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Author Topic: Discussion: April 7-8 Severe Weather Event  (Read 31996 times)

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Offline Ron_Jarrell

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Discussion: April 7-8 Severe Weather Event
« Reply #210 on: April 07, 2006, 08:04:20 PM »
Anybody have any more storm reports?
Views expressed are my personal views and opinions and should not take the place of official forecasts and warnings issued by the NWS and your local media.

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Offline Ron_Jarrell

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Discussion: April 7-8 Severe Weather Event
« Reply #211 on: April 07, 2006, 08:06:59 PM »
Quote
...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS EVE FROM PARTS OF N CNTRL
   MISSISSIPPI THRU NRN ALABAMA...PARTS OF SRN MIDDLE TENNESSEE AND NW
   GEORGIA....
   
   ...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THROUGH THE NIGHT ACROSS PARTS
   OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS....
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE MODERATE AND
   HIGH RISK AREAS ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST....
   
   SOUTHERN BRANCH CLOSED LOW/TROUGH HAS BEGUN TO TURN SOUTHEASTWARD
   OUT OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS...IN RESPONSE TO FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH
   NORTHERN BRANCH TROUGH DIGGING ACROSS EASTERN CANADA AND THE GREAT
   LAKES REGION.  MODELS INDICATE THAT THESE FEATURES WILL COME
   INCREASINGLY IN PHASE THROUGH THE NIGHT...WITH SOUTHERN IMPULSE
   DIGGING THROUGH THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY 12Z SATURDAY.
   ACCOMPANYING COLD FRONTS WILL ADVANCE SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER AND
   SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...BUT A SIGNIFICANT INFLUX OF WARM
   MOIST AIR OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL PERSIST INTO THE
   CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF STATES.
   
   AN OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING SUPERCELLS WITH
   TORNADOES...IS ONGOING IN WARM/MOIST...POTENTIALLY UNSTABLE PRE-
   FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT.  THIS SEEMS LIKELY TO CONTINUE WELL INTO THE
   OVERNIGHT HOURS...IF NOT THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST
   PERIOD.  BY 02-03Z...PRIMARY THREAT AREA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME
   FOCUSED FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH THE SOUTHERN
   APPALACHIANS...WITH CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL DIMINISHING MOST OTHER
   AREAS. HOWEVER...AS SURFACE PRESSURES BEGIN TO FALL IN THE LEE OF
   THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS LATER TONIGHT...A RETURN FLOW OF GULF
   MOISTURE COULD OCCUR IN NARROW TONGUE...POSSIBLY ACCOMPANIED BY
   SUFFICIENT DESTABILIZATION FOR VIGOROUS CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT.
   
   ...LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS*...
   A TRANSITION FROM MORE OF A TORNADO/HAIL THREAT TO A WIND THREAT IS
   EXPECTED TO OCCUR TONIGHT.  TIMING OF THIS IS STILL SOMEWHAT
   UNCERTAIN...AND MAY NOT OCCUR UNTIL SOMETIME CLOSER TO 06Z.
   HOWEVER...EVEN THEN...RISK FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED SUPERCELL
   DEVELOPMENT WITH POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TORNADOES PROBABLY WILL
   PERSIST AHEAD OF EVOLVING SQUALL LINE THROUGH DAY BREAK ACROSS PARTS
   OF THE CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF STATES.
   
   THE MOST INTENSE CONVECTION APPEARS TO HAVE BECOME FOCUSED ON A
   PRE-FRONTAL CONFLUENCE AXIS ASSOCIATED WITH A 30 TO 50 KT
   SOUTHWESTERLY LOW-LEVEL JET.  LARGE/CLOCKWISE CURVED LOW-LEVEL
   HODOGRAPHS ALONG THIS AXIS ARE ENHANCING TORNADO THREAT IN
   SUPERCELLS EMBEDDED WITHIN CONVECTIVE BAND.  THE BOUNDARY IS
   CURRENTLY QUASI STATIONARY FROM PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
   THROUGH MIDDLE/EASTERN TENNESSEE...BUT SHOULD BEGIN TO SHIFT
   EASTWARD AND DEVELOP SOUTHWARD LATER THIS EVENING WITH APPROACH OF
   SOUTHERN BRANCH TROUGH.
   
   MOIST INFLOW FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN BEST
   SEVERE THREAT THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS MUCH OF THE
   REMAINDER OF MISSISSIPPI THROUGH CENTRAL ALABAMA INTO NORTHWEST
   GEORGIA.
Views expressed are my personal views and opinions and should not take the place of official forecasts and warnings issued by the NWS and your local media.

KJ4CPT

servocrow

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Discussion: April 7-8 Severe Weather Event
« Reply #212 on: April 07, 2006, 08:07:03 PM »
No, our weather has passed to the north and south...vivid lightning and thunder....

Offline amsd2dth

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Discussion: April 7-8 Severe Weather Event
« Reply #213 on: April 07, 2006, 08:46:47 PM »
just rain now, with some pretty lightning..

Offline Ron_Jarrell

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Discussion: April 7-8 Severe Weather Event
« Reply #214 on: April 07, 2006, 09:00:19 PM »
Yeah. We're still under tornado watch in Nashville area, but it looks like it's pretty much over for us. Instability further south. Jet streak very visible in WV and infrared sat imagery to the S of Nashville and approaching Chattanooga area.
Views expressed are my personal views and opinions and should not take the place of official forecasts and warnings issued by the NWS and your local media.

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Offline Ron_Jarrell

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Discussion: April 7-8 Severe Weather Event
« Reply #215 on: April 07, 2006, 09:16:32 PM »
Cells just popped up Clarksville and Paris TN
Views expressed are my personal views and opinions and should not take the place of official forecasts and warnings issued by the NWS and your local media.

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Offline Susan

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Discussion: April 7-8 Severe Weather Event
« Reply #216 on: April 07, 2006, 09:26:48 PM »
Hey all you smarter folks than I, just tell me I can head on to bed, I'm pooped.  Please tell me the fat lady has sung????
All my misspelled words, typos, and grammatical errors, are intentional, and intended to troll and provoke.

Offline Woodvegas

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Discussion: April 7-8 Severe Weather Event
« Reply #217 on: April 07, 2006, 09:27:52 PM »
I had 3+ inch hail here in Cannon County. I have too many to count big dents in the metal shingles on my house. I may have to replace the whole lot. I also had damage to the siding at the back of my house. I have never seen hail this big. My cousin had the windshield of her car shattered. My daughter saw a funnel cloud on the way to my house around 5PM. Family and friends come to my house when it's bad because I have a tornado room. It was used today!
"Luck enters into every contingency. You are a fool if you forget it -- and a greater fool if you count upon it." -- Phyllis Bottome

Offline Dustin

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Discussion: April 7-8 Severe Weather Event
« Reply #218 on: April 07, 2006, 09:40:15 PM »
I will jump right in here with you all! :D

Well today, it is a wait and see game for N GA, and I have a hard time decding where this will go..

Last night my thoughts were that the High risk would be pushed westard into west mississippi, and eroded away from northern ga, and I am correct. So I was proud of my self this morning. Thundersnow, did you get into any of these nasty supercells today, as you live in nashville, and at 10:40 pm are you getting any right now? It looks like these storms may be settling down a bit, but it may be to early to tell. Stay safe everyone
(OFF TOPIC)

I am really glad to see thundersnow from talk weather over here as well. I am always happy to see familar faces. I also own a weather site at www.theweathervane.info This is a really nice site here and I am glad to be a part of it.

Offline Ron_Jarrell

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Discussion: April 7-8 Severe Weather Event
« Reply #219 on: April 07, 2006, 10:22:13 PM »
Watching Decatur AL hook and pendant with doughnut in AL now. Good jeebus

Unreal!!!!!!!1

Nashville I think tornado threat is over. Should be safe.
Views expressed are my personal views and opinions and should not take the place of official forecasts and warnings issued by the NWS and your local media.

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Offline CT_Yankee

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Discussion: April 7-8 Severe Weather Event
« Reply #220 on: April 07, 2006, 10:22:59 PM »
Dodged a bullet here at my location here in Lawrence County today. It got very threatening around 5pm and for the first time took shelter at my neighbor's parents house.  Locations just a few miles to my north and west reported quarter size hail and a vehicle overturned.  

No hail or high winds to report at my place.  Peak wind gust was 34mph and I've picked up 1.15" of rain so far.  It's been raining steadily and the lightning is actually picking up as I write this.  I wonder how much of a threat still exists in this area.  I would think all of this rain is stablizing things.  So sad to hear of the destruction in other areas today.
Aaron
@MarshSevereWx (#tspotter for Marshall Co)

Offline Ron_Jarrell

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Discussion: April 7-8 Severe Weather Event
« Reply #221 on: April 07, 2006, 10:44:22 PM »
Tornado moving into downton Huntsville AL just S of city center.

Confirmed
Views expressed are my personal views and opinions and should not take the place of official forecasts and warnings issued by the NWS and your local media.

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mattman

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« Reply #222 on: April 07, 2006, 10:55:53 PM »
The magic dome of protection has once again spared Putnam County from any real storms.   I feel for those in the affected areas.

Offline Ron_Jarrell

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Discussion: April 7-8 Severe Weather Event
« Reply #223 on: April 07, 2006, 11:02:18 PM »
Gate to gate showing up just S of Decatur AL again. Same track as last tornado. Heading for Huntsville again. Training. WOW!

Nice gate to gate one has to be on the ground there too.
Views expressed are my personal views and opinions and should not take the place of official forecasts and warnings issued by the NWS and your local media.

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Offline Thundersnow

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Discussion: April 7-8 Severe Weather Event
« Reply #224 on: April 08, 2006, 12:34:04 AM »
Quote from: "Dustin"
Thundersnow, did you get into any of these nasty supercells today, as you live in nashville, and at 10:40 pm are you getting any right now?

Welcome, Dustin.  :)

The most I witnessed today was a wall cloud that passed with a cell that reportedly dropped a tornado 20 miles west of me (nothing serious from that one as far as I know).  Later, I caught the northern edge of the precip from the cell that passed from Centerville-Franklin-Murfreesboro.  

Tomorrow, I may drive through some of the storm path to see the damage from the cell that hit Gallatin (those areas that are accessible, that is).  The areal footage of the storm path they've been showing on local news is incredible.

My thoughts and prayers are with the people in those areas.  :(

 

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