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Author Topic: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm  (Read 266065 times)

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Offline Dyersburg Weather

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #645 on: January 21, 2016, 09:15:00 AM »
I am being totally honest when I say I like trends this morning. I so much want the I40 corridor buried. Been a long time coming.  ::snowman:: ::fingerscrossed::

Offline Matthew

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #646 on: January 21, 2016, 09:19:40 AM »
Well I feel we are 1 for 1 so far on model runs going in right direction.  Let us hope that the GFS follows & gives us snow weenies even more love.

Offline dave

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #647 on: January 21, 2016, 09:20:38 AM »



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Offline RABBITT040

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #648 on: January 21, 2016, 09:22:43 AM »
Why is Memphis not under a wsw and I am? Says no accumulations for my area per weather channel and 3-5 for Memphis. My guess is this thing is going to shift 50 miles north or south and these totals for areas will change a lot in the next 24 hours. Seems like that happens every time. Fingers crossed is shifts south this time.

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #649 on: January 21, 2016, 09:23:52 AM »
Why is Memphis not under a wsw and I am? Says no accumulations for my area per weather channel and 3-5 for Memphis. My guess is this thing is going to shift 50 miles north or south and these totals for areas will change a lot in the next 24 hours. Seems like that happens every time. Fingers crossed is shifts south this time.

Ummm Memphis is under a WSW?

Offline spanarkle

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #650 on: January 21, 2016, 09:25:56 AM »
Basketball game tonight. Any idea on the timing of this??? Carroll Co.

Offline wfrogge

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #651 on: January 21, 2016, 09:27:06 AM »
Any bet takers on if any MEG counties get put under some type of blizzard warning? Seems like we might meet the criteria

Offline WXHD

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #652 on: January 21, 2016, 09:27:18 AM »
Basketball game tonight. Any idea on the timing of this??? Carroll Co.

Shouldn't be any worries tonight.
Earth transforms sunlight's visible light energy into infrared light energy, which leaves Earth slowly because it is absorbed by greenhouse gases. When people produce greenhouse gases, energy leaves Earth even more slowly – raising Earth's temperature. http://www.howglobalwarmingworks.org/

Kevin Terry

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #653 on: January 21, 2016, 09:27:30 AM »
12z NAM Bufkit totals...

MEM 6.7" (minor sleet)
JBR 1.3" (minor sleet/ 1/4" ZR)
MKL 4.6" (minor sleet)
BNA 1.2" (keep in mind there is a very sharp gradient N/W of the airport locale)
CKV 9.6" (minor sleet/ 1/2" ZR)

Offline Dyersburg Weather

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #654 on: January 21, 2016, 09:27:57 AM »
Basketball game tonight. Any idea on the timing of this??? Carroll Co.

Game tonight will be fine.

Offline utvols235

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #655 on: January 21, 2016, 09:28:29 AM »
Knoxville. Getting the shaft this time around

Offline Curt

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #656 on: January 21, 2016, 09:28:33 AM »

Any bet takers on if any MEG counties get put under some type of blizzard warning? Seems like we might meet the criteria

Good grief if Crittenden Co got a blizzard warning in 2012 can't see why not someone this time.

Kevin Terry

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #657 on: January 21, 2016, 09:29:55 AM »
On second look those BNA numbers look way off actually. Not sure what happened to the algorithm there...has very low ratios and extended period of RASN (which it doesn't accumulate and not sure is accurate)

Post Merge: January 21, 2016, 09:31:13 AM
Any bet takers on if any MEG counties get put under some type of blizzard warning? Seems like we might meet the criteria

If it didn't happen this morning my guess is it won't unless it's a nowcast decision as something is unfolding. This morning was the forecast team that would have pulled the trigger...in fact one of them was the same person who pulled the trigger on the 2012 BZW.

Offline Eric

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #658 on: January 21, 2016, 09:39:12 AM »
12z GFS looks very much like the 12z NAM.  A hair colder than it's predecessor.  T850s crash sooner.
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Offline wfrogge

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #659 on: January 21, 2016, 09:40:02 AM »
On second look those BNA numbers look way off actually. Not sure what happened to the algorithm there...has very low ratios and extended period of RASN (which it doesn't accumulate and not sure is accurate)

Post Merge: January 21, 2016, 09:31:13 AM
If it didn't happen this morning my guess is it won't unless it's a nowcast decision as something is unfolding. This morning was the forecast team that would have pulled the trigger...in fact one of them was the same person who pulled the trigger on the 2012 BZW.

How far in advance did they issue the famous Crittenden  county BZW? I know that has little to no bearing on this system or when they might pull the trigger, just wondering.

 

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