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Author Topic: Fall 2019  (Read 4346 times)

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Offline StormNine

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #15 on: August 18, 2019, 08:55:03 AM »
If I had to guess I would say we will probably be around +2.5 to +3 above the 1950-2007 average for September which is probably just a hair above the 1981-2010 average.   

One constant thing that is showing up in the long term and has been a thing for most of the summer is that most of the area (minus far East TN) has been in weakness between two ridges.  Which has allowed for cooler air to save us. Not as warm as 2018 or probably even 2007 but still warmer than average is the best call.

If we can at least have around an average October and November I would be okay with that.  November is actually the only month that has been solidly below average for our area this decade. 

Online Crockett

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #16 on: August 19, 2019, 12:04:54 PM »
I see the heat is taking a toll on us.  ::hot::

Offline snowdog

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #17 on: August 19, 2019, 02:16:23 PM »
Extended Euro looks decent for this time of year. Nice eastern trough should keep things reasonable.

Offline Curt

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #18 on: August 19, 2019, 04:19:25 PM »
First ďbigĒ cool down with low temps well down into the 50ís making the horizon on the GFS as well. Although to be honest- we had mid 50ís several times in July. At least this is a sign the heat is peaking.

Last 90 days of temps in CDAS. That cold pool which has been present out west and in the plains is still there this summer.


Offline Curt

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #19 on: August 20, 2019, 08:47:16 AM »
Just a thought...can we actually discuss the actual weather pattern and leave the climate change opinions and banter for another thread?

Offline BRUCE

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #20 on: August 20, 2019, 08:55:02 AM »
Just a thought...can we actually discuss the actual weather pattern and leave the climate change opinions and banter for another thread?
agree ... think the pattern is just to boring to discuss at the moment... lol
Come on severe wx season...

Offline Curt

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #21 on: August 20, 2019, 09:22:20 AM »
agree ... think the pattern is just to boring to discuss at the moment... lol

Fall isnít actually here ďat the momentĒ. Itís a thread to discuss possible long range weather patterns as meteorological fall starts September 1.

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #22 on: August 20, 2019, 09:32:09 AM »
Just a thought...can we actually discuss the actual weather pattern and leave the climate change opinions and banter for another thread?

I wouldn't have a problem with that. But the banter was here, so I jumped into the discussion.

Offline snowdog

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #23 on: August 20, 2019, 09:56:08 AM »
I created a Climate Thread for the appropriate posts and moved them there.

Back to Fall 2019....

Offline Dyersburg Weather

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #24 on: August 20, 2019, 05:05:07 PM »
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Offline BRUCE

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #25 on: August 20, 2019, 06:24:27 PM »
(Attachment Link)
thats the problem ... getting that look at mid late August does us no good... outlook like that wonít be found in mid January book it...
Come on severe wx season...

Offline Dyersburg Weather

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #26 on: August 20, 2019, 06:43:47 PM »
thats the problem ... getting that look at mid late August does us no good... outlook like that wonít be found in mid January book it...
While I agree that is a perfect look for winter, I could care less about January right now. My body feels like it is on fire everyday when I come in. I work outside everyday.

Offline BRUCE

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #27 on: August 20, 2019, 07:11:04 PM »
While I agree that is a perfect look for winter, I could care less about January right now. My body feels like it is on fire everyday when I come in. I work outside everyday.
yeah agree... my job also outside least 95 percent time
Come on severe wx season...

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #28 on: August 21, 2019, 09:32:14 AM »
My body feels like it is on fire everyday when I come in. I work outside everyday.

Ditto.

I'm in construction right now. These past two weeks have been awful.

Offline joemomma

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Re: Fall 2019
« Reply #29 on: August 21, 2019, 12:59:22 PM »
Yup, being outside for any length of time is downright miserable.  I've lived here my whole life (40+ years) and never remember it being this miserable.

 

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