* User

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.

Login with username, password and session length

Advertisement


Author Topic: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm  (Read 264278 times)

0 Members and 2 Guests are viewing this topic.

Offline Curt

  • Administrator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 8,257
  • Location: Arlington, TN(Memphis suburb)
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 377

Offline mempho

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 3,843
  • Location: Collierville
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 511
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #16 on: January 19, 2016, 02:26:49 PM »


Here's the Eurowx snow map. That's 3-5, maybe pushing 6 in the metro. Good googly moogly at Clarksville over the next 5 days!
FWIW,  Say it phases 100 miles to the southwest.   

Then,  perhaps it's less likely to transfer to the coast?


Sent from my SM-G900R7 using Tapatalk



Put on my big snow boots and
I boarded the plane
Touched down in the land of the Delta Blues
In the middle of the freezing rain

Snow up high
Won't you pour down over me
Yeah, I got some accretion
But I'm as blue as a boy can be

Offline Clarksville Snowman

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 2,332
  • Location: Woodlawn
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 2061
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #17 on: January 19, 2016, 02:33:02 PM »
The Snowman concurs, Good Goodly Moogly! LOL!!! ::fingerscrossed:: ::popcorn:: ::cold:: ::snowman::

Offline milodog1

  • Shower
  • **
  • Posts: 87
  • Location: Halls TN. 30 min north of knoxville
  • Go Vols
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 12
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #18 on: January 19, 2016, 02:33:20 PM »
MRX has stepped up their wording for Friday night/Saturday. They think an area of deformation may set up over the valley.

Offline Mr. Golf

  • Supercell
  • *****
  • Posts: 800
  • Location: jonesboro ar
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 6

Offline dave

  • TNWX Supporter
  • Supercell
  • ******
  • Posts: 526
  • Location: Franklin, TN
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 6
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #20 on: January 19, 2016, 03:05:46 PM »
Life’s too short to stop and smell the roses.

Offline BALLPARK

  • Supercell
  • *****
  • Posts: 753
  • Location: BENTON KY
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 151
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #21 on: January 19, 2016, 03:19:44 PM »
 I hope the Euro pans out after what I've seen on weather bell maps on accumulations' amount for Nashville area.

Offline harlequin

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 2,181
  • Location: San Francisco, sometimes Midtown Memphis
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 531
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #22 on: January 19, 2016, 03:53:06 PM »
From MEG re: Friday:

Quote
Discussion: A strong upper level trof will drop toward the southern plains late Wednesday night while low pressure begins to organize over the southern plains. Some light overrunning is possible late Wednesday night. Could be some light freezing rain across the north but confidence is quite low. Thursday through Friday, next storm system will quickly pivot into the area on Thursday. 12Z models are all in surprisingly good agreement with upper trof becoming negatively titled and closing off over the mid south. Meanwhile a rapidly developing surface low will move from south of the arklatex into southern middle Tennessee thu night. Expect rain to overspread the region Thursday and then we will see a changeover to snow Thursday night into Friday morning from nw to se as cold air wraps around the surface low. Of course whether any significant snow falls will depend on the track of the system. Right now the track of the upper low looks favorable for a band of heavy snow somewhere in the midsouth depending on where the deformation band sets up. All the 12Z models show a band somewhere across the area, the NAM is a little further north/west from eastern ar into nw tn, the GFS/ECMWF are hinting along the i-40 corridor. Way too early to pin down locations and amounts but confidence is increasing that parts of the midsouth could see significant winter weather thu night into Friday. Saturday, looks very chilly in the wake of the departing storm system with highs only in the 30s. Sunday through Tuesday, warming trend as another low pressure system tracks into the area with next chance for rain, could see a mix across the north as the system departs. Cooler for Tuesday as the system pulls away. Sjm


Offline Dyersburg Weather

  • Global Moderator
  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 2,467
  • Location: North of 40
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 617
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #23 on: January 19, 2016, 03:59:48 PM »
18z GFS



Offline Michael

  • Supercell
  • *****
  • Posts: 757
  • Location: Russellville, TN
  • Twitter:
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 511
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #24 on: January 19, 2016, 04:02:19 PM »
Looks to shifted south on 12z Euro vs last night's 00z Euro. Did GFS trend south and east?


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Offline dave

  • TNWX Supporter
  • Supercell
  • ******
  • Posts: 526
  • Location: Franklin, TN
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 6
1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #25 on: January 19, 2016, 04:12:00 PM »
What would be the ideal track of the low be to achieve maximum accumulation in a swath from Memphis to Nashville? I'm assuming Greenville MS to Greenville SC would be about perfect?


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
« Last Edit: January 19, 2016, 04:15:05 PM by dave »
Life’s too short to stop and smell the roses.

Offline Charles L.

  • Global Moderator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 9,420
  • Location: Macon County, TN
  • Twitter:
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 2278
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #26 on: January 19, 2016, 04:14:00 PM »
What would be the ideal track of the low bto achieve maximum accumulation in a swath from
Memphis to Nashville? I'm assuming Greenville MS to Rome GA would be about perfect?


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Yes. If this low ends up moving south of TN, that would set us up for an excellent event Friday.
Mobile chat link:

http://tennesseewx.com/arrowchat/public/mobile/

SumnerSevereWx and MaconSevereWx #tSpotter Coordinator

Offline Curt

  • Administrator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 8,257
  • Location: Arlington, TN(Memphis suburb)
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 377
1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #27 on: January 19, 2016, 10:02:45 PM »
Welcome your foot of snow little rock and Jonesboro . Welcome your 1-2 inches Memphis. Per 0z GFS

Can we say Christmas blizzard redux 2012?

Offline Dyersburg Weather

  • Global Moderator
  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 2,467
  • Location: North of 40
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 617
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #28 on: January 19, 2016, 10:06:03 PM »
00z GFS





Offline Curt

  • Administrator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 8,257
  • Location: Arlington, TN(Memphis suburb)
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 377
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #29 on: January 19, 2016, 10:33:56 PM »
Seriously run has a few similarities and some differences for sure. The LP in December 2012 went well northeast than into east TN before the transfer.

 

* Recent Posts

Long Range Discussion: Winter 2020-2021
by schneitzeit
[Today at 12:59:56 PM]
November 2020
by schneitzeit
[Today at 07:40:40 AM]
2020 Tropical Season Outlook
by JayCee
[November 21, 2020, 05:24:16 PM]
New Madrid Seismic Zone Activity
by bugalou
[November 21, 2020, 03:27:27 PM]
Best Educational Resources for Amateurs
by Eric
[November 16, 2020, 09:19:07 PM]

Advertisement