* User

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.

Login with username, password and session length

Advertisement


Author Topic: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm  (Read 272160 times)

0 Members and 2 Guests are viewing this topic.

Offline NashRugger

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 1,215
  • Location: St. Louis, MO
  • US Navy meteorologist
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 94
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #180 on: January 20, 2016, 02:25:24 PM »

Not to nitpik, but seems odd to leave out Wayne, Lawrence, and Giles. Maybe HUN wants them to hold off.
Right now those counties are still OHX. I think eventually they'll be turned over because it just makes sense, at least for Giles.

Online mamMATTus

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 1,350
  • Location: Lebanon/Mt Juliet
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 152
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #181 on: January 20, 2016, 02:27:17 PM »
I like where the models are at currently. We know how this has gone the last few years. Last minute shift to bury southeast TN and screwing everyone else  ::rofl::

Offline Thundersnow

  • Administrator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 11,907
  • Location: Nolensville
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 554
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #182 on: January 20, 2016, 02:29:12 PM »
Impressive cyclonic structure of the system on the 18Z NAM... very symmetrical.

Offline Coach B

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 2,219
  • Location: Marshall County
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 278
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #183 on: January 20, 2016, 02:30:11 PM »
Right now those counties are still OHX. I think eventually they'll be turned over because it just makes sense, at least for Giles.
I knew that they were in OHX's CWA. Just figured HUN wants to hold off for their TN counties so OHX agreed to hold off. They actually have a SWS for those counties that has more detail than the WSW does. Calling for 1-3" there.

Offline draelius

  • Thunderstorm
  • ***
  • Posts: 171
  • Location: Olive Branch, MS
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 7
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #184 on: January 20, 2016, 02:30:24 PM »
18z NAM is 50-60 miles south, but for the SE half of MEG, it holds serve. Basically hammers the area bounded by I-40 on the north and MS Hwy 6 to the South.

Offline Coach B

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 2,219
  • Location: Marshall County
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 278
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #185 on: January 20, 2016, 02:31:41 PM »
NAM has a great dform band across mid TN during the day Friday. It is going to have some nice totals for all of mid TN. Looks se of the other models.

Kevin Terry

  • Guest
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #186 on: January 20, 2016, 02:32:29 PM »
The pivoting of the deform band on the 18z run is pretty classic.

Offline Charles L.

  • Global Moderator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 9,420
  • Location: Macon County, TN
  • Twitter:
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 2278
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #187 on: January 20, 2016, 02:33:09 PM »
Amazing...



[ Guests cannot view attachments ]
Mobile chat link:

http://tennesseewx.com/arrowchat/public/mobile/

SumnerSevereWx and MaconSevereWx #tSpotter Coordinator

Offline Dyersburg Weather

  • Global Moderator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 2,557
  • Location: North of 40
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 641
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #188 on: January 20, 2016, 02:34:11 PM »
18z NAM is a winner



Offline Charles L.

  • Global Moderator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 9,420
  • Location: Macon County, TN
  • Twitter:
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 2278
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #189 on: January 20, 2016, 02:35:18 PM »
3 pm Friday

[ Guests cannot view attachments ]
Mobile chat link:

http://tennesseewx.com/arrowchat/public/mobile/

SumnerSevereWx and MaconSevereWx #tSpotter Coordinator

Kevin Terry

  • Guest
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #190 on: January 20, 2016, 02:35:57 PM »
[ Guests cannot view attachments ]

[ Guests cannot view attachments ]

Offline Drifter

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 1,450
  • Location: Paris Tn.
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 1571
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #191 on: January 20, 2016, 02:36:29 PM »
Too close to being the edge for me lol...Oh well congrats is in order for some on the board to cash in big!
To enjoy things in life that are good, you first must endure things that suck!
Bring on the snow baby!!!

Offline Clarksville Snowman

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 2,427
  • Location: Woodlawn
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 2337
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #192 on: January 20, 2016, 02:42:36 PM »
I think you will do okay drift, that run had me on the edge of the good stuff myself. I think were okay right now. This thing probably isn't through with it's shifting yet if history is any indication. It might not be big shifts but we don't need much of one. This could still be a good one for most if not all of us. ::fingerscrossed:: ::popcorn:: ::cold:: ::snowman::

Offline dwagner88

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 3,603
  • Location: Chattanooga (East Brainerd) TN
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 150
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #193 on: January 20, 2016, 02:43:14 PM »
I like where the models are at currently. We know how this has gone the last few years. Last minute shift to bury southeast TN and screwing everyone else  ::rofl::
I think our karma has run its course. I suspect come Saturday we will be the only city without snow in the state. At least we are basically guaranteed to see some light snow falling. Haven't seen that in the city yet this year.
Winter 2009-10 Snowfall: 11.5 in. :)
Winter 2010-11 Snowfall: 15.5 in. :)
Winter 2011-12: Trace
Winter 2012-2013: 0.25 in.
Winter 2013-14: 10.6 (9.5 on 2/12)
Winter 2014-2015: 10.25 in.
Winters 2015-2019: basically nothing
Winter 2019-2020:
2/8/20: 4.25

Kevin Terry

  • Guest
Re: 1/22/2016 Winter Storm
« Reply #194 on: January 20, 2016, 02:43:28 PM »
I have a feeling as the 500mb low closes off...which is probably going to be somewhere in NE MS...there's going to be some explosive snowfall rates and thunder under that deform band. Right now...that looks most likely in W TN and N MS probably somewhere between I-40 and excuse me for using this line but it fits... the EF-4 tornado track of 12/23.

 

* Recent Posts

1/25/2021 Severe Risk
by JayCee
[Today at 04:59:06 PM]
Spring 2021
by Matthew
[Today at 04:58:23 PM]
January 2021
by BRUCE
[Today at 03:37:13 PM]
20/21 Ski Season
by Nashville_Wx
[Yesterday at 01:34:29 PM]
Gnashing of Teeth (Winter 2020-21) thread
by Nashville_Wx
[Yesterday at 12:09:28 AM]

Advertisement