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Author Topic: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm  (Read 264287 times)

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Offline Matthew

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #270 on: January 20, 2016, 04:52:19 PM »
Did anyone see Ron Howes?  My sister just texted "he said Nashville east is all rain and only a trace of snow"?  Really?
How does a WSW even get issued if that is what happens.

Offline Susan

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #271 on: January 20, 2016, 04:54:42 PM »
18z RGEM...

(Attachment Link) (Attachment Link) (Attachment Link)

I may be wrong, but I don't believe this model was close to correct for today's storm. At this time frame.
All my misspelled words, typos, and grammatical errors, are intentional, and intended to troll and provoke.

Offline justinmundie

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #272 on: January 20, 2016, 04:55:37 PM »
Did anyone see Ron Howes?  My sister just texted "he said Nashville east is all rain and only a trace of snow"?  Really?
How does a WSW even get issued if that is what happens.

Southeast of Nashville that's certainly a possibility. But he's definitely not using any current model guidance that I've seen.
Snow lover who moved to a place where it never snows.

Kevin Terry

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #273 on: January 20, 2016, 04:56:58 PM »
I may be wrong, but I don't believe this model was close to correct for today's storm. At this time frame.

It wasn't. It performed pretty horrible actually. Doesn't mean it will on this one necessarily...of course.

Offline Dyersburg Weather

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #274 on: January 20, 2016, 04:57:15 PM »
SREF plumes are starting to go up. There is a 3 inch mean for all of west Tn and goes up to 4 inches for BNA.


Offline utvols235

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #275 on: January 20, 2016, 04:58:09 PM »
So it's not worth getting excited in Knoxville unlike the rest of the state?

Offline Eric

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #276 on: January 20, 2016, 04:58:45 PM »
Did anyone see Ron Howes?  My sister just texted "he said Nashville east is all rain and only a trace of snow"?  Really?
How does a WSW even get issued if that is what happens.

I'm not sure WTF Ron is looking at.
#tSpotter Coordinator for Rutherford and Warren Cos. (@WarrenSevereWx and @RuthSevereWx)

Offline Matthew

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #277 on: January 20, 2016, 04:58:54 PM »
Southeast of Nashville that's certainly a possibility. But he's definitely not using any current model guidance that I've seen.

I told her I have no idea what he is looking at.  She said he said "only .2 to .5 of snow for Nashville"?  I understand being conservative but really?

Offline Matthew

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #278 on: January 20, 2016, 04:59:38 PM »
I'm not sure WTF Ron is looking at.

Maybe he runs the snow dome?

Offline CT_Yankee

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #279 on: January 20, 2016, 05:02:13 PM »
Wasn't there a storm last year where we were looking at models 2 days ahead showing 6+ inches while Ron Howes said around 1", and at the last minute he ended up being right?
Aaron
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Offline Thundersnow

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #280 on: January 20, 2016, 05:05:05 PM »
Fresh OHX graphic:



Seems a bit on the low end...  ::coffee::

Considering what the models are suggesting, it does.

But, I can't fault them.  I even told family today that models are showing the potential for amazing accumulations, but I think we'll end up with a couple of inches.

I'm obviously rooting for what the models are suggesting.  But, cumulative experience leads me otherwise.

Offline Eric

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #281 on: January 20, 2016, 05:05:24 PM »
Wasn't there a storm last year where we were looking at models 2 days ahead showing 6+ inches while Ron Howes said around 1", and at the last minute he ended up being right?

I understand making your own forecast, but to differ SO MUCH from OHX?  I don't know,man.....
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Offline CT_Yankee

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #282 on: January 20, 2016, 05:05:54 PM »
I'm obviously rooting for what the models are suggesting.  But, cumulative experience leads me otherwise.

^^ This.
Aaron
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Kevin Terry

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #283 on: January 20, 2016, 05:14:47 PM »
Preparing myself for the 0z runs to be a mass disaster for the MEM contingent if nobody else. GFS/GEFS just has me worried.

Offline Susan

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #284 on: January 20, 2016, 05:17:04 PM »
GFS/GEFS just has me worried.

The more excited the folks on this board become the more cautious I get. 
Been here, and been crushed.
All my misspelled words, typos, and grammatical errors, are intentional, and intended to troll and provoke.

 

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