1/22/2016 Winter Storm

[Dyersburg Weather]

I am being totally honest when I say I like trends this morning. I so much want the I40 corridor buried. Been a long time coming. 

[Matthew]

Well I feel we are 1 for 1 so far on model runs going in right direction.  Let us hope that the GFS follows & gives us snow weenies even more love.

[dave]

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[RABBITT040]

Why is Memphis not under a wsw and I am? Says no accumulations for my area per weather channel and 3-5 for Memphis. My guess is this thing is going to shift 50 miles north or south and these totals for areas will change a lot in the next 24 hours. Seems like that happens every time. Fingers crossed is shifts south this time.

[Kevin Terry]

Why is Memphis not under a wsw and I am? Says no accumulations for my area per weather channel and 3-5 for Memphis. My guess is this thing is going to shift 50 miles north or south and these totals for areas will change a lot in the next 24 hours. Seems like that happens every time. Fingers crossed is shifts south this time.

Ummm Memphis is under a WSW?

[spanarkle]

Basketball game tonight. Any idea on the timing of this??? Carroll Co.

[wfrogge]

Any bet takers on if any MEG counties get put under some type of blizzard warning? Seems like we might meet the criteria

[WXHD]

Basketball game tonight. Any idea on the timing of this??? Carroll Co.

Shouldn't be any worries tonight.

[Kevin Terry]

12z NAM Bufkit totals...

MEM 6.7" (minor sleet)
JBR 1.3" (minor sleet/ 1/4" ZR)
MKL 4.6" (minor sleet)
BNA 1.2" (keep in mind there is a very sharp gradient N/W of the airport locale)
CKV 9.6" (minor sleet/ 1/2" ZR)

[Dyersburg Weather]

Basketball game tonight. Any idea on the timing of this??? Carroll Co.

Game tonight will be fine.

[utvols235]

Knoxville. Getting the shaft this time around

[Curt]

Any bet takers on if any MEG counties get put under some type of blizzard warning? Seems like we might meet the criteria

Good grief if Crittenden Co got a blizzard warning in 2012 can't see why not someone this time.

[Kevin Terry]

On second look those BNA numbers look way off actually. Not sure what happened to the algorithm there...has very low ratios and extended period of RASN (which it doesn't accumulate and not sure is accurate)
Post Merge: January 21, 2016, 09:31:13 AM

Any bet takers on if any MEG counties get put under some type of blizzard warning? Seems like we might meet the criteria

If it didn't happen this morning my guess is it won't unless it's a nowcast decision as something is unfolding. This morning was the forecast team that would have pulled the trigger...in fact one of them was the same person who pulled the trigger on the 2012 BZW.

[Eric]

12z GFS looks very much like the 12z NAM.  A hair colder than it's predecessor.  T850s crash sooner.

[wfrogge]

On second look those BNA numbers look way off actually. Not sure what happened to the algorithm there...has very low ratios and extended period of RASN (which it doesn't accumulate and not sure is accurate)
Post Merge: January 21, 2016, 09:31:13 AMIf it didn't happen this morning my guess is it won't unless it's a nowcast decision as something is unfolding. This morning was the forecast team that would have pulled the trigger...in fact one of them was the same person who pulled the trigger on the 2012 BZW.

How far in advance did they issue the famous Crittenden  county BZW? I know that has little to no bearing on this system or when they might pull the trigger, just wondering.