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Author Topic: Winter 2019-2020  (Read 21361 times)

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Offline Michael

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #240 on: December 01, 2019, 04:06:41 AM »
Winter Storm Warnings out for Smoky Mountains late Sunday through early Tuesday. Could see 5”-9” above 3000 FT.
Monday would be a good time to visit Gatlinburg.

Guarantee 441 through Smokies will probably close late Sunday.

See @SmokiesRodsNPS on Twitter for road conditions.


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Offline Charles L.

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #241 on: December 01, 2019, 04:39:52 AM »
The 3km NAM has been consistent in showing this wave of snow pushing SE out of KY early tomorrow morning.

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Online vanster67

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #242 on: December 01, 2019, 05:13:54 AM »
I will take that and run.

Offline Charles L.

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #243 on: December 01, 2019, 05:39:17 AM »
I will take that and run.

I really think you have a great chance at seeing 1” of snow out of this.

Wouldn’t shock me at all to see OHX issue a Winter Wx Advisory for Cumberland, Putnam, Fentress, Pickett, and Overton counties.

They did have a SPS our early this morning for you guys, but they have since deleted it.
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Online vanster67

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #244 on: December 01, 2019, 05:54:03 AM »
Thank Charles. 

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #245 on: December 01, 2019, 06:36:18 AM »
OHX added a changeover to snow to Middle TN zones tonight.

Offline snowdog

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #246 on: December 01, 2019, 06:44:05 AM »
I would be an insult to armchair meteorologists if I labeled myself as such, but I would like to state my opinion that I hardly take Bastardi seriously.

I get that, but he's pretty good at what he does. People just need to remember he's going off modeled evolution which is likely incorrect and strat warmings have a mind of their own.

Likely we don't see a Jan 77 repeat, but their is optimism we may see a cold start to January.

Online vanster67

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #247 on: December 01, 2019, 07:14:43 AM »
Added SPS back, and am hoping to see two inches of the white stuff, even tho I am in Florida.  My wife loves snow just as much as I.  So she can enjoy it, and take pics, figures I was gone for the first burst of snow, and now this one.  Still ok .  Ya’ll enjoy.  I’ll be back dec 17th

Offline Charles L.

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #248 on: December 01, 2019, 08:15:18 AM »
12z NAM holds steady...

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Online BRUCE

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #249 on: December 01, 2019, 08:48:29 AM »
welcome to meteorological winter... let the disappointment begin... >:D
Come on severe wx season...

Offline Clarksville Snowman

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #250 on: December 01, 2019, 10:25:12 AM »
welcome to meteorological winter... let the disappointment begin... >:D
We can handle disappointment, just like you do with all them tornadoes you pull for that never materialize.Go look for a tornado!  ::rofl::
« Last Edit: December 01, 2019, 06:34:02 PM by Clarksville Snowman »

Online BRUCE

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #251 on: December 01, 2019, 11:41:36 AM »
We can handle disappointment, just like you do when the all them tornados you pull for never materialize.Go look for a tornado!  ::rofl::
come on near of finding a tornado than a little snow flake

Post Merge: December 01, 2019, 11:53:25 AM
We can handle disappointment, just like you do when the all them tornados you pull for never materialize.Go look for a tornado!  ::rofl::
besides. I like winters storms as much if not more than you do no matter what ur name is... climate change has taken its toll on my winter excitement and such ...
« Last Edit: December 01, 2019, 11:53:25 AM by BRUCE, Reason: Merged DoublePost »
Come on severe wx season...

Offline Clarksville Snowman

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #252 on: December 01, 2019, 12:51:55 PM »
come on near of finding a tornado than a little snow flake

Post Merge: December 01, 2019, 11:53:25 AM
besides. I like winters storms as much if not more than you do no matter what ur name is... climate change has taken its toll on my winter excitement and such ...
That's your opinion, I highly doubt you like winter any more than me or anyone else on here. And I don't expect much here tonight in my area for your information. But the areas on the plateau have a chance and this is a winter forum. I am actually pulling for them on a winter forum, I don't think we are going to fall to pieces if it doesn't materialize. But it would be nice to talk about early season chances for some without you acting like you know what's going to happen, based on some of your predictions over the years the plateau kids need to break out the sleds!!!! ::popcorn:: ::fingerscrossed:: ::snowman::
« Last Edit: December 01, 2019, 12:53:46 PM by Clarksville Snowman »

Offline StormNine

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #253 on: December 01, 2019, 01:02:27 PM »
December is looking to run mild, but not as mild as 2018 and definitely not as mild as 2015.  We will get some cool shots in between and it doesn't look like an extreme constant blowtorch.  The subtropical jet is going to get active as well.  Let us get through any unfavorable MJO runs and the unfavorable Pacific and it looks like we should have a chance to get things more favorable by around New Years.   

I think 2006 and 2014 are the best analogs for this month.

In the short term the Cumberland Plateau has some potential tomorrow morning to get a little early December gift.   

Offline cgauxknox

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #254 on: December 01, 2019, 03:10:44 PM »
It's going to miss most of the board but good luck to everybody who's lucky enough to cash in on this one!

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Morristown TN
239 PM EST Sun Dec 1 2019

...ACCUMULATING SNOW EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF EAST TENNESSEE
AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.A storm system will produce widespread precipitation across the southern Appalachians Tonight through Monday night. Temperatures
will be cold enough to produce significant snowfall over the higher elevations, especially in places above 3000 feet. Locations across the Cumberland Plateau at or below 3000 feet will see less
snowfall, however still measurable amounts. In addition to snow, winds are expected to remain breezy in the mountains which will lead to hazardous driving conditions.

Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins-Sullivan-Northwest Greene-Washington-
Northwest Carter-Lee-Scott-Russell-
Including the cities of Lone Mountain, Sandlick, Springdale,
Arthur, Harrogate-Shawanee, Clairfield, Howard Quarter, Evanston,
Sneedville, Treadway, Kyles Ford, Mooresburg, Kingsport,
Bristol TN, South Holston Dam, Greeneville, Johnson City,
Elizabethton, Rose Hill, Hiltons, Hansonville, Lebanon, Dye,
Castlewood, Honaker, Rosedale, Benhams, Bristol VA, and Abingdon
239 PM EST Sun Dec 1 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of east Tennessee and southwest Virginia.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

 

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