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Author Topic: March Snow 2008 (March 7-8 Snow Discussion)  (Read 192364 times)

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Offline Eric

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Re: "POSSIBLY ANOTHER MESS LATE WEEK" (3/7)
« Reply #30 on: March 02, 2008, 10:27:24 PM »
You can keep it.  By Thursday, the low or whatever it is will be to our northwest.  Just the trend of the seasons.  If it's still in play, I'll be the first to say I was wrong.
#tSpotter Coordinator for Rutherford and Warren Cos. (@WarrenSevereWx and @RuthSevereWx)

Offline Nashville_Wx

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Re: "POSSIBLY ANOTHER MESS LATE WEEK" (3/7)
« Reply #31 on: March 02, 2008, 11:02:15 PM »
Are people getting frustrated yet?? :)


Offline toastido

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Re: "POSSIBLY ANOTHER MESS LATE WEEK" (3/7)
« Reply #32 on: March 02, 2008, 11:04:12 PM »
WINTER CANCEL

 :D ;D :D ;D
Don't knock the weather. If it didn't change once in a while, nine out of ten people couldn't start a conversation.
Kin Hubbard
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Adam: Girls come and go. Weather is constant
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Eric (Admin): there's no fornication in meteorology

Offline Woodvegas

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Re: "POSSIBLY ANOTHER MESS LATE WEEK" (3/7)
« Reply #33 on: March 02, 2008, 11:04:35 PM »
For Thursday night? What is all that precip i see on the GFS thursday evening and overnight? :)

I assume you are referring to the new beastie spun up by the GFS. This is not the same overrunning event the GFS was hinting at earlier but the 2 entities do interact with each other. This definitely bears watching.
"Luck enters into every contingency. You are a fool if you forget it -- and a greater fool if you count upon it." -- Phyllis Bottome

Offline Curt

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Re: "POSSIBLY ANOTHER MESS LATE WEEK" (3/7)
« Reply #34 on: March 02, 2008, 11:07:21 PM »
I assume you are referring to the new beastie spun up by the GFS. This is not the same overrunning event the GFS was hinting at earlier but the 2 entities do interact with each other. This definitely bears watching.

I agree. Looks like a low pressure forming along the arctic cold front. Models consistent(cough, cough) on this feature. Sucks its 3 -4 days out. Dare I even look at the BUFKIT?

Offline Curt

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Re: "POSSIBLY ANOTHER MESS LATE WEEK" (3/7)
« Reply #35 on: March 02, 2008, 11:10:00 PM »
I agree. Looks like a low pressure forming along the arctic cold front. Models consistent(cough, cough) on this feature. Sucks its 3 -4 days out. Dare I even look at the BUFKIT?

Of course I did. Ladies and Gents...here is our next snowstorm.(crossing fingers...not holding breath)

http://coolwx.com/cgi-bin/getbufr.php?region=TN&stn=KMEM&model=gfs&time=2008030300&field=prec

Offline Nashville_Wx

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Re: "POSSIBLY ANOTHER MESS LATE WEEK" (3/7)
« Reply #36 on: March 03, 2008, 12:49:49 AM »
00Z Euro, everyone get down and worship it!


Offline Nashville_Wx

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Re: "POSSIBLY ANOTHER MESS LATE WEEK" (3/7)
« Reply #37 on: March 03, 2008, 12:53:33 AM »


Offline Clay

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Re: "POSSIBLY ANOTHER MESS LATE WEEK" (3/7)
« Reply #38 on: March 03, 2008, 06:15:30 AM »
00Z Euro, everyone get down and worship it!
wow.

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: "POSSIBLY ANOTHER MESS LATE WEEK" (3/7)
« Reply #39 on: March 03, 2008, 06:19:45 AM »
Wow is right.  I think the man's LOSING it!  :o  ;)

Offline Clay

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Re: "POSSIBLY ANOTHER MESS LATE WEEK" (3/7)
« Reply #40 on: March 03, 2008, 06:26:46 AM »
I don't blame him. In a snow drought we all get a bit loopy!

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Re: "POSSIBLY ANOTHER MESS LATE WEEK" (3/7)
« Reply #41 on: March 03, 2008, 08:02:51 AM »
I say the Winter Weather forum gets locked for the season!

Offline Eric

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Re: "POSSIBLY ANOTHER MESS LATE WEEK" (3/7)
« Reply #42 on: March 03, 2008, 08:14:25 AM »


That's fine and dandy for the MEG area.  I see nada for us.  Looks like it's taking the usual northwest trend.  Stick a fork in it, its toast.
#tSpotter Coordinator for Rutherford and Warren Cos. (@WarrenSevereWx and @RuthSevereWx)

Offline Woodvegas

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Re: "POSSIBLY ANOTHER MESS LATE WEEK" (3/7)
« Reply #43 on: March 03, 2008, 09:31:10 AM »
Both the 3-3 0Z Euro and 6Z GFS show a low coming out of the eastern Gulf of Mexico and tracking along the east coast next weekend....Miller A??? The GFS shows a smaller precip event extending along the approaching cold front which to my eye looks like it is trying to phase with this low. This smaller event is less impressive on the Euro but present in a more muted form. At the present time the Euro keeps the moisture from the Gulf east of us but there is plenty of time for this to shift west. If the track of the low does shift west we could get bombed.
"Luck enters into every contingency. You are a fool if you forget it -- and a greater fool if you count upon it." -- Phyllis Bottome

Offline Eric

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Re: "POSSIBLY ANOTHER MESS LATE WEEK" (3/7)
« Reply #44 on: March 03, 2008, 09:43:10 AM »
Both the 3-3 0Z Euro and 6Z GFS show a low coming out of the eastern Gulf of Mexico and tracking along the east coast next weekend....Miller A??? The GFS shows a smaller precip event extending along the approaching cold front which to my eye looks like it is trying to phase with this low. This smaller event is less impressive on the Euro but present in a more muted form. At the present time the Euro keeps the moisture from the Gulf east of us but there is plenty of time for this to shift west. If the track of the low does shift west we could get bombed.

No offense to you, Wood or to Nashville_wx, but I'm not holding my breath.
#tSpotter Coordinator for Rutherford and Warren Cos. (@WarrenSevereWx and @RuthSevereWx)

 

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