Next possible event...January 1-2

[CookevilleWeatherGuy]

yes, let's hope it is a TREND that holds up!

[Snowman]

Snow Prayers and Dances should now commence!! 

[Ron_Jarrell]

Lets go Krogering! 

[Snowman]

They already said flurries on the TV for several days now. They are bound to be out of milk and bread already. 

[CookevilleWeatherGuy]

They already said flurries on the TV for several days now. They are bound to be out of milk and bread already. 

*LOL*...I think everyone will go at the last minute!

[Ron_Jarrell]

0z NAM won't even squeeze out a flurry for us.

Depressing. Can't wait to see if the 0z GFS does the same.

[Thundersnow]

Latest thinking from the NWS...

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
215 PM CST SUN DEC 30 2007

.SHORT TERM...(THRU TUE NITE)
CURRENT...GRADUAL CLEARING FROM W THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPS 45-50.

RETURN FLOW SHOULD BEGIN TONITE AS WEAK SURFACE HI RELENTS. FLOW
SHOULD STENGTHEN IN ADVANCE OF NEXT STRONG COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO
REACH CWA MON EVE. LOW POPS WITH THIS FRONT AS MOSTURE AND
INSTABILITY LIMITED.

FRONT PUSHES THRU MON NITE WITH ARDENT CAA. WHAT LITE PRECIP
FALLS MAY CHANGE TO SN BY 12Z TUE. H925 MOISTURE ADVANCES INTO CWA
AFTER 09Z. BY 12Z TUE 1045MB HI PRES CENTERED NEAR MCI.

TUE AMPLIFYING H5 TROF AND ACCOMPANYING GOOD VORT MAX...WITH BOTH
GFA AND EURO MODELS CRANKING OUT LITE QPF TUE AND TUE NITE NE 1/2
OF CWA...WITH MOST OVER USUALLY FAVORED CUMBERLAND PLATEAU. WOULD
BE VERY SURPRISED IF SOME WNW FACING HIER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHERN
PLATEAU DON`T RECEIVE AN INCH OUT OF THIS...MAINLY TUE AFTERNOON
AND EVE. AREAL COVERAGE/SCT POPS USED.

.LONG TERM...
DRY AND QUITE COLD TUE NITE INTO THU NITE. BY LATTER PART OF WEEK
H5 FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL...AND EVOLVES INTO WEAK RIDGING. THIS
MEANS BACK TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS FOR FRI INTO WEEKEND. LO CHANCE
POPS FRI NITE INTO SAT...WITH BETTER CHANCE BY SUN.

[CookevilleWeatherGuy]

Latest thinking from the NWS...

Funny you just posted that!...I just put up a SNOW POLL on my blog....I'm not feeling it on this system for some reason!  ....go vote!

[Thundersnow]

For a snow fix... maybe make a drive to the mountains of neighboring North Carolina...

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
244 PM EST SUN DEC 30 2007

...WINTER STORM TO IMPACT THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...

.A COLD UPPER TROUGH AND AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH
THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS MONDAY NIGHT...WHILE A STRONG SURFACE
LOW DEEPENS OVER THE GREAT LAKES. THE FRONT WILL GO THROUGH THE
AREA EARLY TUESDAY...BRINGING IN MUCH COLDER AIR...WHILE LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WRAPS AROUND THE GREAT LAKES LOW AND INTO THE NORTH
CAROLINA MOUNTAINS FROM THE NORTHWEST. THIS WILL CREATE A
PROLONGED PERIOD OF COLD TEMPERATURES...GUSTY WINDS AND
SNOW...LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO MID DAY WEDNESDAY.

NCZ033-048>052-058-310345-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WS.A.0001.080101T1800Z-080102T1800Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE...
WAYNESVILLE
244 PM EST SUN DEC 30 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

PERIODS OF SNOW WILL BEGIN MONDAY NIGHT OVER THE NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAINS. SNOWFALL RATES ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TUESDAY AND
CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING BEFORE TAPERING OFF. STORM
TOTAL SNOWFALL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES IS EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTH
CAROLINA MOUNTAIN COUNTIES BORDERING TENNESSEE...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS.

TEMPERATURES WILL PLUMMET LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT WHILE
WINDS INCREASE FROM THE NORTHWEST...SO ALONG WITH SNOW...BLOWING
SNOW AND DANGEROUS WIND CHILL TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$
RB

[CookevilleWeatherGuy]

Dang...now THAT is what I wanted for the PLATEAU!

[Crockett]

I hate it when someone compares a current weather system or a past weather system, or an entire winter season with another winter season, because there are so many variables associated with each system that each is unique. BUT, our only accumulating snowfall last year up here on top of the Plateau (other than 1/2 inch or so) was the clipper system the third week of February right before we jumped head first into spring. All indications were for about an inch or so of snow. I don't remember what happened elsewhere in the state, but up here we wound up with a skosh over 4 inches of snow and a heavy snow warning before it was all said and done.

I make that comparison not because there are a lot of similarities between that system and Tuesday's system, but I make it to say that the models often handle these seemingly dry shortwaves poorly. This isn't going to be a big event by any means, but I just have a gut feeling that it will work out fairly well for folks who want to see some snowflakes flying, at least from Nashville east. If the moisture was to deepen just a touch more than what the GFS is progging . . . . .

[Susan]

So?? what's the latest?

[Snowman]

Light snow showers or flurries, with any dustings prolly on the Plateau.

[Thundersnow]

To my amateur eyes, looking at the 0Z models released tonight, it still looks like flurry activity, with better chances for light accumulations on the Plateau.  It also looks like better moisture up in Kentucky, I suppose in connection with the clipper system.

So, all in all, about the same.

[Woodvegas]

Well, at least the 0z NAM now shows some moisture in middle TN. Also, the clipper continues to trend south. Whether or not this helps us much in the end remains to be seen as it is still way to the north. QPF numbers suggest a half inch of accumulation at most for me.