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Author Topic: Spring 2019 - Severe Weather Thread  (Read 11182 times)

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Offline BRUCE

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Re: Spring 2019
« Reply #165 on: March 13, 2019, 10:30:01 AM »
After Thursday, the next 7 days appear relatively cool by March standards.  Frosts and near freezing temperatures look to occur over a big part of the area starting this weekend, and multiple days next week.
yeah. But overall models r backing off some on the colder temps ... slightly cooler times than late March standards ... nothing extreme thank god
Come on severe wx season...

Offline Matthew

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Re: Spring 2019
« Reply #166 on: March 13, 2019, 11:28:32 AM »
Models have a cold bias these days.  Used to be only the CMC did.  When it gets with in 2-3 days they are usually much warmer.  I will take near 60 and sunny next week.

Offline Curt

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Re: Spring 2019
« Reply #167 on: March 13, 2019, 04:20:22 PM »
80 mph wind gusts at Denver Intl with heavy snow reported.

Offline JayCee

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Re: Spring 2019
« Reply #168 on: March 13, 2019, 05:45:42 PM »
Get ready for some wind.  This system is packin'  it. 

https://youtu.be/edKFsuiytCg
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
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Offline Thundersnow

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Spring 2019
« Reply #169 on: March 15, 2019, 07:14:02 AM »
Though thankfully not much in TN so far, it seems like we’ve started an active tornado season compared to previous years.

Things look stable for the next week.
« Last Edit: March 15, 2019, 07:15:41 AM by Thundersnow »

Offline JayCee

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Re: Spring 2019
« Reply #170 on: March 15, 2019, 07:34:54 AM »
The "bomb" only dropped .28" of rain here overnight with little fanfare.  I think I saw a faint flash of distant lightning through sleepy eyes in the middle of the night, but that's about it. 

Appears we'll have a cool, but mostly dry week ahead, and one of the longest dry stretches we've seen since last October.  Several frosty nights look likely with lows near freezing Saturday through Wednesday over much of TN.  6-10 & 8-14 day outlooks keep us below normal rain-wise, so no more flooding rains on the horizon.   
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
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Offline BRUCE

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Re: Spring 2019
« Reply #171 on: March 15, 2019, 09:34:09 AM »
The "bomb" only dropped .28" of rain here overnight with little fanfare.  I think I saw a faint flash of distant lightning through sleepy eyes in the middle of the night, but that's about it. 

Appears we'll have a cool, but mostly dry week ahead, and one of the longest dry stretches we've seen since last October.  Several frosty nights look likely with lows near freezing Saturday through Wednesday over much of TN.  6-10 & 8-14 day outlooks keep us below normal rain-wise, so no more flooding rains on the horizon.
guess we need to enjoy the break... things look to ramp up end of the month... going into april
Come on severe wx season...

Offline JayCee

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Re: Spring 2019
« Reply #172 on: March 15, 2019, 09:56:45 AM »
guess we need to enjoy the break... things look to ramp up end of the month... going into april

With a weak El Nino possibly sticking around through summer, I doubt we'll have many long dry stretches this spring.  So, yeah, best enjoy this one. 
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: Spring 2019
« Reply #173 on: March 16, 2019, 06:24:29 AM »
I am glad we have this cool, dry pattern for the next week... besides the chance to dry out we look to dip below freezing a few nights. Good to still see that in mid March as it should slow down the emergence of flowering vegetation to give things a better chance in case we get a late freeze later on.

Offline JHart

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Re: Spring 2019
« Reply #174 on: March 16, 2019, 08:17:29 AM »
I am expecting a late freeze --- my grandparents used to say "Winter lingers when Easter is late."  As a kid in central Arkansas, I remember the 'old folks' planting their corn and beans on Good Friday every year.

I'm sure they ended up with bean-cicles from time to time, but I don't recall it ever happening.  :)
Hire the left-handed --- its fun to watch them write.

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: Spring 2019
« Reply #175 on: March 16, 2019, 11:11:51 AM »
Buds on a lot of trees are “pregnant”... and some redbuds and a few other flowering trees have started. Hopefully, not the fruit trees yet.

Bradford pears are flowering, but we don’t care about those... in fact the more damage to be done to them, the better.

Offline BRUCE

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Re: Spring 2019
« Reply #176 on: March 16, 2019, 12:14:38 PM »
Looks like on model guiadance and ensembles ... 26 27 th period got a nice amp system to produce widespread  severe...  just looking down road bit....
Come on severe wx season...

Offline StormNine

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Re: Spring 2019
« Reply #177 on: March 16, 2019, 02:44:56 PM »
For now, we get a week of nice weather.

The 8-14 day and potentially beyond pattern looks a bit concerning with troughing undercutting the western USA ridge.  Our active subtropical jet will be a concern as well.  It is a pattern that is favorable for the return of stormy weather if it verifies, but for now, it is time to enjoy our break.   

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: Spring 2019
« Reply #178 on: March 16, 2019, 04:41:04 PM »
River Flood Warning issued for Davidson County.

The tears of Big Blue Nation are raging.  ::rofl::

Offline BRUCE

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Re: Spring 2019
« Reply #179 on: March 16, 2019, 05:39:03 PM »
River Flood Warning issued for Davidson County.

The tears of Big Blue Nation are raging.  ::rofl::
post of year. .... go big orange ....
Come on severe wx season...

 

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