snow window has closed.

Someone is jaded.

Offline Flash

Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #66 on: September 06, 2019, 07:29:15 AM »
Someone is jaded skeptically salty.

Guilty as charged. Wouldn't blame anyone given how last winter turned out.
"By the breath of God ice is given, and the broad waters are frozen fast." ~ Job 37:10 (ESV)

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #67 on: September 06, 2019, 08:13:09 AM »
Guilty as charged. Wouldn't blame anyone given how last winter turned out.

At least you had a nice snow chase early in the winter last year (I think that was you).

Iím one of the jaded ones too.



I just assume coolish to mild during the winter.... maybe a couple of cold dry days. The normal long range teases will fizzle per usual, and maybe weíll pull for a clipper or ULL that drops a dusting across the state line.

Iím always open to being turned around by a trend away from what weíve seen... but we shall see.
« Last Edit: September 06, 2019, 08:48:52 AM by Thundersnow »

Offline Curt

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #68 on: September 06, 2019, 08:24:22 AM »
Someone is jaded.

Lol I immediately thought of Aerosmith when I read his post.

Offline BRUCE

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #69 on: September 06, 2019, 08:33:23 AM »
Come on severe wx season...

Offline Charles L.

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #70 on: September 06, 2019, 02:05:59 PM »
Iíve been outside a total of 10 minutes today and hated every minute of it. I canít wait for the 50s and 60s and tracking hour 384 snowstorms.
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Offline Curt

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #71 on: September 06, 2019, 03:45:32 PM »
Iíve been outside a total of 10 minutes today and hated every minute of it. I canít wait for the 50s and 60s and tracking hour 384 snowstorms.

 Meh 90ís in September is normal. 90ís in early October pisses me off.

Offline Curt

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #72 on: September 06, 2019, 05:49:06 PM »


Nice comparison of Septemberís in Tennessee pre 1940. There are some really warm years in the data set in the 20ís and 30ís.

Offline snowdog

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #73 on: September 06, 2019, 06:05:05 PM »
Really surprised to see so many years with 100+ temps during that time period.

Offline StormNine

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #74 on: September 06, 2019, 07:49:46 PM »
The problem recently we have been having is that it is extending into at least the first 1/3rd of October as well.

I could tolerate a hot September but October is unacceptable.   

Also, I wonder if a lot of those years were drought years and therefore prone to intense temperature rises. Especially when you look at the lows (unless that is factoring in the Smoky Mountains) but I don't recall the last time I saw a sub-40 low in September.  Drought years typically are prone to lower lows and higher highs just like an arid or semiarid climate.  In a relatively wet year like 2019, I feel like we shouldn't be quite this warm.   

Post Merge: September 06, 2019, 07:52:37 PM
The telecommunication combo predicted in the next week or two of + PNA, slightly +NAO, and -AO wouldn't be that bad in the wintertime especially if other factors are at least neutral to favorable. 
« Last Edit: September 06, 2019, 07:52:37 PM by StormNine, Reason: Merged DoublePost »

 

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