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Author Topic: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm  (Read 266007 times)

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Offline WXHD

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #930 on: January 21, 2016, 05:27:30 PM »
Well, WTVF in Nashville gave a lackluster forecast. They do expect changeover around 10am-12pm but don't expect difficulties for travel until rush hour. No totals were given. It was definitely conservative. I have a tendency to side with them as well, giving low expectations.
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Offline BALLPARK

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #931 on: January 21, 2016, 05:31:21 PM »
Who needs channel 2,4, and 5 when we have Tennessee Weather. ::coffee:: ::guitar:: ::snowman:: ::popcorn::

Offline utvols235

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #932 on: January 21, 2016, 05:33:54 PM »
Around 1-5 inches. Most likely.
Oh really? Imagine that...

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Offline RABBITT040

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #933 on: January 21, 2016, 05:34:40 PM »
Raining steady now in my local. Holding at 35. It was suppose to be 40 by now.

Offline NismoWx

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #934 on: January 21, 2016, 05:38:41 PM »
Rain encroaching on Murfreesboro/Smyrna.

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Offline draelius

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #935 on: January 21, 2016, 05:40:20 PM »
The latest RAP is spitting out insane totals for the Arkansas Delta - upwards of 2 feet. Accumulations practically disappear (1-4") on the East side of the river.

Offline mmk3742

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #936 on: January 21, 2016, 05:40:40 PM »
I am planning to watch. Will try to update their thoughts here as best I can. Still waiting on the stream to start.

Curt Eric & I & fellow Rutherford county residents are holding you to that 8"!
Yup. I want it.

Offline dwagner88

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #937 on: January 21, 2016, 05:43:56 PM »
The latest RAP is spitting out insane totals for the Arkansas Delta - upwards of 2 feet. Accumulations practically disappear (1-4") on the East side of the river.
The RAP is notorious for doing this with stronger storms. It was spitting out 18" totals in North Alabama during the miller A last February. Needless to say that didn't verify. I wouldn't put much stock in it.
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Offline MemphisJDJ

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #938 on: January 21, 2016, 05:47:08 PM »
I wish someone would punch Spencer Denton in the genitals. 

"@sdentonwx

A little concerned about a lack of moisture to the west.  What if we just see a few snow showers.  Just a thought."

Offline BRUCE

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #939 on: January 21, 2016, 05:57:51 PM »
I wish someone would punch Spencer Denton in the genitals. 

"@sdentonwx

A little concerned about a lack of moisture to the west.  What if we just see a few snow showers.  Just a thought."
sounds like he is related to dave brown... ;)
Come on severe wx season...

Offline Curt

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #940 on: January 21, 2016, 06:01:31 PM »


HRR tomorrow morning. And with 50mph gusts per same run over Memphis metro

Offline draelius

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #941 on: January 21, 2016, 06:08:10 PM »
Refreshing change in how WMC is covering the weather on TV now that Childers is in charge. Their in-house model is showing just 2" but they showed all the other model outputs, as well, to give the potential range.

Dave Brown would have called it a day with the RPM.

Offline Curt

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #942 on: January 21, 2016, 06:08:19 PM »
The latest RAP is spitting out insane totals for the Arkansas Delta - upwards of 2 feet. Accumulations practically disappear (1-4") on the East side of the river.

RAP has to be the worst model ever. Not sure why its even there anymore

Offline draelius

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #943 on: January 21, 2016, 06:15:24 PM »
RAP has to be the worst model ever. Not sure why its even there anymore

Perhaps, but I do recall with the first storm last March - the one that slammed DeSoto Co and left Memphis high and dry, it seemed to handle where the gradients set up fairly well. I don't recall how it did on totals. We got about 5" in Olive Branch and my mother-in-law about 10 miles north saw just a few flakes. What a weird one that was.

Anyway, both the RAP and HRRR appear to be bringing the changeover significantly earlier now - between 2 and 3 am.

Offline Charles L.

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #944 on: January 21, 2016, 06:23:39 PM »
My point to click forecast says rain and snow after noon tomorrow and 1-2 inchs of snow and 1-2 inchs tomorrow night. I dont like that I want 5 inchs grrr. Maybe ill get under a good band of snow. Cant wait until this time tomorrow!

So 2-4" is not okay, but 5" is?  ::pondering::
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