Cyrgeetar, bearsfan85, wfrogge and 4 Guests are viewing this topic.
Latest Epps long range will make most folks very happy around here...
Don’t look now....but a major SSW (strat warm) looks possible by early December. Hehe.Maybe we will actually fare better this go around than one day of arctic air vs last year’s fiasco.
Curt, i know JB has been excited about the chances of one like he usually is about anything like that lol. The -pna, imo, won't help us for a while due to the fact it puts too much troughing along the west coast. Not sure if its attributable to the unfavorable mjo phases. I believe we should have a few winter storm chances here, but i am always happy with just one, since we are in the south.
If a SSW helps, the lag time is usually a few weeks behind. We wouldn’t see effects- if any- until mid December. That’s why a SSW in February is pointless for our area. The SSW of December 1984- early 1985 is by far the best example of cashing in. They don’t always work out though depending on size and position of displacement.
The end of November/beginning of December pattern looks to really favor the out West Ski Resorts that did very well last winter. A -PNA, forming -EPO ridge near the southern Alaskan coast, and some Northern Hemisphere blocking should bring the cold. An active subtropical jet due to a borderline El-Nino should provide the moisture.Congrats Sierra Nevada and the ski resorts of Utah, Colorado, and northern New Mexico.
Curse you for bringing that meme in here
QBO quickly going easterly(negative). That’s a huge change from this time last year at the same time.