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Author Topic: Winter 2019-2020  (Read 21335 times)

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Offline gcbama

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #195 on: November 12, 2019, 11:22:41 AM »
Jan 29th 2010 snowstorm....does anybody have a middle Tennessee snowfall accumulation map for that one? I am pretty sure I measured 8.5 inches of snow at my house (the last big one for me) but I have not been able to find any maps or discussions about middle Tennessee .that was the 412 corridor heavy snow band, and my personal favorite snow storm :)

Offline Coach B

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #196 on: November 12, 2019, 11:26:25 AM »
Jan 29th 2010 snowstorm....does anybody have a middle Tennessee snowfall accumulation map for that one? I am pretty sure I measured 8.5 inches of snow at my house (the last big one for me) but I have not been able to find any maps or discussions about middle Tennessee .that was the 412 corridor heavy snow band, and my personal favorite snow storm :)

Looks like there are 309 pages to read about it! Seems some of us were motor mouths back in the day.   ::whistling::
https://tennesseewx.com/index.php/topic,2373.0.html

I got 5.4" most of which fell in a 2.5 hour window that afternoon. It was a total whiteout for a good while.
« Last Edit: November 12, 2019, 11:29:16 AM by Coach B »

Offline BRUCE

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #197 on: November 12, 2019, 11:27:21 AM »
Jan 29th 2010 snowstorm....does anybody have a middle Tennessee snowfall accumulation map for that one? I am pretty sure I measured 8.5 inches of snow at my house (the last big one for me) but I have not been able to find any maps or discussions about middle Tennessee .that was the 412 corridor heavy snow band, and my personal favorite snow storm :)
yea that was a good one... deform band set right up along I 40 corridor .. with times 2 inches per hour rates ... I got 9 inches on that one
Come on severe wx season...

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #198 on: November 12, 2019, 11:52:45 AM »

MJO: 8-3 usually result in the colder phases East of the Rockies from Nov- Feb.

Heres the El Nio Modoki index per JAMSTEC:




Offline gcbama

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #199 on: November 12, 2019, 01:47:38 PM »
Looks like there are 309 pages to read about it! Seems some of us were motor mouths back in the day.   ::whistling::
https://tennesseewx.com/index.php/topic,2373.0.html

I got 5.4" most of which fell in a 2.5 hour window that afternoon. It was a total whiteout for a good while.

yeah I remember it started at 10 am in lewis/maury county line , took me 2 hours to drive 20 miles and in that 2 hours already had 4 inches of snow, heaviest event I have been a part of, had there been wind it would have been blizzard like. then it snowed moderate like half inch an hour rate for about 7 -8 more hours at the very tail end of the event got some icing but not too much maybe a tenth.

What amazes me is even DURING the event how many different opinions was going on in here lol. And we think we can predict something more than three days out sometimes lol.

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #200 on: November 12, 2019, 02:05:15 PM »
GFS looks mild, but not torchy, in the long run. It looks like we return to average temperatures next week. I'm cool with that.

How do you think the winter season will play out, TNWX?
"I like the cold weather. It means you get work done." - Noam Chomsky

Offline Crockett

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #201 on: November 12, 2019, 02:11:46 PM »
How do you think the winter season will play out, TNWX?

This was our winter. On to spring now.  >:D

Offline BRUCE

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #202 on: November 12, 2019, 02:43:24 PM »
GFS looks mild, but not torchy, in the long run. It looks like we return to average temperatures next week. I'm cool with that.

How do you think the winter season will play out, TNWX?
repeat last season? Lol
Come on severe wx season...

Offline Drifter49

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Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #203 on: November 12, 2019, 02:45:08 PM »
Double digit snowfall statewide, even the Choo choo!
Of course Dyersburg will get its obligatory 10 inches of sleet


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
« Last Edit: November 12, 2019, 02:54:01 PM by Drifter49 »
To enjoy things in life that are good, you first must endure things that suck!
Bring on the snow baby!!!

Offline BRUCE

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #204 on: November 12, 2019, 02:51:41 PM »
Double digit snowfall statewide, even the Choo choo!


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
meh... waa... will screw someone lol
Come on severe wx season...

Offline StormNine

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #205 on: November 12, 2019, 04:06:36 PM »
One potential difference between this winter and last winter is that the NAO leading up to this winter has been much more prone to going - versus last winter. After we moderate later this month into at least Early December things have the potential to get very interesting perhaps just in time for New Year's.

Another difference is an area of cooling in the North-Central Pacific is starting to form and that could help place an Aleutian Island Low which would likely boost the EPO ridge.

Yes, the Atlantic is still pretty warm, but there is a trend between October NAO which trended - and winter NAO.  Meaning that the chance for at least a neutral averaging NAO is pretty good with some potential to even get a Greenland Block at times.  Serve an -EPO with that and everyone from Chicago to Dallas to Knoxville (even probably Chattanooga and Huntsville, AL) and points in between are happy. 

Offline Mr. Golf

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #206 on: November 12, 2019, 06:00:42 PM »
If Anthony Masiello is correct, we should see some type of -nao from a SCANDINAVIAN BLOCK shifting toward Greenland toward end of this month. Since it will be a little later than where we are now, it wont take much to get a winter event imo.  ::fingerscrossed::

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #207 on: November 13, 2019, 06:04:58 AM »
https://www.wkrn.com/special-reports/how-do-the-temperatures-of-the-last-10-winters-stack-up/

The last five years have brought both the warmest and the fifth warmest winter on record for Nashville.

Whats interesting about the other winters in the top five is that they also occurred within a few years of each other. In fact, the second and third warmest winters (which were the first and second warmest before 2016-2017 took the lead) were in back to back winters, 1948-49 and 1949-50.

Its interesting to note that the following winter, 1950-51, brought historic storms to Tennessee as well as record cold, which are still on the books. Perhaps that winter was an outlier, although even January 1951 was very warm until the last few days and the first few days of February, which brought a historic winter weather sequence and deep freeze, unmatched by anything else in living memory or the records books.

The fourth warmest was just a few years later in 1956-57. Other than the anomaly of 1950-51, this was a very warm period.

Things changed in a big way in the winter of 1959-60, which still stands as the snowiest winter on record at a whopping 38.5 for Nashville. Then the 1960s and 1970s brought several very cold, snowy winters (not every year during that period, but still several notable examples).

Are we ever going to go back into a cycle of colder, snowier winters? Time will tell.

Offline BRUCE

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #208 on: November 13, 2019, 06:36:02 AM »
https://www.wkrn.com/special-reports/how-do-the-temperatures-of-the-last-10-winters-stack-up/

The last five years have brought both the warmest and the fifth warmest winter on record for Nashville.

Whats interesting about the other winters in the top five is that they also occurred within a few years of each other. In fact, the second and third warmest winters (which were the first and second warmest before 2016-2017 took the lead) were in back to back winters, 1948-49 and 1949-50.

Its interesting to note that the following winter, 1950-51, brought historic storms to Tennessee as well as record cold, which are still on the books. Perhaps that winter was an outlier, although even January 1951 was very warm until the last few days and the first few days of February, which brought a historic winter weather sequence and deep freeze, unmatched by anything else in living memory or the records books.

The fourth warmest was just a few years later in 1956-57. Other than the anomaly of 1950-51, this was a very warm period.

Things changed in a big way in the winter of 1959-60, which still stands as the snowiest winter on record at a whopping 38.5 for Nashville. Then the 1960s and 1970s brought several very cold, snowy winters (not every year during that period, but still several notable examples).

Are we ever going to go back into a cycle of colder, snowier winters? Time will tell.
i would like to say were heading in colder winters maybe... but you got add climate change into the equation...
Come on severe wx season...

Offline Curt

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Re: Winter 2019-2020
« Reply #209 on: November 13, 2019, 07:47:13 AM »
https://www.wkrn.com/special-reports/how-do-the-temperatures-of-the-last-10-winters-stack-up/

The last five years have brought both the warmest and the fifth warmest winter on record for Nashville.

Whats interesting about the other winters in the top five is that they also occurred within a few years of each other. In fact, the second and third warmest winters (which were the first and second warmest before 2016-2017 took the lead) were in back to back winters, 1948-49 and 1949-50.

Its interesting to note that the following winter, 1950-51, brought historic storms to Tennessee as well as record cold, which are still on the books. Perhaps that winter was an outlier, although even January 1951 was very warm until the last few days and the first few days of February, which brought a historic winter weather sequence and deep freeze, unmatched by anything else in living memory or the records books.

The fourth warmest was just a few years later in 1956-57. Other than the anomaly of 1950-51, this was a very warm period.

Things changed in a big way in the winter of 1959-60, which still stands as the snowiest winter on record at a whopping 38.5 for Nashville. Then the 1960s and 1970s brought several very cold, snowy winters (not every year during that period, but still several notable examples).

Are we ever going to go back into a cycle of colder, snowier winters? Time will tell.

Those periods match up nicely with the changes in the Atlantic Multidecadonal Oscillation.


#climatechange

 

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