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* Current Watches/Warnings/Advisories for TN - Click the (+) Icon to the Right to see them ------>

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1
Severe Weather / Re: Memorial Day Weekend Storms
« Last post by StormNine on Today at 02:27:19 PM »
Oh ok. So no line as the front passes through tomorrow evening?

Depends on how worked up the atmosphere is due to tonight's round of storms and where any outflow boundaries are at.
2
Severe Weather / Re: Memorial Day Weekend Storms
« Last post by Vols1 on Today at 01:54:14 PM »
Oh ok. So no line as the front passes through tomorrow evening?
3
Severe Weather / Re: Memorial Day Weekend Storms
« Last post by StormNine on Today at 01:50:14 PM »
I believe we're about to have a very interesting evening and overnight. I'm still thinking tomorrow could be a bit more severe than forecasted so far.

If we get the active MCS activity this evening-overnight that we could get then tomorrow's threat will probably be to our south and east (SE TN, N MS, N AL area) along the outflow from the overnight stuff. Tomorrow's threat is 100% dependent on the events of tonight.
4
Severe Weather / Re: Memorial Day Weekend Storms
« Last post by JayCee on Today at 01:40:46 PM »
5
Severe Weather / Memorial Day Weekend Storms
« Last post by Thundersnow on Today at 01:35:38 PM »
New watch likely coming, to affect NW TN...

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0865.html

Quote
Thunderstorms will likely
   form along the stalled front, as well as along an outflow boundary
   from morning convection across TN.


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6
Severe Weather / Re: Memorial Day Weekend Storms
« Last post by Vols1 on Today at 01:32:56 PM »
I believe we're about to have a very interesting evening and overnight. I'm still thinking tomorrow could be a bit more severe than forecasted so far.
7
Severe Weather / Re: Memorial Day Weekend Storms
« Last post by NashRugger on Today at 01:15:27 PM »
No, there is still some cap, but the forecasted amount has decreased with successive model runs, and it shows. Models aren't handling the exploding convection in KS or MO right now, but with such volatile ingredients, the wind threat will be quite high.

Expect more storms to develop this afternoon with a relatively weak cap and more than abundant moisture and continued growing instability.

I do wish OHX would post an updated AFD soon rather than the typical gap between the morning and afternoon main AFDs.
8
Severe Weather / Re: Memorial Day Weekend Storms
« Last post by collinsk on Today at 01:10:20 PM »
Discussion on AFD NWS BNA was saying earlier they expected little to no capping.??
9
Severe Weather / Memorial Day Weekend Storms
« Last post by Thundersnow on Today at 01:09:00 PM »
It does feel rather sticky out.


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10
Severe Weather / Re: Memorial Day Weekend Storms
« Last post by NashRugger on Today at 01:05:22 PM »
Moisture has rapidly advected into the Nashville area. DPs have risen on the order of 5-9 degrees since sunrise and the CU field exploded rapidly within 1.5 hours after the passage of the dead anvil from the storms this morning.

Already seeing isolated activity in Cheatham and Davidson Counties.
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