To me it looks like the models are trending away from

[David]

any winter wx the last part of the week Nam / GFS IMO

[Kevin]

Yep, I'm not seeing any concern for winter weather for TN through the end of the week.

The one exception maybe extreme SW Tennessee including Memphis on early Thursday as models still indicate light freezing rain around drive time. That could cause a thin glaze to develop and a few road problems, but precip overall appears that it will be limited to areas in Southwest TN.

[David]

Still have a day or 2 to watch it so if the old south trending of the models shows its face we may all get a surprise . I hope not if its going to be an over running event and we get ice is involved

[candi72]

 Good Morning! I just wanted to thank David and all the other people involved in getting this site going. This rookie is looking forward to reading and learning interesting weather facts and I am sure other things while here. Thanks again, Candi 

[msdawg911]

We're glad you're here, Candi.

[Reneezelle]

Hey everybody!!! I made it here! Love the new site!!!


Okay that said,

I still need my winter weather!

[David]

any change in the models ? I have not looked today, I won't be able to until I get home late tonight

[Kevin]

any change in the models ? I have not looked today, I won't be able to until I get home late tonight

None regarding tomorrow morning.

NAM is a little more aggressive with precip, but still only over SW TN. GFS has just very light amounts and still over SW TN. NAM would be an advisory type ice accumulation for the Memphis area Thursday morning. The weekend, however, is starting to get a little interesting maybe. Something to be talked about in the coming days I imagine.

Early next week still looking more wet and wintry, but still some changes could occur there. I think the best chance overall for the state could be this weekend.

[David]

Nam show more moisture then the GFS thats different then any other event this year . The GFS always seems to be the one over playing the moisture this year

[Kevin]

From MEG...

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
236 PM CST WED FEB 7 2007

ARZ027-028-035-036-048-049-058-MSZ001>017-TNZ049-050-052>055-088>092-
080400-
ALCORN-BENTON-CHESTER-COAHOMA-CRITTENDEN-CROSS-DECATUR-DESOTO-
FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE(AR)-
LEE(MS)-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-PANOLA-PHILLIPS-
POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TATE-TIPPAH-
TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-
236 PM CST WED FEB 7 2007

...LIGHT ICY CONDITIONS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING...

SCATTERED LIGHT PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS OF
THE MID SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE FALLING BELOW THE FREEZING POINT AS COLDER AIR
PUSHES IN FROM THE NORTH. THIS COULD RESULT IN LIGHT FREEZING RAIN
SOUTH OF A LINE FROM HARRISBURG ARKANSAS TO PARSONS TENNESSEE AND
NORTH OF A LINE FROM WEST HELENA ARKANSAS TO FULTON MISSISSIPPI. THIS
INCLUDES THE MEMPHIS METROPOLITAN AREA. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE
MINOR. A LIGHT COATING ON TREES ALONG WITH SOME TROUBLE SPOTS ON THE
ROADS...ESPECIALLY BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES IS POSSIBLE.

PLEASE STAY TUNED FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR ADVISORIES.

[David]

hmm interesting

[joemomma]

NOAA forecast still has a slight chance for this weekend....

[shaq725]

HMMM This makes me wonder.....

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
128 PM CST WED FEB 7 2007

ALZ001>010-016-081000-
COLBERT-CULLMAN-DE KALB-FRANKLIN AL-JACKSON-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-
LIMESTONE-MADISON-MARSHALL-MORGAN-
128 PM CST WED FEB 7 2007

...PATCHY FREEZING PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE EARLY THURSDAY ACROSS
PARTS OF NORTHERN ALABAMA...

AS MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTH SPREADS OVER THE COLD AIR MASS IN PLACE
OVER NORTHERN ALABAMA LATER TONIGHT...PATCHY LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR
DRIZZLE WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHERN ALABAMA.

BETWEEN THE HOURS OF 3 AM CST AND 9 AM CST THURSDAY MORNING...
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT OR BELOW FREEZING ACROSS MOST OF NORTHERN
ALABAMA WHEN PATCHY LIGHT RAIN STARTS FALLING. A FEW SPOTS COULD
RECEIVE A LIGHT COAT OF ICE ACCUMULATION. ALTHOUGH ICE ACCUMULATIONS
WILL BE MUCH LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH...SLICK SPOTS COULD
DEVELOP ON ELEVATED SURFACES AND MOUNTAIN ROADS.

MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR SLICK SPOTS ON HIGHWAYS EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS BRIDGES AND ON MOUNTAIN ROADS.

STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER
UPDATES FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE.

$$

SCHAUB

-------------------------------------------------------------


Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1250 PM CST WED FEB 7 2007

ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-080430-
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-MADISON-MORGAN-
MARSHALL-JACKSON-DE KALB-CULLMAN-MOORE-LINCOLN-FRANKLIN TN-
1250 PM CST WED FEB 7 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH ALABAMA AND PORTIONS
OF SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

PATCHY LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE MAY DEVELOP EARLY THURSDAY MORNING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH ALABAMA AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVES
THROUGH. TOWARDS DAYBREAK AS TEMPERATURES FALL NEAR FREEZING
ACROSS MOST OF NORTHERN ALABAMA...A PERIOD OF VERY LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN OR DRIZZLE WILL BE POSSIBLE. GIVEN VERY LIMITED
MOISTURE...ANY ICE ACCUMULATIONS WOULD REMAIN EXTREMELY LIGHT. A
FEW SLICK SPOTS COULD DEVELOP ON ELEVATED SURFACES AND MOUNTAIN
ROADS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

PATCHY LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR DRIZZLE MAY LINGER THROUGH THE
MORNING COMMUTE ON THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL
IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

[msdawg911]

When you post bulletins, please post them as a quote (see post above) so that we won't cause width problems.

[shaq725]

WOOPS!!!sorry didnt know that