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Author Topic: Spring 2019 - Severe Weather Thread  (Read 53961 times)

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Offline Greyhound

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Re: Spring 2019 - Severe Weather Thread
« Reply #915 on: June 02, 2019, 08:22:45 AM »
Could be an active day over much of the area (mainly east per HRRR):

Good day to fire up the grill and watch the sky for giant cauliflower to go with my steak.


Hmmm......I'm not really seeing much on the HRRR.  Thinking about floating the yaks down a river today, and definitely don't want to be caught in a storm. Had that happen last year, and never want a repeat!!

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Offline JayCee

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Re: Spring 2019 - Severe Weather Thread
« Reply #916 on: June 02, 2019, 09:11:24 AM »
Hmmm......I'm not really seeing much on the HRRR. 
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It does look pretty anemic as far as coverage is concerned.  MRX is going with 30-50% pops over the east TN valley, which may be optimistic.  Dewpoints have recovered into the middle 60's over the central valley, so moisture is available.  I guess we'll see what "pops" later today.   

Post Merge: June 02, 2019, 03:25:33 PM
Looks like MRX should've followed the short range models output and put pops at 20 or less, because that's the coverage so far today.

« Last Edit: June 02, 2019, 03:25:33 PM by JayCee, Reason: Merged DoublePost »
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: Spring 2019 - Severe Weather Thread
« Reply #917 on: June 03, 2019, 05:58:19 AM »
I kinda want to put this in the Summer thread since itís meteorological summer now, but Iíll put it here since itís severe related.

From the OHX AFD. At least weíll get a break from the hot dry weather if nothing else:

Quote
Its not too early to discuss severe weather potential for the
weekend. For Saturday the GFS has -8C for LIs and negative
Showalter. Cape is in the 2000+J/kg range. Any helicity is west
of the area and low shear for us. Parameters look a bit stronger
on Sunday. The Euro which remember takes the low further south and
more over us doesn/t have as strong of parameters for Middle
Tennessee.

This will be worth watching the next couple of days. At this time
will not mention anything in the HWO as SPC and WPC does not have
any highlights for Middle Tennessee.

Offline bugalou

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Re: Spring 2019 - Severe Weather Thread
« Reply #918 on: June 03, 2019, 06:11:08 PM »
I kinda want to put this in the Summer thread since itís meteorological summer now, but Iíll put it here since itís severe related.

From the OHX AFD. At least weíll get a break from the hot dry weather if nothing else:

If its severe and synopticly driven this is the right place IMO.  I miss thunder and lightning already, so I am looking forward to it.

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: Spring 2019 - Severe Weather Thread
« Reply #919 on: June 05, 2019, 06:31:51 AM »
Upper East TN is included in a slight risk today.

Online cgauxknox

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Re: Spring 2019 - Severe Weather Thread
« Reply #920 on: June 05, 2019, 06:40:41 AM »
Just a little thunder and a quick burst of rain and we've lost power in West Knoxville.  It popped on and off several times very quickly and now is really out.  It's acting like there's a real issue that may keep us in the dark for a while today.

Offline joemomma

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Re: Spring 2019 - Severe Weather Thread
« Reply #921 on: June 05, 2019, 02:59:25 PM »
We had a few rumbles of thunder this morning, but nothing intense.  Right now, you can cut it with a knife outside and the sky is looking pretty angry.  I'd say it's going to start popping off within the next few minutes.  I'm inside concrete walls so I can't hear anything, but it looks angry for sure.

 

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