* User

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.

Login with username, password and session length

Advertisement


Author Topic: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm  (Read 264259 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Offline MemphisJDJ

  • Thunderstorm
  • ***
  • Posts: 103
  • Location: Olive Branch, MS
    • Mid-South Storm Chasers
  • Twitter:
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 80
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #375 on: January 20, 2016, 08:32:54 PM »
0z NAM does look a lot better but I'm not totally buying that surface low to move that far north when it looks so great at 500mb...

Offline draelius

  • Thunderstorm
  • ***
  • Posts: 171
  • Location: Olive Branch, MS
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 7
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #376 on: January 20, 2016, 08:34:03 PM »
Still a good hit for West TN, NW MS. If you want to snow chase on Friday, I-40 between Little Rock and Jackson, TN is the place to go. Somebody along there is going to get walloped.

Offline marjl21

  • Severe Thunderstorm
  • ****
  • Posts: 337
  • Location: Germantown, TN
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 5
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #377 on: January 20, 2016, 08:35:05 PM »
Wow... The 4km nam is dropping 2'+ in western KY

Offline Matthew

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 1,923
  • Location: Smryna, TN
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 706
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #378 on: January 20, 2016, 08:35:40 PM »

You still do excellent. The gradient for middle TN is tight. Joelton could get 6" while SE Davidson gets only an inch or so.
f

Just what Ron Howes was showing.  Well I am sure he has seen this soooooo many times he knows better to predict more than an inch for I40.   When will I learn?  Lol.

Offline dwagner88

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 3,551
  • Location: Chattanooga (East Brainerd) TN
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 145
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #379 on: January 20, 2016, 08:36:29 PM »

You still do excellent. The gradient for middle TN is tight. Joelton could get 6" while SE Davidson gets only an inch or so.
I'd love to will this storm a bit further south for our Nashville brethren who have been so snow starved these past few years. That being said, if I'm chasing this, I'm heading for CKV.
Winter 2009-10 Snowfall: 11.5 in. :)
Winter 2010-11 Snowfall: 15.5 in. :)
Winter 2011-12: Trace
Winter 2012-2013: 0.25 in.
Winter 2013-14: 10.6 (9.5 on 2/12)
Winter 2014-2015: 10.25 in.
Winters 2015-2019: basically nothing
Winter 2019-2020:
2/8/20: 4.25

Offline JTM1988

  • Thunderstorm
  • ***
  • Posts: 155
  • Location: Nashville, TN
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 7
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #380 on: January 20, 2016, 08:36:30 PM »

Wow... The 4km nam is dropping 2'+ in western KY

Which they also got...last year


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Offline Trevor

  • TNWX Supporter
  • Severe Thunderstorm
  • ******
  • Posts: 306
  • Location: Starkville, MS
  • "Winter Battle Zone"
  • Twitter:
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 119
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #381 on: January 20, 2016, 08:36:53 PM »
Just curious...because I couldn't find it anywhere I looked. What is the timing criteria for a Winter Storm Warning? 36 or 24 hours out?

Kevin Terry

  • Guest
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #382 on: January 20, 2016, 08:37:14 PM »
The way the 4km NAM resolves QPF/precipitation is beyond my ability to understand. How is this plausible?

Offline Matthew

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 1,923
  • Location: Smryna, TN
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 706
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #383 on: January 20, 2016, 08:38:19 PM »
Which they also got...last year


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Paducah got 2 storms over 12" last year.  I was just reminded earlier today.  Sheesh.  The rich appear to might be getting richer.

Offline MemphisJDJ

  • Thunderstorm
  • ***
  • Posts: 103
  • Location: Olive Branch, MS
    • Mid-South Storm Chasers
  • Twitter:
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 80
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #384 on: January 20, 2016, 08:39:03 PM »
Just curious...because I couldn't find it anywhere I looked. What is the timing criteria for a Winter Storm Warning? 36 or 24 hours out?

8-36 hours

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/meg/?n=headlines

Offline wfrogge

  • Supercell
  • *****
  • Posts: 577
  • Location: Oakland
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 69
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #385 on: January 20, 2016, 08:40:22 PM »
Just curious...because I couldn't find it anywhere I looked. What is the timing criteria for a Winter Storm Warning? 36 or 24 hours out?

Thought it varied per office for the timing

Offline Dyersburg Weather

  • Global Moderator
  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 2,467
  • Location: North of 40
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 617
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #386 on: January 20, 2016, 08:41:10 PM »
The way the 4km NAM resolves QPF/precipitation is beyond my ability to understand. How is this plausible?


IMO its not. It fills in the void a couple frames later but Im not buying that frame.

Offline Charles L.

  • Global Moderator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 9,420
  • Location: Macon County, TN
  • Twitter:
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 2278
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #387 on: January 20, 2016, 08:41:42 PM »
Don't worry guys. With that big a shift, come the 12z runs  tomorrow this system will give Tulsa a foot! I-44 here we come!
Mobile chat link:

http://tennesseewx.com/arrowchat/public/mobile/

SumnerSevereWx and MaconSevereWx #tSpotter Coordinator

Offline Scot

  • Supercell
  • *****
  • Posts: 713
  • Location: Mt. Juliet, TN
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 273
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #388 on: January 20, 2016, 08:42:41 PM »
This isn't even funny!  Deja Vu


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Offline StormNine

  • Global Moderator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 4,768
  • Location: Hopkinsville KY/ Bowling Green KY
  • Twitter:
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 175
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #389 on: January 20, 2016, 08:42:54 PM »
Paducah got 2 storms over 12" last year.  I was just reminded earlier today.  Sheesh.  The rich appear to might be getting richer.

Ohio County got a 13'' with the Presidents Day Storm and 23'' with the March 4th-5th one. 

 

* Recent Posts

Long Range Discussion: Winter 2020-2021
by StormNine
[Today at 11:50:51 AM]
November 2020
by schneitzeit
[Today at 07:40:40 AM]
2020 Tropical Season Outlook
by JayCee
[November 21, 2020, 05:24:16 PM]
New Madrid Seismic Zone Activity
by bugalou
[November 21, 2020, 03:27:27 PM]
Best Educational Resources for Amateurs
by Eric
[November 16, 2020, 09:19:07 PM]

Advertisement