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Author Topic: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm  (Read 265976 times)

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Online cgauxknox

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #135 on: January 20, 2016, 12:38:57 PM »
So does this shift south do enough to bring Knoxville and other areas of east TN into snow rather than rain?  I'm watching the discussion here closely as you guys often (OK, almost always) are faster and more accurate than the local mets on major events.

Offline WXHD

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #136 on: January 20, 2016, 12:42:13 PM »
So does this shift south do enough to bring Knoxville and other areas of east TN into snow rather than rain?  I'm watching the discussion here closely as you guys often (OK, almost always) are faster and more accurate than the local mets on major events.

We don't have to take responsibility for our forecasts.
Earth transforms sunlight's visible light energy into infrared light energy, which leaves Earth slowly because it is absorbed by greenhouse gases. When people produce greenhouse gases, energy leaves Earth even more slowly – raising Earth's temperature. http://www.howglobalwarmingworks.org/

Offline andyhb

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #137 on: January 20, 2016, 12:45:58 PM »
Well there's that I-40 obliteration that people here have been talking about all these years...

Almost certain there would be periods TSSN with this as well. The 700 mb VVs are crazy with that band along with a decent amount of elevated instability and strong mid level height falls.
« Last Edit: January 20, 2016, 12:48:21 PM by andyhb »
Dynamic upper level troughs with adequate warm sector instability™


Offline Crockett

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #138 on: January 20, 2016, 12:47:22 PM »
So does this shift south do enough to bring Knoxville and other areas of east TN into snow rather than rain?  I'm watching the discussion here closely as you guys often (OK, almost always) are faster and more accurate than the local mets on major events.

Euro verbatim is light accums (advisory level) for the valley but there's potential for more.

Offline Beth

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #139 on: January 20, 2016, 12:50:13 PM »
Bullseye of 15" on Dickson.
I will gladly share! Lol  ;)

Offline angrypug

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #140 on: January 20, 2016, 12:51:09 PM »
Clay Travis is posting the euro map.  We're now cursed and Guaranteed a cold rain.


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Offline Charles L.

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #141 on: January 20, 2016, 12:51:36 PM »
Have to think MEG, OHX, and PAD issue Winter Storm Watches this afternoon. They may hold off until tonight to see the 0z runs, but I really don't see why you would hold off. You would be putting everyone in the WSW area anyway.
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Offline Charles L.

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #142 on: January 20, 2016, 12:52:29 PM »
Clay Travis is posting the euro map.  We're now cursed and Guaranteed a cold rain.


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And now people will be upset when they don't get those totals. I hate when he does that.
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Offline snowdog

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #143 on: January 20, 2016, 12:53:02 PM »
Boy, BNA is close to something historic according to text.  Another .6" QPF falls with Temps 33.7 to 32.0.  With roughly an inch of QPF below 32.  Amazing.  Thanks to WarEagle from AmericanWx. 


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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #144 on: January 20, 2016, 12:55:37 PM »
Have to think MEG, OHX, and PAD issue Winter Storm Watches this afternoon. They may hold off until tonight to see the 0z runs, but I really don't see why you would hold off. You would be putting everyone in the WSW area anyway.

When asked on twitter if MEG was issuing watches this afternoon...the reply was simply "yes"

Offline kristin

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #145 on: January 20, 2016, 12:56:33 PM »
How's this looking for the plateau?

Online Eric

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #146 on: January 20, 2016, 12:57:35 PM »
And now people will be upset when they don't get those totals. I hate when he does that.

What else is an attention-seeking @$$clown going to do?
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Offline snowdog

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #147 on: January 20, 2016, 12:58:40 PM »
CIPS analog, going off 12z NAM...


Online Coach B

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #148 on: January 20, 2016, 12:59:33 PM »
The low track on the GEFS is a think of beauty. In reviewing the 12Z ensemble runs of both the GEM and GFS, both appear further south of their op runs. Not the bomb totals of the Euro, but very nice. What is this strange occurrence of multiple models actually agreeing on a significant snow for us 48 hours before the event? It. feels. weird.

Offline Crockett

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Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #149 on: January 20, 2016, 01:00:49 PM »
How's this looking for the plateau?

Crossville north does well on the latest Euro (6+"), higher amounts north and lesser amounts south. All models showing at least borderline WSW criteria for the upper Cumberland though.

 

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