North Atlantic Tropical Season 2019 Thread

[bugalou]

Invest 94L has formed in the Bahamas and has a medium chance of development as it swings northward along the Atlantic coast of Florida.  Right now it looks like it will fizzle out later in the week but it could be a rainy few days along the coast between now and then.
Post Merge: July 23, 2019, 08:52:16 AMThis system is now officially tropical depression 3, but it looks to be a fish storm that will burn out pretty quickly.

POOF! She gone! 

[schneitzeit]

Anything brewing in the Atlantic?

[Thundersnow]

Anything brewing in the Atlantic?

Nope...

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Aug 15 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

Rather quiet for mid August.

[StormNine]

The Atlantic and Pacific both seem to be quiet so far.  The Atlantic could quickly ramp up when the Sahara ridge weakens and stops throwing dust into the Atlantic. 

[cgauxknox]

While Dorian appropriately gets all the attention right now there are also 4 other tropical systems being watched right now,  2 with high chances of development.

https://www.wbir.com/mobile/article/weather/hurricane/tropical-disturbances-gulf/67-3e9b161a-9fae-4852-9acc-7ed33fac20cc?fbclid=IwAR3mQxaC-zdqOPnTSzt1_gwWsg4K28vc7kxEdT-iTWqHO-oEi1fDODidwWo

[ryandourius]

While Dorian appropriately gets all the attention right now there are also 4 other tropical systems being watched right now,  2 with high chances of development.

https://www.wbir.com/mobile/article/weather/hurricane/tropical-disturbances-gulf/67-3e9b161a-9fae-4852-9acc-7ed33fac20cc?fbclid=IwAR3mQxaC-zdqOPnTSzt1_gwWsg4K28vc7kxEdT-iTWqHO-oEi1fDODidwWo

Dorian deserves all the attention. The one coming off of Africa looks interesting.

[cgauxknox]

Invest 95L, which may be TS Humberto tomorrow, could have an interesting look for FL and the southeast.  Worth keeping an eye on.

[snowdog]

Euro says Dorian part deux is coming (possible track, not intensity.)

[cgauxknox]

Euro says Dorian part deux is coming (possible track, not intensity.)

Let's hope whatever it is doesn't track over the Bahamas.  With the damage they've suffered there even a day or two of rain could be a terrible burden.  Personally I'd be very happy to see a system track inland and give us some much-needed rain and break up this hot, dry weather.
Post Merge: September 13, 2019, 06:23:40 AMThis morning has almost all of the Bahamas under a tropical storm warning and most of the central Atlantic coast of Florida under a tropical storm watch for what is now Potential Tropical Cyclone 9.  It's still a disorganized system but the track shows it running along the Atlantic coast of Florida through the weekend and then trending northeast either along the Carolina coast or back offshore. 

The Bahamas really don't need the rain, much of the Southeast does; this is not the storm track that anybody would have hoped for.  Maybe things will change.

[Thundersnow]

We have TS Humberto north of the Bahamas, projected to become a hurricane but make a hard right turn out to sea and not affect the US, other than maybe some incoming swells. It could threaten Bermuda though.

[cgauxknox]

We've tied a modern record,  six simultaneous named storms across the Atlantic and Pacific.  https://weather.com/amp/storms/hurricane/news/2019-09-18-six-named-storms-ties-record-atlantic-eastern-pacific.html?__twitter_impression=true
Post Merge: September 19, 2019, 01:22:30 PMThe flooding in Texas from Imelda looks horrible.  This is a case where what didn't look like much until it made landfall has turned out to be a significant disaster for a big region.  It may turn out to be the most damaging tropical system for the U.S. this year.

[Thundersnow]

The Atlantic has continued active, but mostly fish storms lately.

[Thundersnow]

In case anyone is interested or following, Lorenzo is a Cat 5 way out in the Atlantic. It’s the most most powerful on record that far east. It could affect the Azores and eventually even Ireland... though it shouldn’t be near that strong then.