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Author Topic: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm  (Read 266035 times)

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Offline mempho

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #525 on: January 21, 2016, 12:12:48 AM »
0z Euro pretty much holds serve with the 12z. Heaviest axis of precip from roughly Marks, MS to roughly Clarksville, TN. Memphis cashes in for 4-8" (W to E) and Nashville is progged for 7".
Sounds like a winner to me! 

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Put on my big snow boots and
I boarded the plane
Touched down in the land of the Delta Blues
In the middle of the freezing rain

Snow up high
Won't you pour down over me
Yeah, I got some accretion
But I'm as blue as a boy can be

Offline Clay

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #526 on: January 21, 2016, 12:13:37 AM »
Big swath of snow along the 40 corridor from BNA west.

Offline mempho

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #527 on: January 21, 2016, 12:15:37 AM »
Big swath of snow along the 40 corridor from BNA west.
Widespread 4-8"?

Sent from my SM-G900R7 using Tapatalk



Put on my big snow boots and
I boarded the plane
Touched down in the land of the Delta Blues
In the middle of the freezing rain

Snow up high
Won't you pour down over me
Yeah, I got some accretion
But I'm as blue as a boy can be

Offline Clay

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #528 on: January 21, 2016, 12:19:37 AM »
Widespread 4-8"?

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If you drew a cone from Eastern Shelby County to Land Between the Lakes, and BNA. That's roughly where 8" plus inches falls at 10:1.

Offline mempho

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #529 on: January 21, 2016, 12:20:26 AM »
If you drew a cone from Eastern Shelby County to Land Between the Lakes, and BNA. That's roughly where 7" plus inches falls at 10:1.
Very nice!

Sent from my SM-G900R7 using Tapatalk



Put on my big snow boots and
I boarded the plane
Touched down in the land of the Delta Blues
In the middle of the freezing rain

Snow up high
Won't you pour down over me
Yeah, I got some accretion
But I'm as blue as a boy can be

Offline paderryb

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #530 on: January 21, 2016, 12:26:55 AM »
I think I live under a warm bubble. Last year there was 4 inches of snow just 7 miles from my house and I got a dusting. It seems to always miss me by a hair.  :'(

Offline Clay

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #531 on: January 21, 2016, 12:32:02 AM »
Obviously any 10:1 clown map is not going take into account ground conditions. With that scenario, you can probably take 3/4 of that total to get the realistic number.

Offline MemphisJDJ

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #532 on: January 21, 2016, 12:36:18 AM »
Do you honestly believe 10:1 will occur here?  I was thinking maybe 8:1 at least at 1st.

Offline Clint

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #533 on: January 21, 2016, 12:40:58 AM »
I'm curious when MEG will issue WSW. Their confidence should be high especially after tonight's 0Z runs.

Kevin Terry

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #534 on: January 21, 2016, 12:45:04 AM »
I'm curious when MEG will issue WSW. Their confidence should be high especially after tonight's 0Z runs.

Almost certainly with the AM package

Offline MemphisJDJ

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #535 on: January 21, 2016, 12:45:36 AM »
I think I live under a warm bubble. Last year there was 4 inches of snow just 7 miles from my house and I got a dusting. It seems to always miss me by a hair.  :'(

If euro model verifies I think you could see at least a couple of inches

Offline Charles L.

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #536 on: January 21, 2016, 02:31:12 AM »
6z NAM continues the idea of a very sharp gradient across middle TN. This will be a feast or famine snowstorm it seems (which has been the idea all along, we just didn't know where that gradient would set up)
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Offline mempho

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #537 on: January 21, 2016, 02:57:42 AM »
Almost certainly with the AM package
After sleeping for a bit,  I have to say I will be a little disappointed if they don't go with the blizzard warning:

 1) I do think it's a good call to go with (considering guidance)  and

 2) how many times are we ever going to be in this position again?





Sent from my SM-G900R7 using Tapatalk



Put on my big snow boots and
I boarded the plane
Touched down in the land of the Delta Blues
In the middle of the freezing rain

Snow up high
Won't you pour down over me
Yeah, I got some accretion
But I'm as blue as a boy can be

Offline MemphisJDJ

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #538 on: January 21, 2016, 02:59:04 AM »
Looks as if LZK is sticking with this in their updated grids this morning.

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Kevin Terry

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #539 on: January 21, 2016, 03:15:03 AM »
After sleeping for a bit,  I have to say I will be a little disappointed if they don't go with the blizzard warning:

 1) I do think it's a good call to go with (considering guidance)  and

 2) how many times are we ever going to be in this position again?





Sent from my SM-G900R7 using Tapatalk

I don't know why I'm still awake first of all lol...

But if worst came to worst you can always upgrade. That actually almost happened in March 2008. Yes there are signals especially on the GFS that wind gusts could near criteria but its such a gutsy call to make honestly.


 

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