* User

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.

Login with username, password and session length

Advertisement


Author Topic: Winter 2018-19  (Read 253360 times)

0 Members and 2 Guests are viewing this topic.

Offline Michael

  • Supercell
  • *****
  • Posts: 659
  • Location: Russellville, TN
  • Twitter:
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 467
Re: Winter 2018-19
« Reply #3405 on: February 11, 2019, 10:47:16 PM »
It was fun while it lasted .


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Offline Thundersnow

  • Administrator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 11,154
  • Location: Nolensville
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 0
Re: Winter 2018-19
« Reply #3406 on: February 11, 2019, 11:31:20 PM »
Latest Projected Flood Stages along the Mississippi:

New Madrid and Tunica, MS: Moderate
Osceola, ARK: Major

I see what you did there.

Offline Thundersnow

  • Administrator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 11,154
  • Location: Nolensville
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 0
Winter 2018-19
« Reply #3407 on: February 11, 2019, 11:36:05 PM »
Well would ya look at that...00z is all rain.





Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Offline mempho

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 3,762
  • Location: Collierville
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 491
Re: Winter 2018-19
« Reply #3408 on: February 12, 2019, 02:12:45 AM »
Whatís that a 400 mile shift northwest? Lol


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Never fear.... GFS always loses the storm at this range plus I'd rather have the 0z Mempho3000 model  in my corner at this range.

   

Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk



Put on my big snow boots and
I boarded the plane
Touched down in the land of the Delta Blues
In the middle of the freezing rain

Snow up high
Won't you pour down over me
Yeah, I got some accretion
But I'm as blue as a boy can be

Offline mempho

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 3,762
  • Location: Collierville
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 491
Re: Winter 2018-19
« Reply #3409 on: February 12, 2019, 04:14:10 AM »
Actually - this is still very, very close to a significant snowstorm on the GFS.

Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk



Put on my big snow boots and
I boarded the plane
Touched down in the land of the Delta Blues
In the middle of the freezing rain

Snow up high
Won't you pour down over me
Yeah, I got some accretion
But I'm as blue as a boy can be

Offline cgauxknox

  • Supercell
  • *****
  • Posts: 634
  • Location: Knoxville
  • KM4UMK
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 394
Re: Winter 2018-19
« Reply #3410 on: February 12, 2019, 05:02:42 AM »
Regardless of how things fall in the next 7-10 days the eventual outcome is going to be the same:  ::drowning:: ::drowning:: ::drowning:: ::drowning::

I'd love to see good snow, but even if that's how we get the moisture the next big rain will turn all that snow into more water and pile up in an already saturated environment.  I'm beginning to think our major flooding may start before spring if this pattern keeps up.

Offline JayCee

  • Global Moderator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 4,082
  • Location: East Sevier County
  • Still a wxfreak
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 1470
Re: Winter 2018-19
« Reply #3411 on: February 12, 2019, 05:20:56 AM »
The problem was we built this house on the GFS.  Bad foundation. 




Moving on, it's gonna rain.  And then rain.  And then rain some more.

"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline snowdog

  • Global Moderator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 4,420
  • Location: Mt. Juliet, TN
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 119
Re: Winter 2018-19
« Reply #3412 on: February 12, 2019, 06:32:57 AM »
Uhh, day 10 Euro is becoming Groundhog's Day. Trough west, ridge east. Rinse wash repeat.

Offline JayCee

  • Global Moderator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 4,082
  • Location: East Sevier County
  • Still a wxfreak
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 1470
Re: Winter 2018-19
« Reply #3413 on: February 12, 2019, 06:52:57 AM »
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline Curt

  • Administrator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 7,924
  • Location: Arlington, TN(Memphis suburb)
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 0
Winter 2018-19
« Reply #3414 on: February 12, 2019, 07:23:58 AM »
Uhh, day 10 Euro is becoming Groundhog's Day. Trough west, ridge east. Rinse wash repeat.
Kinda crazy considering the massive SOI drop going on, MJO phases of perfection, cold air lurking to the NW, and a surface low in central Alabama.

Will say at least the GEFS hasnít budged with the cold air fairly well entrenched especially the further west one goes.
« Last Edit: February 12, 2019, 07:33:01 AM by Curt »

Offline snowdog

  • Global Moderator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 4,420
  • Location: Mt. Juliet, TN
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 119
Re: Winter 2018-19
« Reply #3415 on: February 12, 2019, 07:30:53 AM »
Kinda crazy considering the massive SOI drop going on, MJO phases of perfection, cold air lurking to the NE, and a surface low in central Alabama.

Will say at least the GEFS hasnít budged with the cold air fairly well entrenched especially the further west one goes.

Yeah, I was expecting to see something different at Day 10, but something else must be driving or the Euro could be wrong. We'll see.

Offline JHart

  • TNWX Supporter
  • Severe Thunderstorm
  • ******
  • Posts: 463
  • Location: Lascassas (NE Rutherford County)
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 136
Re: Winter 2018-19
« Reply #3416 on: February 12, 2019, 07:56:05 AM »
I check in before my involuntary weather fast in Arkansas begins and see that nothing has changed.   :)

The SOI fell four more points yesterday.

Today's GFS MJO forecast says "You may think you are in Phase 7, but really you're in the Hotel California."
Hire the left-handed --- its fun to watch them write.

Offline BRUCE

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 7,075
  • Location: Spring creek
  • home of three ef4 tornadoes since 1999
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 1675
Re: Winter 2018-19
« Reply #3417 on: February 12, 2019, 08:23:58 AM »
Bring on spring n severe weather season....
Come on severe wx season...

Offline JayCee

  • Global Moderator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 4,082
  • Location: East Sevier County
  • Still a wxfreak
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 1470
Re: Winter 2018-19
« Reply #3418 on: February 12, 2019, 08:43:34 AM »
Received an e-mail at work stating that the Greene County school system is closing early today due to flooding.  I assume they are worried many creeks and streams already overflowing will begin to cover roads with the incoming heavy rain, and they may not be able to get all the students home. 
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline Eric

  • IF THE NAM VERIFIES
  • Administrator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 14,339
  • Location: MTSU by day, Smyrna by night
  • Call sign: KJ4IXE
    • My Blog...
  • Twitter:
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 891
Re: Winter 2018-19
« Reply #3419 on: February 12, 2019, 08:52:49 AM »
Interesting little feature on the 6z GFS for this weekend that resembles a Miller B.  It's really just a robust little clipper that amps up once it reaches NC, but something to watch...especially of it still appears on the 12z.

0z Euro has it, too, but is way warm.  Keeps everything frozen N of the Ohio.   ::coffee::
« Last Edit: February 12, 2019, 08:56:31 AM by Eric »
#tSpotter Coordinator for Rutherford and Montgomery Cos. (@MontCoSevereWx and @RuthSevereWx)

 

* Recent Posts

North Atlantic Tropical Season 2019 Thread
by cgauxknox
[Today at 02:31:14 PM]
Winter 2019-2020
by snowdog
[Yesterday at 10:44:06 AM]
General Climate Thread
by Crockett
[Yesterday at 09:45:51 AM]
Fall 2019
by StormNine
[August 22, 2019, 05:25:18 PM]
Summer 2019 Thread - To sweat or not to sweat, that is the question.
by cgauxknox
[August 22, 2019, 07:38:33 AM]

Advertisement