Next possible event...January 1-2

[Woodvegas]

Both the GFS and Euro are showing a deep trough and cold shot in the east around New Year's Day and/or on the 2nd. Could this be the one?

[servocrow]

I hope so, WV....I hope so...It seems like we are getting the colder shots of air, yet we can't get the moisture to cooperate..

But...we always seem to be "seven days out" in that "voodoo-land"...

Always hopeful..yet usually skeptical.

[Thundersnow]

There's some continuity for the cold air after the 1st.  It's shown up on a few runs now.

No big precipitation makers in the cold air are showing up just yet.  But, it's too early to be talking details about specific systems anyway.

But, we gotta have the cold air before we have any chance of significant winter weather.  So, at least, we're moving in the right direction.

[Woodvegas]

Still looks really cold an both the 12/25 12z GFS and Euro for the first few days of January. All we need is some moisture.

[Woodvegas]

After this upcoming cold shot, the first half of January looks UGGGGGGLY for snow lovers. 

[servocrow]

Look at WKRN's teasing graphic for next week:



I wonder when the last time was that they used those big flake graphics??

[Thundersnow]

Today's 12Z GFS model run still depicts a short-lived cold blast between the 1st and the 3rd.

Still no significant precip makers showing up at that time... other than some light moisture possibly bringing flurries.

We're still nearly a week away from it though.

[servocrow]

I thought it was odd that they bring in those big graphics...I mean when flurries are possible...they use the TINIEST POSSIBLE flakes

Perhaps it's reverse Psychology.

Or reverse-reverse Psychology.

 

[Thundersnow]

That's a new looking symbol they have up there.  I've not noticed it before.

Of course, they haven't had the opportunity to use it a whole lot over the last few years. 



It's a little odd looking at any rate.  It's either snowflakes, frosted maples leaves, or albino cannabis... I'm not sure. 

[servocrow]

Well a dream-crasher on the site said it was fireworks,,

[Thundersnow]

LOL.  I wouldn't have guessed that.  I suggest they find a new symbol... especially when it happens to show up on a day with highs only in the 30s.

The white is the confusing part... if they threw in a little color on the symbol, it would be more obvious what it's supposed to be.

[servocrow]

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
342 AM CST THU DEC 27 2007

.SHORT TERM (THU-FRI)...
WEAKENING SFC TROUGH HEADING INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION EARLY
THIS MORNING. PCPN COVERAGE W/SYSTEM BEGAN TO SCATTER AROUND
MIDNIGHT. DRY FORECAST TODAY. H9 MODEL MOISTURE REMAINS HIGH WITH
MOS OVERCAST. LACK OF COLD ADVECTION AND 11-3.9 IR MOISTURE THINNING
WEST ENOUGH TO FORECAST LESS CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON.

ANOTHER QUICK SFC LOW APPROACHES FM TX TONIGHT. A MILD NIGHT WITH
PCPN SPREADING INTO THE MID STATE FRI MORNING. NAM/GFS MODELS
SHOW STRONGER WIND FIELD WITH THIS ONE VERSUS THE PREVIOUS TWO.
GFS40 0-3 KM SRH > 1100 M2/S2. LITTLE SFC BASED SUPPORT FOR
THUNDER IN THE MODELS. BUT WILL MENTION CHC THUNDER SOUTH AND
EAST MID TN WITH FROPA AND H8 WIND MAX.

.LONG TERM (SAT-WED)...
SFC HIGH PRES IN CONTROL SAT. THERE COULD BE OVERRUNNING RAINS IN
THE SOUTH SUN...BUT ONLY A SLIGHT CHC AT THIS POINT. SFC HIGH PRES
HEADS INTO THE MID ATL MON...AND ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO
PUSH INTO THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK. RETURN FLOW WEAK AND DRY AHEAD
OF FRONT. BUT AIR IS VERY COLD BEHIND IT. IT IS COLD ENOUGH FOR
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ACR THE PLATEAU TUES INTO WED MORNING. COULD
BE SOME LIGHT ACCUMS IN THIS REGION...AND FLURRIES WEST. VERY COLD
LOW TEMPS TUE AND WED NIGHT...COLDEST OF THE SEASON TO DATE.

 

[Snowman]

Well if we can get anything to fall, it could stick. Its gonna be cold. Lows in the lower 20's. As long as we can get snow, it will stick. Salt Brine only works till a certain degree. Interesting weather for the plateau.

[servocrow]

Yeah, I just want something pretty to look at.  This holiday season took its toll and I want a peaceful, pretty winter to recharge.

 

[Thundersnow]

Next week's cold shot still looks rather brief and fairly dry at this point.  We could be in the game for some flurries or snow showers... but, that remains to be seen.

But, for what it's worth, I've been reading the comments of some guys on other forums that follow weather patterns (a little closer than I do anyway).  And, there is a view that a pattern about the middle of January could become more favorable for winter weather in our parts (though that sounds like deja vu all over again, since I believe the exact same thing was said last January...  ).

We shall see.