* User

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.

Login with username, password and session length

Advertisement


Author Topic: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm  (Read 266004 times)

0 Members and 3 Guests are viewing this topic.

Kevin Terry

  • Guest
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #300 on: January 20, 2016, 05:55:31 PM »
These are the 18z GEFS members. If I'm in Memphis I'm sweating bullets for these 0z runs...just being honest...

Hope the GFS/GEFS is a fluke

[ Guests cannot view attachments ]

Offline BRUCE

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 8,172
  • Location: Spring creek
  • home of three ef4 tornadoes since 1999
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 2310
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #301 on: January 20, 2016, 05:56:35 PM »
I like what I read on klzk afd out of little rock... they had from pinebluff to Brinkley 4 to 6 inches.... that's nice...  could be start of the deform band... and you would think that area of snow should get pulled to the ne with the slp moving ne but only increase in intensity as the slp deepens further east...
Come on severe wx season...

Offline Curt

  • Administrator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 8,261
  • Location: Arlington, TN(Memphis suburb)
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 377
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #302 on: January 20, 2016, 05:57:44 PM »

These are the 18z GEFS members. If I'm in Memphis I'm sweating bullets for these 0z runs...just being honest...

Hope the GFS/GEFS is a fluke

The 12 z GEFS wasn't much better. But honestly, we are within 48 hours. Def some guidance but I would think ops are better. 24 hours from now-its about now time

Offline BRUCE

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 8,172
  • Location: Spring creek
  • home of three ef4 tornadoes since 1999
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 2310
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #303 on: January 20, 2016, 06:04:00 PM »
its like this   if the gfs could speak... it would say, I am going on a island alone and win with scoring a big upset over the other global models... or I am just going to give up and become an outlier...
Come on severe wx season...

Offline MemphisJDJ

  • Thunderstorm
  • ***
  • Posts: 103
  • Location: Olive Branch, MS
    • Mid-South Storm Chasers
  • Twitter:
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 80
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #304 on: January 20, 2016, 06:07:10 PM »
For what it's worth, the WPC noted in its heavy snow and icing discussion not long ago that it used a blend of the 0z EPS & 6z GEFS

Online Eric

  • IF THE NAM VERIFIES
  • Administrator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 14,788
  • Location: MTSU by day, Morrison by night
  • Call sign: KJ4IXE
    • My Blog...
  • Twitter:
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 926
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #305 on: January 20, 2016, 06:08:55 PM »
#tSpotter Coordinator for Rutherford and Warren Cos. (@WarrenSevereWx and @RuthSevereWx)

Kevin Terry

  • Guest
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #306 on: January 20, 2016, 06:12:09 PM »

Online snowdog

  • Global Moderator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 4,936
  • Location: Mt. Juliet, TN
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 165
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #307 on: January 20, 2016, 06:14:22 PM »
WPC Probs show north of I-40 in BNA as a 40% chance of great than 6" snow. 

http://origin.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/pwpf/wwd_accum_probs.php?fpd=24&ptype=snow&amt=2&day=null

Offline BRUCE

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 8,172
  • Location: Spring creek
  • home of three ef4 tornadoes since 1999
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 2310
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #308 on: January 20, 2016, 06:16:00 PM »

I am high  your right. high on this potential big snow storm... just stating my opinion that makes sense...whats wrong with that ... I worked hard n late today... just now getting chance to chime in
Come on severe wx season...

Kevin Terry

  • Guest
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #309 on: January 20, 2016, 06:21:21 PM »
I am high  your right. high on this potential big snow storm... just stating my opinion that makes sense...whats wrong with that ... I worked hard n late today... just now getting chance to chime in

It's okay...take a breath lol. Inhale especially....

 ;)

Offline Farris_TN

  • Thunderstorm
  • ***
  • Posts: 164
  • Location: Madison, TN
  • Twitter:
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 21
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #310 on: January 20, 2016, 06:27:18 PM »
I don't know what model WKRN Channel 2 uses but Lisa Patton went from having changeover from Rain to Snow occuring at 8-9 AM Friday on 5 o'clock news, to 3-4 PM on Friday on 6 o'clock news and not as much accumulating snow. She had around 3" in Clarksvilke.

Kevin Terry

  • Guest
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #311 on: January 20, 2016, 06:27:43 PM »
This is what's in the NDFD right now (the WFO grids)...

[ Guests cannot view attachments ]

Clearly somebody is more aggressive than others...

[ Guests cannot view attachments ]

Offline Dyersburg Weather

  • Global Moderator
  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 2,471
  • Location: North of 40
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 618
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #312 on: January 20, 2016, 06:33:17 PM »
WREG out of Memphis is showing 7 inches in Memphis and NW Ms. 3 to 4 up this way.

Offline NashRugger

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 1,215
  • Location: St. Louis, MO
  • US Navy meteorologist
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 94
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #313 on: January 20, 2016, 06:34:06 PM »
This is what's in the NDFD right now (the WFO grids)...

(Attachment Link)

Clearly somebody is more aggressive than others...
That's just absurd. At least there's continuity between OHX's Alabama border counties and HUN's CWA.

Offline StormNine

  • Global Moderator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 4,783
  • Location: Hopkinsville KY/ Bowling Green KY
  • Twitter:
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 176
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #314 on: January 20, 2016, 06:34:48 PM »
I will be rooting for you all to get your much needed heavy snow event instead of wintry mix or cold rain.   The only concern is that because we are likely dealing with a deformation band that has a potentially sharp gradient there will be some big winners and some big losers unfortunately(or fortunately because I know a lot of Kentuckians who loved snow prior to the last winter now don't feel the same anymore, I'm not one of those Kentuckians lol).  Hopefully I-40 comes out on the winners team. 

 

* Recent Posts

November 2020
by Michael
[Today at 11:47:23 AM]
December 2020
by dwagner88
[Today at 09:21:51 AM]
2020 Tropical Season Outlook
by schneitzeit
[Today at 08:16:53 AM]
Long Range Discussion: Winter 2020-2021
by schneitzeit
[Yesterday at 08:31:35 AM]

Advertisement