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Author Topic: Major October Hurricane Michael  (Read 4334 times)

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Offline Thundersnow

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Re: Major October Hurricane Michael
« Reply #120 on: October 10, 2018, 12:57:35 PM »
Tyndall about to get back into the southern eye wall as Michael is getting fully onshore.


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Offline dwagner88

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Re: Major October Hurricane Michael
« Reply #121 on: October 10, 2018, 01:02:37 PM »
If there was ever an opportunity to photograph stadium effect from the ground in the US, it was this storm. I wonder if it happened.
Winter 2009-10 Snowfall: 11.5 in. :)
Winter 2010-11 Snowfall: 15.5 in. :)
Winter 2011-12: Trace
Winter 2012-2013: 0.25 in.
Winter 2013-14: 10.6 (9.5 on 2/12)
Winter 2014-2015:
2/18 - 0.25" snow
2/20 - 1.5" snow, 0.15" ZR
2/24 - 0.5" snow
2/25 - 8" snow :)

Offline harlequin

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Re: Major October Hurricane Michael
« Reply #122 on: October 10, 2018, 01:04:17 PM »
Either the 3rd or 4th most intense landfalling US hurricane. Wow.

Offline ryandourius

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Re: Major October Hurricane Michael
« Reply #123 on: October 10, 2018, 01:18:23 PM »
Great live stream from Larry Posey. Intense!

https://www.severestudios.com/storm-chasers/larry.posey.html
« Last Edit: October 10, 2018, 01:20:12 PM by ryandourius »

Offline dwagner88

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Re: Major October Hurricane Michael
« Reply #124 on: October 10, 2018, 01:23:22 PM »
The last estimated surface winds from the hurricane hunters have it at 158.8 in the south eyewall. That is cat 5. Post landfall as well. I donít know if those estimates can be used for official classification though.
Winter 2009-10 Snowfall: 11.5 in. :)
Winter 2010-11 Snowfall: 15.5 in. :)
Winter 2011-12: Trace
Winter 2012-2013: 0.25 in.
Winter 2013-14: 10.6 (9.5 on 2/12)
Winter 2014-2015:
2/18 - 0.25" snow
2/20 - 1.5" snow, 0.15" ZR
2/24 - 0.5" snow
2/25 - 8" snow :)

Offline ryandourius

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Re: Major October Hurricane Michael
« Reply #125 on: October 10, 2018, 01:26:27 PM »
The last estimated surface winds from the hurricane hunters have it at 158.8 in the south eyewall. That is cat 5. Post landfall as well. I donít know if those estimates can be used for official classification though.

The would mean if they went with that, this is a 160 mph storm. Wow!

Offline cgauxknox

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Re: Major October Hurricane Michael
« Reply #126 on: October 10, 2018, 01:30:07 PM »
The last estimated surface winds from the hurricane hunters have it at 158.8 in the south eyewall. That is cat 5. Post landfall as well. I donít know if those estimates can be used for official classification though.
I don't know what the official rating system requires but I don't think there will be any doubt that this was a Cat 5 storm in terms of impact.  Watching the live coverage it seems that the eye came on shore at the least populated part of the panhandle so while there will still be catastrophic damage across a wide area it really could have been much worse had it been a bit east or west.  The emerging story in the next several hours may be damage to the power grid that is expected to take weeks to restore along the coast and possibly to points inland.

Offline mamMATTus

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Re: Major October Hurricane Michael
« Reply #127 on: October 10, 2018, 01:42:24 PM »
This thing is booking it! Canít believe how far inland it already is and itís barely weakened any.

Offline Charles L.

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Re: Major October Hurricane Michael
« Reply #128 on: October 10, 2018, 01:46:35 PM »
This thing is booking it! Canít believe how far inland it already is and itís barely weakened any.

I wouldnít be shocked if it is still a strong Cat 1 or weak Cat 2 when it hits SW GA later on this afternoon.
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Offline mempho

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Re: Major October Hurricane Michael
« Reply #129 on: October 10, 2018, 01:50:16 PM »
If there was ever an opportunity to photograph stadium effect from the ground in the US, it was this storm. I wonder if it happened.

I've seen one pic so far [ Guests cannot view attachments ]


Put on my big snow boots and
I boarded the plane
Touched down in the land of the Delta Blues
In the middle of the freezing rain

Snow up high
Won't you pour down over me
Yeah, I got some accretion
But I'm as blue as a boy can be

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: Major October Hurricane Michael
« Reply #130 on: October 10, 2018, 01:54:29 PM »
The eye still has a well-defined presentation on radar considering the time it's been inland so far.

Offline mempho

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Re: Major October Hurricane Michael
« Reply #131 on: October 10, 2018, 01:56:20 PM »
The eye still has a well-defined presentation on radar considering the time it's been inland so far.

Yes, it does- I can't believe how well it still looks.  It's amazing to see the satellite presentation of a clear eye fully on land- it almost looks like a photoshop.


Put on my big snow boots and
I boarded the plane
Touched down in the land of the Delta Blues
In the middle of the freezing rain

Snow up high
Won't you pour down over me
Yeah, I got some accretion
But I'm as blue as a boy can be

Offline ChrisPC

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Re: Major October Hurricane Michael
« Reply #132 on: October 10, 2018, 02:01:50 PM »
This is one of the rare times an intensity forecast busts upward. Plenty of times a Cat 4/5 weakens just before landfall. Rarely does a Cat 2 explode like this, even on land! Genuinely scary to think about.

Post Merge: October 10, 2018, 02:04:36 PM
If there was ever an opportunity to photograph stadium effect from the ground in the US, it was this storm. I wonder if it happened.

It has!

https://www.facebook.com/DerekBeasleyFox4/posts/1918026478291525
« Last Edit: October 10, 2018, 02:04:36 PM by ChrisPC, Reason: Merged DoublePost »

Offline mempho

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Re: Major October Hurricane Michael
« Reply #133 on: October 10, 2018, 02:05:57 PM »
LOL at the 2pm update- eye is entirely on land- MSW- 150mph.


Put on my big snow boots and
I boarded the plane
Touched down in the land of the Delta Blues
In the middle of the freezing rain

Snow up high
Won't you pour down over me
Yeah, I got some accretion
But I'm as blue as a boy can be

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: Major October Hurricane Michael
« Reply #134 on: October 10, 2018, 02:11:56 PM »
This is one of the rare times an intensity forecast busts upward. Plenty of times a Cat 4/5 weakens just before landfall. Rarely does a Cat 2 explode like this, even on land! Genuinely scary to think about.

Post Merge: October 10, 2018, 02:04:36 PM
It has!

https://www.facebook.com/DerekBeasleyFox4/posts/1918026478291525

Noticed the comment on that post... "Buildings leveled and forest flattened."

 

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