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Author Topic: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm  (Read 266037 times)

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Offline WH Jason

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #840 on: January 21, 2016, 02:35:37 PM »
And Paul says he would bet heavily on Nashville receiving quite a low amount of snow:

https://4warnweather.wordpress.com/

It certainly will be interesting to watch over the next 24 hours.

Offline Dave R

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #841 on: January 21, 2016, 02:36:31 PM »
And Paul says he would bet heavily on Nashville receiving quite a low amount of snow:

https://4warnweather.wordpress.com/

It certainly will be interesting to watch over the next 24 hours.

Not to say his thinking has changed but that was a lot of models ago.
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Offline dave

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #842 on: January 21, 2016, 02:39:02 PM »
Accuweather.com graphic. Something to keep in mind once the melting starts


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Offline WH Jason

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #843 on: January 21, 2016, 02:39:27 PM »
Not to say his thinking has changed but that was a lot of models ago.

Do you happen to know, generally speaking, how many models ago?  He posted it this morning, so I'm not exactly certain on how much fresh data has come since then.

Offline Eric

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #844 on: January 21, 2016, 02:39:58 PM »
Hope you Memphis boys aren't watching the 18z NAM4...

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Offline NismoWx

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #845 on: January 21, 2016, 02:40:58 PM »
Do you happen to know, generally speaking, how many models ago?  He posted it this morning, so I'm not exactly certain on how much fresh data has come since then.
Several. I believe he updated again around 1pm.

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Offline Eric

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #846 on: January 21, 2016, 02:41:30 PM »
Do you happen to know, generally speaking, how many models ago?  He posted it this morning, so I'm not exactly certain on how much fresh data has come since then.

It was before the 12z GFS, which rolled out around 10am.  Since then, we've had the 12z Gfs, 12z Euro, 12z Canuck, 12z UKMET, 18z NAM, 21z SREF, 18z NAM4, etc..
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Online Clarksville Snowman

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #847 on: January 21, 2016, 02:42:06 PM »

I meant nothing by it. I can delete it, I'm pulling for everybody. My concern when posting that was sleet, we've had a ton of it on most of our big systems. That was my paranoid sarcastic comment that come across wrong I guess. I'm pulling for Nashville. ::fingerscrossed:: ::popcorn:: ::cold:: ::snowman::

Offline Eric

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #848 on: January 21, 2016, 02:44:02 PM »
I meant nothing by it. I can delete it, I'm pulling for everybody. My concern when posting that was sleet, we've had a ton of it on most of our big systems. That was my paranoid sarcastic comment that come across wrong I guess. I'm pulling for Nashville. ::fingerscrossed:: ::popcorn:: ::cold:: ::snowman::

Don't worry about it.  I took it as such.

18z NAM4 looks really warm, FWIW.  Doesn't changeover for CKV until mid-morning.
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Online Clarksville Snowman

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #849 on: January 21, 2016, 02:45:13 PM »
I sure hope that isn't right for all of our sakes. ::fingerscrossed:: ::cold:: ::snowman::

Offline Curt

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #850 on: January 21, 2016, 02:45:54 PM »

Hope you Memphis boys aren't watching the 18z NAM4...



Weatherbell is more generous with 3-4 in most of Shelby except less in eastern Shelby. North central ms definitely dry slotted except the delta.

Nam looks NOTHING like the 4k

Offline Charles L.

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #851 on: January 21, 2016, 02:46:38 PM »
Don't worry about it.  I took it as such.

18z NAM4 looks really warm, FWIW.  Doesn't changeover for CKV until mid-morning.

The HRRRX is really warm too. ::shrug::
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Offline jbmac25

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #852 on: January 21, 2016, 02:49:41 PM »
Charles L., what's up with the HRR warm trend?  Concerning?  Looking like more of a cold rain than anything?

Offline wfrogge

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #853 on: January 21, 2016, 02:50:03 PM »
Hope you Memphis boys aren't watching the 18z NAM4...




Offline bonzomemphis

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #854 on: January 21, 2016, 02:51:00 PM »
Weatherbell is more generous with 3-4 in most of Shelby except less in eastern Shelby. North central ms definitely dry slotted except the delta.

Nam looks NOTHING like the 4k

I live in SE Shelby. Starting to get a sick feeling in my stomach after feeling completely confident for 2-3 days.

If we get dry slotted in the 11th hour of this thing....

 

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