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Author Topic: Winter 2019-2020  (Read 25868 times)

Nash_LSU, ash3211, BRUCE, Dyersburg Weather and 2 Guests are viewing this topic.

Offline gcbama

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #165 on: November 07, 2019, 08:25:50 AM »
Y'all, it's too early in the season for me to get my snow hopes crushed. I'm still recovering from last year.

yup......doubt there will be any moisture left at all with this one...it was never gonna be anything more than a flurry attack anyway

Offline Clarksville Snowman

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #166 on: November 07, 2019, 08:59:36 AM »
Y'all, it's too early in the season for me to get my snow hopes crushed. I'm still recovering from last year.
With all due respect if anyone gets their snow hopes crushed for a minor even in November doesn't need to follow winter weather. Not that we can't hope to see some snow flying, nobody loves snow any more than me but if it doesn't snow this time around it will not affect my winter outlook or me one bit. Folks can get excited about the possibility of snow flying even if it is just flurries without it crushing them if it doesn't. Good gracious that is pretty extreme. I do realize your area in southern middle hasn't gotten too much snow lately, but a chance of flurries or a dusting in November shouldn't crush your hopes. ::popcorn:: ::cold:: ::snowman::
« Last Edit: November 07, 2019, 09:01:08 AM by Clarksville Snowman »

Offline Beth

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #167 on: November 07, 2019, 09:08:42 AM »
With all due respect if anyone gets their snow hopes crushed for a minor even in November doesn't need to follow winter weather. Not that we can't hope to see some snow flying, nobody loves snow any more than me but if it doesn't snow this time around it will not affect my winter outlook or me one bit. Folks can get excited about the possibility of snow flying even if it is just flurries without it crushing them if it doesn't. Good gracious that is pretty extreme. I do realize your area in southern middle hasn't gotten too much snow lately, but a chance of flurries or a dusting in November shouldn't crush your hopes. ::popcorn:: ::cold:: ::snowman::

Well said Snowman!  We have seen flurries on Halloween and that is always rare in our area!  I canít see why we canít hope for a few more flurries with next system.  But we know we cannot throw in the towel and have a melt down if it doesnít snow.  Itís the South some times we are lucky and quite a bit of the time we arenít.   ::snowman:: ::snowman:: ::snowman::

Offline joemomma

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #168 on: November 07, 2019, 09:15:43 AM »
Anything that happens this time of year is a bonus.  Has nothing to do with what will happen when "real" winter rolls around.  It's Middle Tennessee - might snow, might not.  Plain and simple. 

Online BRUCE

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #169 on: November 07, 2019, 10:12:35 AM »
Anything that happens this time of year is a bonus.  Has nothing to do with what will happen when "real" winter rolls around.  It's Middle Tennessee - might snow, might not.  Plain and simple.
got a bonus last November ....  don't be surprised if this be the coldest air all fall inter combine
« Last Edit: November 07, 2019, 10:23:06 AM by BRUCE »
Come on severe wx season...

Offline Crockett

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #170 on: November 07, 2019, 10:15:07 AM »
got a bonus last November ....  don't be surprised if this be the coldest air all fall inter combine next coming u ...


Offline Matthew

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #171 on: November 07, 2019, 10:20:42 AM »
got a bonus last November ....  don't be surprised if this be the coldest air all fall inter combine next coming up

So this will be the coldest air and then itís over!  Well might as well go ahead and jump. ::cliff:: ::cliff::

Bruce is always right.

Offline gcbama

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #172 on: November 07, 2019, 10:40:32 AM »
got a bonus last November ....  don't be surprised if this be the coldest air all fall inter combine

what happened last year in November ? I might be losing my mind cause I forget lol.....don't forget the 412 corridor got ZERO accumulation last year in middle tennessee so I tried to forget last winter lol

Offline Clarksville Snowman

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #173 on: November 07, 2019, 11:07:13 AM »
 
got a bonus last November ....  don't be surprised if this be the coldest air all fall inter combine
::rofl:: ::rofl:: ::rofl::

Online BRUCE

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #174 on: November 07, 2019, 11:16:00 AM »
what happened last year in November ? I might be losing my mind cause I forget lol.....don't forget the 412 corridor got ZERO accumulation last year in middle tennessee so I tried to forget last winter lol
I got close to couple inches here... it melted pretty much later same day...and that pretty much ended the season... some colder shots came here n there... im looking at all forecast im seeing from major mets... nothing to get excited bout this season either... shall see
Come on severe wx season...

Offline Flash

Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #175 on: November 07, 2019, 11:45:18 AM »
I got close to couple inches here... it melted pretty much later same day...and that pretty much ended the season... some colder shots came here n there... im looking at all forecast im seeing from major mets... nothing to get excited bout this season either... shall see

Well, we should all know after last year not to put [too much] hope in any winter weather forecast good or bad. That said, if you love  ::blowtorch:: winters, Isotherm's 2019-20 Winter Weather Forecast is the one for you.

http://www.lightinthestorm.com/archives/1228

Pretty much a standard recipe for a snowless winter in the southeast. Can't really argue with him given the collapse of favorable Pacific telecons in recent weeks. Not to mention it's going to be a while before we get any help from the Atlantic. Will need a surprise 2010-11ish -NAO/-AO and/or a consistently negative QBO to spice things up.

« Last Edit: November 07, 2019, 11:48:51 AM by Flash »
"By the breath of God ice is given, and the broad waters are frozen fast." ~ Job 37:10 (ESV)

Offline Matthew

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #176 on: November 07, 2019, 11:59:43 AM »
I got close to couple inches here... it melted pretty much later same day...and that pretty much ended the season... some colder shots came here n there... im looking at all forecast im seeing from major mets... nothing to get excited bout this season either... shall see


Looking at anything past a few days is worthless.  Predicting anything past a few days is idiotic.  Wx will not be predictable.  Teleconnections change and the atmosphere right when we think we have it figured out another comes along. 

Offline Curt

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #177 on: November 07, 2019, 12:28:51 PM »
I got close to couple inches here... it melted pretty much later same day...and that pretty much ended the season... some colder shots came here n there... im looking at all forecast im seeing from major mets... nothing to get excited bout this season either... shall see

Thrill us with your acumen.

Offline lyngo

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #178 on: November 07, 2019, 01:08:34 PM »
Seasonal forecasting is tough.  There are just too many variables that can pop up with short lead times that are very hard to forecast more than a couple of weeks out.  Someone mentioned Isothermís forecast for this winter which isnít very promising at all.  However, I believe he like many other seasonal forecasters didnít fare very well last winter.  I certainly canít argue with his reasoning for his forecast but I just donít think weíve gotten to the point where we can predict what will happen over a 3 month period with a lot of accuracy.  Besides, weíve scored many times in the past with certain indices in the ďwrongĒ phase.  No two winters are ever really the same so I guess my point is to enjoy the season and who knows what it will bring us..

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #179 on: November 07, 2019, 01:21:29 PM »

Looking at anything past a few days is worthless.  Predicting anything past a few days is idiotic.  Wx will not be predictable.  Teleconnections change and the atmosphere right when we think we have it figured out another comes along.

k
"I like the cold weather. It means you get work done." - Noam Chomsky

 

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