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Author Topic: Fall 2019  (Read 4350 times)

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Offline snowdog

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #45 on: September 03, 2019, 07:25:49 AM »
Summer really lasts through September, on average, in our current reality. Last year, seemed most of Oct was a scorcher too.

Offline Flash

Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #46 on: September 03, 2019, 08:39:13 AM »
Summer really lasts through September, on average, in our current reality. Last year, seemed most of Oct was a scorcher too.

Could be worse. The CF6 for Nashville - September 1925 is  :o

Graphing the history of September CF6's out, it does seem there is less volatility nowadays. It would take something special for a September around here to mean out in the 60's again.

"By the breath of God ice is given, and the broad waters are frozen fast." ~ Job 37:10 (ESV)

Offline snowdog

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #47 on: September 03, 2019, 09:40:01 AM »
Could be worse. The CF6 for Nashville - September 1925 is  :o

Graphing the history of September CF6's out, it does seem there is less volatility nowadays. It would take something special for a September around here to mean out in the 60's again.

Honestly it's not as bad as I thought. Where did you get the data, I'd like to play with it.

Offline Flash

Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #48 on: September 03, 2019, 09:45:27 AM »
Honestly it's not as bad as I thought. Where did you get the data, I'd like to play with it.

https://w2.weather.gov/climate/xmacis.php?wfo=ohx
"By the breath of God ice is given, and the broad waters are frozen fast." ~ Job 37:10 (ESV)

Offline StormNine

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #49 on: September 04, 2019, 04:19:04 AM »
There is about a 2 maybe 3ish F change between September in the past 12-15ish years versus the total average.  The graph has a spread of 10 degrees so you don't see that trend quite as well.

With that being said this September does have work to do to get to 1925 status.  That month never featured a low below 60F and featured several 100+ days.

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Offline BRUCE

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #50 on: September 04, 2019, 06:42:39 AM »
The latest euro model guidance has us close to 100 next week couple s days at least ....
Come on severe wx season...

Offline Flash

Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #51 on: September 04, 2019, 06:59:32 AM »
The latest euro model guidance has us close to 100 next week couple s days at least ....

Crazy how some of the hottest temps of 2019 may happen in September. At least you have shorter days and lower humidities to work with this time of year. Really, as long as the sun is set, it should feel good outside. Imagine if this was 1-2 months ago! Yikes.
"By the breath of God ice is given, and the broad waters are frozen fast." ~ Job 37:10 (ESV)

Offline Curt

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #52 on: September 04, 2019, 07:29:29 AM »
Crazy how some of the hottest temps of 2019 may happen in September. At least you have shorter days and lower humidities to work with this time of year. Really, as long as the sun is set, it should feel good outside. Imagine if this was 1-2 months ago! Yikes.
I could see temps nearing 100 for 2 to 3 days.... and with NO heat advisories too. Humidity should be low enough to offset the temps. In fact thatís what will contribute to higher temps during the day and a decent cool off at night.

Offline Coach B

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #53 on: September 04, 2019, 07:33:38 AM »
At least you have shorter days and lower humidities to work with this time of year. Really, as long as the sun is set, it should feel good outside.

Exactly! Its been very pleasant outside in the mornings and evenings the last few days. I've been able to get some things done without even breaking a sweat. Sure its hot in the afternoons, but you can feel the change on the way.

Offline dwagner88

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #54 on: September 04, 2019, 11:15:49 AM »
This is a painfully boring weather pattern. We seem likely to go three full weeks with zero precip. At least it isnít sticky. Iíll take 96 and dry over 90 and humid any day.
Winter 2009-10 Snowfall: 11.5 in. :)
Winter 2010-11 Snowfall: 15.5 in. :)
Winter 2011-12: Trace
Winter 2012-2013: 0.25 in.
Winter 2013-14: 10.6 (9.5 on 2/12)
Winter 2014-2015:
2/18 - 0.25" snow
2/20 - 1.5" snow, 0.15" ZR
2/24 - 0.5" snow
2/25 - 8" snow :)

Offline BRUCE

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #55 on: September 04, 2019, 11:51:35 AM »
This is a painfully boring weather pattern. We seem likely to go three full weeks with zero precip. At least it isnít sticky. Iíll take 96 and dry over 90 and humid any day.
going take a fairly strong front coming through or a gulf system coming up. To break this pattern... not seeing either

Post Merge: September 04, 2019, 12:27:01 PM
going take a fairly strong front coming through or a gulf system coming up. To break this pattern... not seeing either
be honest... we been in a painful boring weather pattern for last few years seems... weather around here has become like watching paint dry....
« Last Edit: September 04, 2019, 12:27:01 PM by BRUCE, Reason: Merged DoublePost »
Come on severe wx season...

Offline snowdog

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #56 on: September 04, 2019, 04:56:22 PM »
I'd give anything for a gray, windy, drizzly 60 degree fall day about now. Soon.

Offline StormNine

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #57 on: September 04, 2019, 04:57:39 PM »
Crazy how some of the hottest temps of 2019 may happen in September. At least you have shorter days and lower humidities to work with this time of year. Really, as long as the sun is set, it should feel good outside. Imagine if this was 1-2 months ago! Yikes.

The hottest temperature of 2018 occurred in September as well.   

Offline Dyersburg Weather

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #58 on: September 04, 2019, 06:54:28 PM »
Might be better next week but heat index is currently 103 . We topped out at 107.

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #59 on: September 05, 2019, 08:18:49 AM »
I was so focused on the hurricane coverage and the fact it was so hot here in previous days that I missed the fact that we apparently had a frontal passage since yesterday. I detected a pleasant cool note to the breeze this morning that I wasn't expecting, and it appears the high today is forecast at 85.

Looks like it's going to get hot again next week though.

 

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