Icestorm, Nash_LSU and 7 Guests are viewing this topic.
sun spot n solar r way over rated ... doubt it has much effect to be honest ... imo..
The space features are important like sunspot data. The question becomes how much does the cooling influence of the sunspots compare to the warming influence of climate change/global warming. I think the climate forcing is probably stronger than the solar, but that doesn't mean that we need to ignore the solar forcings as it may impact things like having an active northern jet stream which play a huge role in how our cool season goes down.
Nws forecast for winter is out....going with above average temps this winter... not to far we’re close to way above average category... not much suprise to be honest
... not to far we’re close to way above average category... not much suprise to be honest
That means we will have a eventful winter, things usually go the opposite of what they put out. It's 50-50 at best.
nws has gone with above norms temps wise last few years actually....
ENSO 3.4 pushing moderate El Niño territory with the huge SOI drop over the last 2 months. The pacific is cold east and warm central to west. A weak El Niño in the official region of 3.4 looks likely now. The NE PAC is still warm which is driving the negative EPO. If this continues which it should- the implications for arctic outbreaks should be on the upswing.
which will only lead to suppression if artic does unload...
I'll take my chances on suppression versus just no cold air like the last 2 winters.