1/22/2016 Winter Storm

[Clarksville Snowman]

One thought on the ground temps worries, I still have some pack here my ground is still covered. Even if it warms up today to a whopping 38 like my high is projected, I just can't see it taking too long to stick. My point is the ground cannot be that warm, and I just can't see it being a huge factor in snow totals, but just watch me be wrong.LOL!

[mudaddict]

Lots of redbull gonna be needed tonight..

[Kevin Terry]

MEG beefing up thundersnow- thoughts? Seen this forecasted before but not materialize except once when NOT forecasted.

The forecaster wrote MEG's AFD this morning posted this cross section analysis from the 6z NAM (that was referenced in the AFD). This is a classic slantwise convection setup that produces thundersnow under 500mb deformation axes.

https://twitter.com/TTrogdon/status/690169616233013248



Does have to verify of course. But all the modeled dynamical indicators suggest thunder would be a high probability. This isn't your average synoptic-scale snowstorm setup.

[Matthew]

As Frank Drebin would say, "Move along, there's nothing to see here."   

Hopefully Servo we in the Boro can get in on some of the heavy snow.

[Dyersburg Weather]

The forecaster wrote MEG's AFD this morning posted this cross section analysis from the 6z NAM (that was referenced in the AFD). This is a classic slantwise convection setup that produces thundersnow under 500mb deformation axes.

https://twitter.com/TTrogdon/status/690169616233013248



Does have to verify of course. But all the modeled dynamical indicators suggest thunder would be a high probability. This isn't your average synoptic-scale snowstorm setup.

Storm chasing in a blizzard. 

[Matthew]

One thought on the ground temps worries, I still have some pack here my ground is still covered. Even if it warms up today to a whopping 38 like my high is projected, I just can't see it taking too long to stick. My point is the ground cannot be that warm, and I just can't see it being a huge factor in snow totals, but just watch me be wrong.LOL!

Agree.  Even here in Smyrna.  I still have a dusting on snow in grassy areas.  A dusting I would have thought would have melted by now.

[Curt]

The forecaster wrote MEG's AFD this morning posted this cross section analysis from the 6z NAM (that was referenced in the AFD). This is a classic slantwise convection setup that produces thundersnow under 500mb deformation axes.

https://twitter.com/TTrogdon/status/690169616233013248



Does have to verify of course. But all the modeled dynamical indicators suggest thunder would be a high probability. This isn't your average synoptic-scale snowstorm setup.

TSSN can up accums significantly. Good read man

[Dyersburg Weather]

We are supposed to get to 35 today. We have not been above freezing since Sunday.

[Matthew]

If those temps can crash just a few more degrees.  This whole area from Boro/Nash to Memphis could have a one heck of a winter storm.

[MemphisJDJ]

The forecaster wrote MEG's AFD this morning posted this cross section analysis from the 6z NAM (that was referenced in the AFD). This is a classic slantwise convection setup that produces thundersnow under 500mb deformation axes.

https://twitter.com/TTrogdon/status/690169616233013248



Does have to verify of course. But all the modeled dynamical indicators suggest thunder would be a high probability. This isn't your average synoptic-scale snowstorm setup.

I stayed up reading papers on slantwise convection waiting for the AFD this morning lol

[Curt]

I stayed up reading papers on slantwise convection waiting for the AFD this morning lol

Leisurely reading eh?

[Kevin Terry]

I stayed up reading papers on slantwise convection waiting for the AFD this morning lol

Ha! You were well prepared then 

[BigPeter]

If this ends up busting, I may just cry.   

[Mr. Golf]

What time BUFKIT come in for nam?

[Crockett]

Can't enjoy the current snow because I have to be at the office.

Can't focus at the office because I'm hanging on every model run, every clown map and every TNWX post about the next snow.

The life of a weather weenie...