Possible winter weather?

[Eric]

Has anybody seen or heard anything about possible winter weather in the 7-14 day timeframe?  There's some serious babble going on at several other forums concerning this.  Yeah, I know IT'S WAY TO EARLY to start looking at this, but who doesn't like a little weatherp0rn before Christmas? 

[Ron_Jarrell]

I've been looking at all the models for that timeframe too. For us, I don't see any winter wx in the forecast, but I do see a potential to get some very cold air (departure from normal speaking) in here the first week of December. If anything, the models (very far out and flipfloppy right now to look at as accurate) paint a back end flurry on Tue/Wed next week and put us in the freezer for a few days. One thing is for sure, the cold is coming. First half of December looks to be below average temps for the Eastern half of the U.S.

[Ron_Jarrell]

BTW, Eric, don't make me slap you with the Weenie tag!  

[Ron_Jarrell]

GFS 12Z and 18Z are taming this next system. Still some cold air and strong cold front to move in, but temps won't be near as cold unless GFS flipflops again.

[Thundersnow]

I saw some talk about this on another forum.  So, I had to check the ole model output to confirm it.  Last night's 0Z GFS is showing a 1050+ High centered over western Montana around December 11. That would be a pretty cold airmass.

Then, the freezer door would open for us somewhere around the December 12-14th timeframe.  Hackuweather this morning is showing 30s for highs and teens for lows around then. Also, it shows wintry precip possible on 12/14.  But, that's so far out, that it's hardly worth talking about at this point. 

Anyway, the always erratic models could do a 180 on this and take it all away.  But, just thought I would mention it.   

[Reneezelle]

Hence the word Hackuweather...... 

[CookevilleWeatherGuy]

I agree...never rely on them for anything more than a few days out!

[Thundersnow]

Last night's model run already backed off on it.  So, there doesn't seem to be much to write home about on the way any time real soon.  Looks like some seasonal cool shots may give us some highs in the 40s next week.  But, it is December, after all.

[CookevilleWeatherGuy]

Anything looking good for Mid-week here on the Plateau yet??  There seems to be some HINTS!

[servocrow]

I saw this morning where there might be enough moisture for a few flakes to fall, but nothing to write home about.  I haven't seen this morning's AFD.

[Thundersnow]

The AFD seemed to imply that possibility for the Plateau (somehow, they were able to do it without using the S word, lol).

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
303 AM CST TUE DEC 4 2007

.SHORT TERM...(THRU THU)
COLD NITE WITH SOME THIN CI STREAMING SE ACROSS REGION. TEMPS IN
MID TO UPPER 20S.

PLEASANT DAY TODAY AS RETURN FLOW LETS US WARM UP A LITTLE.
LATE TONITE...A CLIPPER-LIKE SYSTEM DIVES SE INTO OHVLY...ON INTO
MID-ATLC STATES WED. EXPECT SOME MID CLOUDS INITIALLY...THEN ON
WED H850-H9 CLOUDS PLUNGE S INTO CWA IN WAKE OF SYSTEM. NOT EXPECTING
MUCH IN WAY OF PRECIP...MAINLY N PLATEAU (ENHANCED BY OROGRPAHICS)
AND LO CHANCES THERE. MOST PRECIP WILL BE N OF LO TRACK.

[Thundersnow]

Hmm... here's the forecast for Crossville and the northern Plateau for Wednesday night:

Wednesday Night
Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of snow showers in the evening...then partly cloudy after midnight. Lows in the mid to upper 20s. Northwest winds around 10 mph in the evening becoming calm.

[servocrow]

Funny....I guess they can say, "WE NEVER SAID IT WAS GOING TO SNOW!!"

I should use that tactic with my boys....

[luv4tn]

Hmh ... why do I get the impression, that some of you would kill to get some snow on the ground ...  ... ?

[servocrow]

We like to use the phrase "justifiable homicide" thank you...