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1
Severe Weather / Re: The Official Summer 2018 MCS fest Thread
« Last post by JayCee on Today at 06:37:59 AM »
Storm chances take a big jump over the next few days in a more active pattern.  Welcome rain for the garden here.  Topsoil is pretty dried out after a hot, rainless week. 
2
Severe Weather / Re: The Official Summer 2018 MCS fest Thread
« Last post by Thundersnow on Today at 04:03:46 AM »
Iím not sure if that other ďsummerĒ thread is a joke/banter thread, and this is the serious one or what, so Iíll put this here.

Day 3 outlook text for Friday...

Quote
   ...Lower MS Valley to the OH Valley...
   A large area of thunderstorm potential will exist from the MS River
   to the Appalachians with substantial moisture in place and
   relatively cool air aloft with the upper trough. The most likely
   area for severe storms appears to be from the Arklatex into northern
   AL, and northward into KY. However, given the likelihood of
   antecedent outflows and early/ongoing storms, predictability is low.
   A Slight Risk may be needed in some parts of the area in later
   outlooks
.


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3
General Weather / Re: Summer (Cancel) 2018
« Last post by schneitzeit on Yesterday at 05:26:18 PM »
Lol what? No way. May june july is worse because usually more humid. Like august and September are always hot but like dry hot and its on the tail end of summer. Hot june just sucks because we have so much more to go through.

September is an ugly reminder that it's supposed to be fall soon, but it ain't even close.
4
General Weather / Re: Summer (Cancel) 2018
« Last post by Skillsweather on Yesterday at 02:18:40 PM »
Yeah true. But at least it ain't in September. 90s in September are the worst
Lol what? No way. May june july is worse because usually more humid. Like august and September are always hot but like dry hot and its on the tail end of summer. Hot june just sucks because we have so much more to go through.
5
Severe Weather / Re: The Official Summer 2018 MCS fest Thread
« Last post by CT_Yankee on Yesterday at 01:17:06 PM »
So far, MCS "season" has been as slow as spring severe season.  Pretty benign weather pattern in place, until possibly late week.  Even then, just a weak front settling in to provide chances of scattered storms.
July generally seems to be "peak MCS season" around here so not counting it out yet by any means.
6
General Weather / Re: Summer (Cancel) 2018
« Last post by schneitzeit on Yesterday at 12:59:53 PM »
We're not even past the solstice - we are wasting all this heat early.  It's so sad.

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Yeah true. But at least it ain't in September. 90s in September are the worst
7
Severe Weather / Re: The Official Summer 2018 MCS fest Thread
« Last post by Adam on Yesterday at 10:27:53 AM »
SPC has not outlined any risk area yet, but we need to keep an eye on Friday. The cutoff low affecting the Mountain West will advect into the Ohio Valley and there will actually be some moderate upper level winds. Does not take much forcing in the summertime to get thunderstorms going and 30-40 kts of 0-6 km shear should keep the storm type organized. Right now the best kinematics appear to be south of I-40, but if anything occurs it will quickly evolve into some type of MCS with only ~100 m2/s2 of 0-3 km SRH.
8
General Weather / Re: Summer (Cancel) 2018
« Last post by Drifter49 on Yesterday at 07:54:31 AM »
We're not even past the solstice - we are wasting all this heat early.  It's so sad.

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Front loaded summer? Lol


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9
Severe Weather / Re: The Official Summer 2018 MCS fest Thread
« Last post by Charles L. on Yesterday at 07:34:16 AM »
These summertime pop up storms we are seeing have been potent. Iíve already had penny to nickel size hail at my house and Gallatin has already had the same plus some wind damage.
10
General Weather / Re: Summer (Cancel) 2018
« Last post by mempho on Yesterday at 04:49:49 AM »
Considering the upcoming heat and humidity, I think we can take the "cancel" off this thread.  Summer's here, baby. 

Good to see rain chances slowly increasing for next week.  We started with 20-30%, and now after Sunday there are 40-50% chances across the board here in the foothills.  A cooling late afternoon thunderstorm would be welcome today, but not likely outside the mountains.
We're not even past the solstice - we are wasting all this heat early.  It's so sad.

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