* User

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.

Login with username, password and session length

Advertisement

* Current Watches/Warnings/Advisories for TN - Click the (+) Icon to the Right to see them ------>

Recent Posts

Pages: [1] 2 3 ... 10
1
Severe Weather / Re: End of March Severe Risks
« Last post by mempho on Today at 02:49:46 PM »
should be a severe with the storm in Shelby co right now- out my office window

Post Merge: Today at 02:25:02 PM
12z GFS has a pretty cool stable pattern for quite some time now, even has low to mid 30's for lows in a week. Not gonna find too much severe for us this far north in that pattern.
Count me as happy about that!

Sent from my SM-G900R7 using Tapatalk

2
Severe Weather / Re: End of March Severe Risks
« Last post by Curt on Today at 02:18:29 PM »
should be a severe with the storm in Shelby co right now- out my office window

Post Merge: Today at 02:25:02 PM
12z GFS has a pretty cool stable pattern for quite some time now, even has low to mid 30's for lows in a week. Not gonna find too much severe for us this far north in that pattern.
3
Severe Weather / Re: End of March Severe Risks
« Last post by Eric on Today at 01:56:20 PM »
Exactly this. There's still an attendant threat, mainly along the front just because of the forcing with it and high winds aloft that can be mixed down fairly easily with any sustained updraft. The latter shows by just how gusty it is today, right on the cusp of advisory criteria.

In that vein, OHX issued a wind advisory last night but cancelled it this morning. 

4
Severe Weather / Re: End of March Severe Risks
« Last post by Thundersnow on Today at 01:30:22 PM »
Winds have picked up considerably here in the last hour or so.
5
Severe Weather / Re: End of March Severe Risks
« Last post by NashRugger on Today at 12:18:00 PM »
Gulf coast crapvection and atmospheric mixing has virtually killed any shot at a higher end severe threat...which is a good thing.
Exactly this. There's still an attendant threat, mainly along the front just because of the forcing with it and high winds aloft that can be mixed down fairly easily with any sustained updraft. The latter shows by just how gusty it is today, right on the cusp of advisory criteria.
6
Severe Weather / Re: End of March Severe Risks
« Last post by Eric on Today at 11:34:48 AM »
Gulf coast crapvection and atmospheric mixing has virtually killed any shot at a higher end severe threat...which is a good thing. 
7
Severe Weather / Re: End of March Severe Risks
« Last post by skillsweather on Today at 11:25:54 AM »
Its sunny here on and off. Hazy sun but still sunny enough. Im shocked they pulled the enhanced honestly. I didnt see a moderate risk happening but I still think enhanced would of panned out. I guess we will see.
8
General Weather / Re: The 2017 Sprinter/Spring Thread
« Last post by Curt on Today at 11:09:30 AM »

There is the dry line moving into extreme eastern Arkansas about 50 miles west of the river with T storms now firing not severe along it
9
General Weather / Re: The 2017 Sprinter/Spring Thread
« Last post by Dyersburg Weather on Today at 11:00:51 AM »
74/62 here. I have not looked at specifics lately but Ryan Vaughn tweeted that instability was a lot higher than forecast in eastern Arkansas.
10
General Weather / Re: The 2017 Sprinter/Spring Thread
« Last post by justinmundie on Today at 10:27:05 AM »
New disco from OHX

Quote
Have cut back pops this morning into the early afternoon. By this
afternoon we should have plenty of available instability west of
I-65 and especially over northwestern Middle Tennessee. Clouds are
expected to continue to break up this morning which should allow
us to heat into the upper 70s and possibly low 80s. Look for
dewpoints to continue to surge into the 60s and further increase
instability. By 3pm cape values may be near 1500 to 2000 j/kg
with bulk shear around 40 to 50 knots over the west. This coupled
with 0-1 km helicity values of around 300 still point to a decent
severe weather with isolated tornado potential for late afternoon
through this evening. Wouldn`t be surprised to see a few isolated
strong to severe storms by 3pm with coverage and intensity
increasing through 7pm. The best timing for severe looks to be
this evening from 5pm to 9pm, with the strongest storms developing
in the northwestern counties in an area of stronger shear,
instability, and an 850 jet of around 50 knots.
Pages: [1] 2 3 ... 10

* Recent Posts

Advertisement