vanster67 and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.
QBO quickly going easterly(negative). That’s a huge change from this time last year at the same time.
Yeah, that was a fatal nail most winter forecasts missed due to the timing of event vs. issuance. Let's hope this pattern continues.
Interesting take on December from Ryan Maue’s group https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2JHCuqU2dyk Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
the mjo seems to be pretty stuck... and is in no hurry to get to the phase it needs to be to get some winter fun... ryan maue is on of the bigger if not the biggest hype forecasters with winter weather... listen to him every winter...think we would be heading towards the second ice age... lol
I thought that it was Bastardi who was the hype master. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
MJO and the position of that ridge off the coast of Alaska will tell the tale of how winter after December 20th goes more so than the NAO/AO or even SSW events. We need ridging off the West Coast of Canada or the USA and not over the islands or the far western part of Alaska. Without a strong ENSO signal, the MJO becomes more vital than even usual.
Steven, happy Thanksgiving. What are your thoughts moving forward after dec 20th?
Bastardi comparing modeled strat warming in late December to the one that gave us a frigid January in 77.