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Author Topic: Spring 2019 - Severe Weather Thread  (Read 64978 times)

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Offline Thundersnow

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Spring 2019 - Severe Weather Thread
« on: February 24, 2019, 02:51:13 PM »
Friday will be March 1st. Time to start the thread and own it.

Kinda hoping for a dry stretch at some point.

(No particular reason to put this in the Severe forum, other than thatís where we traditionally put the spring thread.)
« Last Edit: March 22, 2019, 04:17:48 PM by bugalou »

Offline Uncle Nasty

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Re: Spring 2019
« Reply #1 on: February 24, 2019, 03:38:46 PM »
 

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Offline WXHD

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Re: Spring 2019
« Reply #2 on: February 24, 2019, 07:14:45 PM »
Iím in. I am done with winter. Did my best to get sunburnt today.
Earth transforms sunlight's visible light energy into infrared light energy, which leaves Earth slowly because it is absorbed by greenhouse gases. When people produce greenhouse gases, energy leaves Earth even more slowly Ė raising Earth's temperature. http://www.howglobalwarmingworks.org/

Offline JayCee

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Re: Spring 2019
« Reply #3 on: February 25, 2019, 02:40:16 PM »
The first half of March appears cold, but from the building upper air heights afterwards, the cold doesn't seem to linger on forever like last spring.  Maybe after an abysmal winter we can at least have a decent transition season to summer with 60's and 70's.   I'm sure we'll still have cold shots here and there, but last year the cold moved in and stayed until May.   

One thing I highly recommend for the coming spring is mosquito repellent.  They'll be feasting on us this year. 
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
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Online BRUCE

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Re: Spring 2019
« Reply #4 on: February 25, 2019, 02:56:41 PM »
Looks like the CFS model. Mid to long range toolsniff patterns is firing severe wx second half
March into early April ... looks active stormy ...
Come on severe wx season...

Online StormNine

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Re: Spring 2019
« Reply #5 on: February 25, 2019, 04:22:21 PM »
Looks like the CFS model. Mid to long range toolsniff patterns is firing severe wx second half
March into early April ... looks active stormy ...

If there is a -PNA I might score a winter threat during the 5 or so days I am in Utah right at the end of March/beginning of April.   

Offline Beth

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Re: Spring 2019
« Reply #6 on: February 26, 2019, 02:30:49 PM »
I am staying in this thread!  Staying away from the winter one!  I want this weather today till summer arrives.  Please, no more snow and no more rain!  😎😎😎😎😎

Offline JayCee

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Re: Spring 2019
« Reply #7 on: February 26, 2019, 02:36:59 PM »
I am staying in this thread!  Staying away from the winter one!  I want this weather today till summer arrives.  Please, no more snow and no more rain!  😎😎😎😎😎

Probably the sanest choice.  The winter thread will make you go cray cray.     ::cliff::
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
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Online BRUCE

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Re: Spring 2019
« Reply #8 on: February 26, 2019, 06:44:30 PM »
That post was made days ago... when gfs was showing a threat .... course it has changed big time since .... lol

Post Merge: February 26, 2019, 07:59:06 PM
Accuweather predicting 525 tornadoes 🌪 from first March to the end may this spring ...I know. Accuweather ... lol
« Last Edit: February 26, 2019, 08:00:17 PM by BRUCE »
Come on severe wx season...

Offline Crockett

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Re: Re: Spring 2019
« Reply #9 on: February 26, 2019, 10:07:16 PM »
That post was made days ago... when gfs was showing a threat .... course it has changed big time since .... lol

Post Merge: February 26, 2019, 07:59:06 PM
Accuweather predicting 525 tornadoes 🌪 from first March to the end may this spring ...I know. Accuweather ... lol

How in the name of fuh can Accuweather even make a prediction about the number of tornadoes with a straight face? Just another reason why friends don't let their weather un-savvy friends download the Accuweather app.

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: Re: Spring 2019
« Reply #10 on: February 26, 2019, 10:12:19 PM »
I'm an avid fan of Crackuweather's 90-day forecast.
"I like the cold weather. It means you get work done." - Noam Chomsky

Online StormNine

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Re: Re: Spring 2019
« Reply #11 on: February 27, 2019, 04:36:11 AM »
525 tornadoes in the USA during that timeframe is actually pretty close to average.  It sounds like a lot but it is pretty much a more hyped way of saying an average spring severe weather season.   Our March-May average in the USA is 537.
https://weather.com/storms/tornado/news/2018-03-27-april-may-june-tornadoes-peak-months

Online BRUCE

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Re: Re: Spring 2019
« Reply #12 on: February 27, 2019, 05:21:02 AM »
525 tornadoes in the USA during that timeframe is actually pretty close to average.  It sounds like a lot but it is pretty much a more hyped way of saying an average spring severe weather season.   Our March-May average in the USA is 537.
https://weather.com/storms/tornado/news/2018-03-27-april-may-june-tornadoes-peak-months
guess. We have been way below average last 3 years or so ... overall thinking is uptick to more threats this spring ... Iím liking the mid to late March pattern coming ... looking out long range stuff... guess this should been put in spring thread ... my bad. Lol
« Last Edit: February 27, 2019, 05:36:45 AM by BRUCE »
Come on severe wx season...

Online Charles L.

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Re: Re: Spring 2019
« Reply #13 on: February 27, 2019, 05:52:23 AM »
Great article about that AccuWeather nonsense.

https://t.co/NVhYvqXc7k
Mobile chat link:

http://tennesseewx.com/arrowchat/public/mobile/

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Online BRUCE

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Re: Re: Spring 2019
« Reply #14 on: February 27, 2019, 06:32:53 AM »
It may or may not snow in the next 5-7 days. But the Euro, CMC, and GFS all say next week is gonna be brutally cold for this time of year. Anywhere from 15-25 degrees below average. Lows on a couple models approach single digits next Wed/Thurs. Highs near freezing. Brrrrrr!!!!!


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yeah without doubt at all cold is coming ..and pretty impressive for this time year ... but theme this winter appears when cold here she dries up ... guess itís good thing since weíre dealing  with river flooding etc... be nice sneak a winter event in last second ....  though Iím ready for spring....
Come on severe wx season...

 

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