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* Current Watches/Warnings/Advisories for TN - Click the (+) Icon to the Right to see them ------>

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1
General Weather / Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Last post by wfrogge on Today at 04:54:33 PM »
Need to keep a close eye on major hurricane Willia and see how this might impact our weather next week.
2
Winter Weather / Re: Winter 2018-19
« Last post by snowdog on Today at 04:51:13 PM »
yeah, and the climate change dont stop or slow down...odds of winning the owerball will become better... :D

History would suggest climate changing is the norm, so I doubt it's going to stop.
3
General Weather / Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Last post by Thundersnow on Today at 10:03:09 AM »
Freeze warning tonight- ironic that summer-like weather persisted so late with a hot September into first part of October. And, here we are getting a freeze earlier than a lot of years.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
4
Winter Weather / Re: Winter 2018-19
« Last post by schneitzeit on Today at 08:44:05 AM »
We've gotten some good snows out of 2002-03 snd 2009-10.
5
Winter Weather / Re: Winter 2018-19
« Last post by JHart on Today at 07:40:24 AM »
Thermometer next to the house read 32.2F at 7:00 AM while the remote thermometer about 100 feet away read 29F.  There was a decent frost, considering the warm ground.  Welcome, Fall!
6
Winter Weather / Re: Winter 2018-19
« Last post by JayCee on Today at 07:27:52 AM »

Usually, the stronger signal for weak to moderate modoki E-Nino's is for a warmer than normal December and a colder than normal Late-January and February.   

Post Merge: Yesterday at 02:05:20 PM
The best analogs for this upcoming winter are:
1957-58
1963-64
1965-66
1968-69
1986-87
2002-03
2006-07
2009-10 

These are weak to moderate west-based aka modoki El-Nino events (2006-07 was a bit more central based versus west-based)  that came after either a cold neutral or la-nina event.

Not liking that 06-07.  I just remember a drought developing that lasted well into 07.
7
Here`s Saturday - October 20, 2018`s

These Conditions are 24 hour extremes from 12:01 a.m. till 11:59 p.m.

Lowest Barometric Pressure : 30.07″ at 4 a.m.
Highest Barometric Pressure : 30.28″ at 11:59 p.m.

Lowest Relative Humidity : 46% at 6 p.m.
Highest Relative Humidity : 100% at 2 4 a.m.

Lowest Dew Point Temperature : 35 at 11:59 p.m.
Highest Dew Point Temperature : 55 at 11 a.m.

Lowest Wind Speed Variable 3 m.p.h. at 11 a.m., W 3 m.p.h. at 7 p.m.
Highest Wind Gust : N 22 m.p.h. at 11:59 p.m.

Lo : 51
Normal : 47
Record Warmest : 67 In 1983 !
Record Coldest : 32 In 1989 & 1999 !

Hi : 68
Normal : 72
Record Hottest : 89 In 1983 !
Record Coolest : 48 In 1976 !

Rainfall : 0.31″ Daily Normal 0.12″

Record Wettest : 1.64″ In 1985 !

October`s Total To Date : 3.61″ In Bemis, TN. Normal 2.41″

2018`s : Total to Date : 67.20″ Normal 41.66″

October 20, 2017 : Lo : 44 : Hi : 79 : Rainfall : 0.00

October 20, 2016 : Lo : 55 : Hi : 81 : Rainfall : 0.00

October 20, 2015 : Lo : 37 : Hi : 77 : Rainfall : 0.00

October 20, 2014 : Lo : 43 : Hi : 74 : Rainfall : Trace

October 20, 2013 : Lo : 34 : Hi : 69 : Rainfall : 0.00

October 20, 2012 : Lo : 39 : Hi : 70 : Rainfall : 0.00

October 20, 2011 : Lo : 37 : Hi : 60 : Rainfall : 0.00

October 20, 2010 : Lo : 42 Hi : 75 : Rainfall : 0.00

October 20, 2009 : Lo : 39 : Hi : 70 : Rainfall : 0.00

October 20, 2008 : Lo : 36 : Hi : 71 : Rainfall : 0.00

West TN`s Coldest Lo 51 at Bemis, TN

West TN`s Hottest Hi 68 at Bemis, Covington, Huntington, N.W.S.in Memphis & Union City, TN

U. S. Highest Temperature for Saturday, October 20, 2018
96 at Death Valley, CA

U. S. Lowest Temperature for Saturday, October 20, 2018
14 at Westby, MT
8
Winter Weather / Re: Winter 2018-19
« Last post by StormNine on Yesterday at 01:53:11 PM »
It will be interesting to see how November unfolds.  About every cold winter we've had in recent memory has had a cold November.

With our analogs for the upcoming year, there is no strong signal either way for November.  Some were cool to cold and others like 1965 and 2009 were torchy.

Usually, the stronger signal for weak to moderate modoki E-Nino's is for a warmer than normal December and a colder than normal Late-January and February.   

Post Merge: Yesterday at 02:05:20 PM
The best analogs for this upcoming winter are:
1957-58
1963-64
1965-66
1968-69
1986-87
2002-03
2006-07
2009-10 

These are weak to moderate west-based aka modoki El-Nino events (2006-07 was a bit more central based versus west-based)  that came after either a cold neutral or la-nina event. 
9
Winter Weather / Re: Winter 2018-19
« Last post by JayCee on Yesterday at 11:10:20 AM »
It will be interesting to see how November unfolds.  About every cold winter we've had in recent memory has had a cold November. 
10
General Weather / Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Last post by schneitzeit on Yesterday at 11:03:41 AM »
Bruce

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