1/22/2016 Winter Storm

[Kevin Terry]

These are the 18z GEFS members. If I'm in Memphis I'm sweating bullets for these 0z runs...just being honest...

Hope the GFS/GEFS is a fluke

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[BRUCE]

I like what I read on klzk afd out of little rock... they had from pinebluff to Brinkley 4 to 6 inches.... that's nice...  could be start of the deform band... and you would think that area of snow should get pulled to the ne with the slp moving ne but only increase in intensity as the slp deepens further east...

[Curt]

These are the 18z GEFS members. If I'm in Memphis I'm sweating bullets for these 0z runs...just being honest...

Hope the GFS/GEFS is a fluke

The 12 z GEFS wasn't much better. But honestly, we are within 48 hours. Def some guidance but I would think ops are better. 24 hours from now-its about now time

[BRUCE]

its like this   if the gfs could speak... it would say, I am going on a island alone and win with scoring a big upset over the other global models... or I am just going to give up and become an outlier...

[MemphisJDJ]

For what it's worth, the WPC noted in its heavy snow and icing discussion not long ago that it used a blend of the 0z EPS & 6z GEFS

[Eric]

[Kevin Terry]

#win

[snowdog]

WPC Probs show north of I-40 in BNA as a 40% chance of great than 6" snow. 

http://origin.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/pwpf/wwd_accum_probs.php?fpd=24&ptype=snow&amt=2&day=null

[BRUCE]

I am high  your right. high on this potential big snow storm... just stating my opinion that makes sense...whats wrong with that ... I worked hard n late today... just now getting chance to chime in

[Kevin Terry]

I am high  your right. high on this potential big snow storm... just stating my opinion that makes sense...whats wrong with that ... I worked hard n late today... just now getting chance to chime in

It's okay...take a breath lol. Inhale especially....

 

[Farris_TN]

I don't know what model WKRN Channel 2 uses but Lisa Patton went from having changeover from Rain to Snow occuring at 8-9 AM Friday on 5 o'clock news, to 3-4 PM on Friday on 6 o'clock news and not as much accumulating snow. She had around 3" in Clarksvilke.

[Kevin Terry]

This is what's in the NDFD right now (the WFO grids)...

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Clearly somebody is more aggressive than others...

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[Dyersburg Weather]

WREG out of Memphis is showing 7 inches in Memphis and NW Ms. 3 to 4 up this way.

[NashRugger]

This is what's in the NDFD right now (the WFO grids)...

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Clearly somebody is more aggressive than others...

That's just absurd. At least there's continuity between OHX's Alabama border counties and HUN's CWA.

[StormNine]

I will be rooting for you all to get your much needed heavy snow event instead of wintry mix or cold rain.   The only concern is that because we are likely dealing with a deformation band that has a potentially sharp gradient there will be some big winners and some big losers unfortunately(or fortunately because I know a lot of Kentuckians who loved snow prior to the last winter now don't feel the same anymore, I'm not one of those Kentuckians lol).  Hopefully I-40 comes out on the winners team.