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Author Topic: Spring 2019 - Severe Weather Thread  (Read 42774 times)

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Offline Eric

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Re: Spring 2019 - Severe Weather Thread
« Reply #420 on: April 11, 2019, 08:13:26 AM »
I think the sole reason they didn't go hatched - yet - is the realization there could be some limiting factors with how storms grow upscale.  That will change, I'm sure, once data gets straightened out.
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Offline NismoWx

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Re: Spring 2019 - Severe Weather Thread
« Reply #421 on: April 11, 2019, 10:37:56 AM »
A friend in Louisiana just shared this. That "outbreak," word just runs all over me every time I see it on Facebook.

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Offline BRUCE

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Re: Spring 2019 - Severe Weather Thread
« Reply #422 on: April 11, 2019, 11:42:38 AM »
12gfs is coming in real hot next week.. is a widespread outbreak .... lot model watching for this
Come on severe wx season...

Offline JTM1988

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Re: Spring 2019 - Severe Weather Thread
« Reply #423 on: April 11, 2019, 11:49:59 AM »
12gfs is coming in real hot next week.. is a widespread outbreak .... lot model watching for this


Seems like further west (MO, AR, LA) on Wednesday has the greatest potential. While still sufficient, seems the EHI and Cape decrease a little bit with the Thursday event further east.


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Offline BRUCE

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Re: Spring 2019 - Severe Weather Thread
« Reply #424 on: April 11, 2019, 11:52:08 AM »

Seems like further west (MO, AR, LA) on Wednesday has the greatest potential. While still sufficient, seems the EHI and Cape decrease a little bit with the Thursday event further east.


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cape Thursday still pushing close 1200 j ... for Thursday parts midsouth ....

Post Merge: April 11, 2019, 11:53:17 AM
cape Thursday still pushing close 1200 j ... for Thursday parts midsouth ....
a lot going be hang on the timing of this one ... just little to far out still determine
Come on severe wx season...

Offline JayCee

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Re: Spring 2019 - Severe Weather Thread
« Reply #425 on: April 11, 2019, 11:57:28 AM »
We may not be done with cold weather.  A cold shot with legs and possible freezing or frosty temps is showing up around 4/21.  Even some snow possible in the higher elevations.   :P
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Offline Crockett

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Re: Spring 2019 - Severe Weather Thread
« Reply #426 on: April 11, 2019, 12:03:38 PM »
We may not be done with cold weather.  A cold shot with legs and possible freezing or frosty temps is showing up around 4/21.  Even some snow possible in the higher elevations.   :P


Offline wfrogge

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Re: Spring 2019 - Severe Weather Thread
« Reply #427 on: April 11, 2019, 12:23:42 PM »
North Louisiana looks to get a rain wrapped tornado wedge fest on Saturday

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Offline Beth

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Re: Spring 2019 - Severe Weather Thread
« Reply #428 on: April 11, 2019, 01:17:23 PM »
We may not be done with cold weather.  A cold shot with legs and possible freezing or frosty temps is showing up around 4/21.  Even some snow possible in the higher elevations.   :P
It better not happen!  I have all my flowers and house plants out of my greenhouse.  😡 lol

Offline gcbama

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Re: Spring 2019 - Severe Weather Thread
« Reply #429 on: April 11, 2019, 01:51:29 PM »
on the next week severe threat I will almost bet that the Wed convection will spread another rain shield over our area and limit cape/instability as it has the past several years.

our "best" I use that term as a catch 22 , severe chances are when there was no previous day convection to our south/west, and the storms "initiate" over our area

Offline BRUCE

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Re: Spring 2019 - Severe Weather Thread
« Reply #430 on: April 11, 2019, 01:58:12 PM »
12 z euro ... is a very nasty run for next week ... outbreak .
Come on severe wx season...

Offline Nashville_Wx

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Re: Spring 2019 - Severe Weather Thread
« Reply #431 on: April 11, 2019, 03:19:49 PM »
Some higher elevation snowfall possible if the GFS is correct around that day 8-10 in East Mountains. Easy chase as most trailheads would stay liquid. Above 850mb could squeeze out some fat sticky flake. Would make amazing pictures with the Rhodo


Offline Drifter49

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Re: Spring 2019 - Severe Weather Thread
« Reply #432 on: April 11, 2019, 03:23:13 PM »
Iím back in Tennessee for some severe weather.


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Offline snowdog

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Re: Spring 2019 - Severe Weather Thread
« Reply #433 on: April 11, 2019, 03:29:23 PM »

Offline JayCee

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Re: Spring 2019 - Severe Weather Thread
« Reply #434 on: April 11, 2019, 05:36:10 PM »
It better not happen!  I have all my flowers and house plants out of my greenhouse.  😡 lol

Considering every tree around my house is now leafing out thanks to the 80 degree weather, I certainly don't want another hard freeze this late!  Cooler weather maybe, but nothing below freezing, please. 

Post Merge: April 11, 2019, 05:43:17 PM
Some higher elevation snowfall possible if the GFS is correct around that day 8-10 in East Mountains. Easy chase as most trailheads would stay liquid. Above 850mb could squeeze out some fat sticky flake. Would make amazing pictures with the Rhodo

If nothing else, mountain weather (even in east TN) is rarely boring.  Winds are gusting up there tonight to 60mph. 
« Last Edit: April 11, 2019, 05:43:17 PM by JayCee, Reason: Merged DoublePost »
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
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