1/22/2016 Winter Storm

[NashRugger]

Not to nitpik, but seems odd to leave out Wayne, Lawrence, and Giles. Maybe HUN wants them to hold off.

Right now those counties are still OHX. I think eventually they'll be turned over because it just makes sense, at least for Giles.

[mamMATTus]

I like where the models are at currently. We know how this has gone the last few years. Last minute shift to bury southeast TN and screwing everyone else 

[Thundersnow]

Impressive cyclonic structure of the system on the 18Z NAM... very symmetrical.

[Coach B]

Right now those counties are still OHX. I think eventually they'll be turned over because it just makes sense, at least for Giles.

I knew that they were in OHX's CWA. Just figured HUN wants to hold off for their TN counties so OHX agreed to hold off. They actually have a SWS for those counties that has more detail than the WSW does. Calling for 1-3" there.

[draelius]

18z NAM is 50-60 miles south, but for the SE half of MEG, it holds serve. Basically hammers the area bounded by I-40 on the north and MS Hwy 6 to the South.

[Coach B]

NAM has a great dform band across mid TN during the day Friday. It is going to have some nice totals for all of mid TN. Looks se of the other models.

[Kevin Terry]

The pivoting of the deform band on the 18z run is pretty classic.

[Charles L.]

Amazing...



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[Dyersburg Weather]

18z NAM is a winner

[Charles L.]

3 pm Friday

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[Kevin Terry]

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[Drifter]

Too close to being the edge for me lol...Oh well congrats is in order for some on the board to cash in big!

[Clarksville Snowman]

I think you will do okay drift, that run had me on the edge of the good stuff myself. I think were okay right now. This thing probably isn't through with it's shifting yet if history is any indication. It might not be big shifts but we don't need much of one. This could still be a good one for most if not all of us.

[dwagner88]

I like where the models are at currently. We know how this has gone the last few years. Last minute shift to bury southeast TN and screwing everyone else 

I think our karma has run its course. I suspect come Saturday we will be the only city without snow in the state. At least we are basically guaranteed to see some light snow falling. Haven't seen that in the city yet this year.

[Kevin Terry]

I have a feeling as the 500mb low closes off...which is probably going to be somewhere in NE MS...there's going to be some explosive snowfall rates and thunder under that deform band. Right now...that looks most likely in W TN and N MS probably somewhere between I-40 and excuse me for using this line but it fits... the EF-4 tornado track of 12/23.