* User

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.

Login with username, password and session length

Advertisement

* Current Watches/Warnings/Advisories for TN - Click the (+) Icon to the Right to see them ------>

Recent Posts

Pages: [1] 2 3 ... 10
1
I can't deny that I got a few 12/23/15 vibes from the 00z GFS/Euro runs with the evolution of the mid level trough and associated wind fields. Thermodynamics are still much in question, but low level moisture will be there and shear certainly will as well as it looks currently.

Going to likely come down to how amplified the trough is -> lower heights in the warm sector = trouble and also would be a bit colder aloft and also if there will be any breaks in the clouds/precip during the day Saturday.

If we wind up with a relatively clear warm sector and say...6.5-7+ C/km mid level lapse rates over the area Saturday afternoon/evening, there could be some trouble.
2
They now have the 3-4 further east on the WPC update. Mainly from this weekends bunch being pushed more south-east from what i seen on there update map. Puts more of Mid Tn into the heavier rains.
HRRR dont look to impressive for the rains tomorrow for folks in Mid Tn. We will see though. Looks like it all fizzles after like a 1 mile wide line of rain comes through lol.
3
Its nearly 80 in Columbus and Pittsburg today. I don't know what the snowpack was like up that way, but whatever they had is headed down the Ohio River.

They had a few inches or more in some areas. Friends where there last week and the pictures they took show lots of snow cover
4
Though this will affect areas south of Memphis, whatever snowpack melts into the Arkansas river watershed will undoubtedly cause that part of the MS to rise pretty quickly. Rising temps over the weekend will melt most of what has fallen in Eastern Colorado
5
Winter Weather / Re: Winter 2017-18
« Last post by schneitzeit on Yesterday at 08:27:56 PM »
Well, my winter forecast for the continental U.S. has held only for this past week. At last we've got an incredibly strong SE Ridge, compliments of La Nina, while the Rockies are getting buried. I never would have expected the Deep South to have been spared from the severe threat all winter, but unfortunately that looks to be changing in several days. The cold front endeavours to stall right over you guys in West Tennessee and in the MS Valley, while Middle and East Tennessee remain fairly torchy.


Side note, the latest GFS run (yes, I know it's the GFS 15 days out, don't jump my case) likes the idea of a weak clipper producing light snow over most of the state during the first week of March. I am excited for the flip-flops and interesting weather.

Post Merge: Yesterday at 08:38:38 PM
Seasonal snowfall has finally picked up out West. I also wasn't aware how well Ohio and Pennsylvania were performing this season.

[ Guests cannot view attachments ]
6
Winter Weather / Re: Winter 2017-18
« Last post by BRUCE on Yesterday at 06:17:44 PM »
When you're done with yours, you're welcome to come mow mine!
if he dont... i be glad to mow your yard.... enjoy it  myself....
7
Winter Weather / Re: Winter 2017-18
« Last post by WXRocker on Yesterday at 06:15:26 PM »
My roses are bursting out. Red Buds were blooming on my drive home, they weren't yesterday. Buttercups are going crazy. Spent a few days trimming some shrubs and putting down some fertilizer for the shrubs(let the rain do the work.) I don't have any further interest in frigid weather. I'm glad the cuts have 10ish days to harden but this guy is ready for some lawn mowin!
When you're done with yours, you're welcome to come mow mine!
8
The Ohio River/Mississippi River Interchange is expected to crest around March 1st and the Miss. River at New Madrid, MO is expected to crest around March 3rd, so it looks like the first week of March for much of West TN. 

Post Merge: Yesterday at 02:03:46 PM
The 2011 flood event not only involved more snowmelt, but it also produced 20 inches of rain around the MS/OH River interchange during that mid to late April Severe Weather/Heavy Rain sequence.
Those crest do not include all the rain. Only the next 48 hours from reading. Guarantee it gets over 40 at Caruthersville if we models are correct.
9
Winter Weather / Re: Winter 2017-18
« Last post by WXHD on Yesterday at 04:27:17 PM »
My roses are bursting out. Red Buds were blooming on my drive home, they weren't yesterday. Buttercups are going crazy. Spent a few days trimming some shrubs and putting down some fertilizer for the shrubs(let the rain do the work.) I don't have any further interest in frigid weather. I'm glad the cuts have 10ish days to harden but this guy is ready for some lawn mowin!
10
Winter Weather / Re: Winter 2017-18
« Last post by Thundersnow on Yesterday at 04:24:12 PM »
It is currently 41F and rain in Springfield, and 75 in Poplar Bluff.

#Missouriprobs
#laninaprobs
#wearegettingtorchedinky
#wearegettingtorchedintn
#takethattorchandlikeit
#hashtagsareannoyinghereastheyareonsocialmedia

#inlonghashtagsitshardtotellwherewordsstartandendandspellcheckisofnousewhatsoever
Pages: [1] 2 3 ... 10

* Recent Posts

Flooding and Possible Strong to Severe Storms in Late February 2018
by andyhb
[Today at 01:37:48 AM]
Winter 2017-18
by schneitzeit
[Yesterday at 08:27:56 PM]
Spring 2018
by schneitzeit
[Yesterday at 02:18:30 PM]
BEMIS, TN --Historical Weather Facts, Climate Data, and Rainfall
by Mr. William E. Brantley
[Yesterday at 03:15:21 AM]
GOES-S set for liftoff March 1st
by Jilly
[February 16, 2018, 12:55:31 PM]

Advertisement