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Author Topic: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)  (Read 41949 times)

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Offline JayCee

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #330 on: October 09, 2018, 01:04:23 PM »
I've noticed it's breezy today with some gusts- I wonder if we're seeing some distant gradient interaction between the approaching trough/autumn cold front, ridge to the east, and Michael in the Gulf.

First real breezy day here in a long time.  As Chuck Mangione put it--it feels so good.

EDIT--Just like this will!

Quote
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 66.

Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 46.

Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 69.

Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 52.

Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 73.

« Last Edit: October 09, 2018, 02:00:59 PM by JayCee »
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline JayCee

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #331 on: October 10, 2018, 06:39:22 PM »
Went out for a short jog and was drenched with sweat by the time I was done.  A deep tropical airmass is definitely being pushed in here ahead of Michael.  Dewpoint is currently 72 with the temperature at 76. 

But this may be the last night the air has a tropical feel to it until next spring.  Either way, I won't know what to do come Thursday evening when temps crash into the 50's after sunset, and drop to 45 by morning.  And dewpoints in the 40s??  We haven't had an airmass that dry since last May. 

Considering we've not had any transition time, this cool snap will be a shock to the system.  Highs in the mid 60's gonna feel a bit chilly.  I'll still take it. 
« Last Edit: October 10, 2018, 07:27:26 PM by JayCee »
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline mempho

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #332 on: October 11, 2018, 04:14:34 AM »
Went out for a short jog and was drenched with sweat by the time I was done.  A deep tropical airmass is definitely being pushed in here ahead of Michael.  Dewpoint is currently 72 with the temperature at 76. 

But this may be the last night the air has a tropical feel to it until next spring.  Either way, I won't know what to do come Thursday evening when temps crash into the 50's after sunset, and drop to 45 by morning.  And dewpoints in the 40s??  We haven't had an airmass that dry since last May. 

Considering we've not had any transition time, this cool snap will be a shock to the system.  Highs in the mid 60's gonna feel a bit chilly.  I'll still take it.
It's 55F here in west TN this morning! Fall has arrived! I'm about to go run!

It arrived too late for the Florida panhandle, unfortunately.

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Put on my big snow boots and
I boarded the plane
Touched down in the land of the Delta Blues
In the middle of the freezing rain

Snow up high
Won't you pour down over me
Yeah, I got some accretion
But I'm as blue as a boy can be

Offline JayCee

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #333 on: October 11, 2018, 04:56:19 AM »
Forecast for the next 7 days continues to cool as models catch on to the strength of the trough developing over the eastern U.S.  Temperatures are now forecast to remain below 70 for the entire period for this area!  Lows the next two nights are expected to be in the LOWER 40's.  What a massive change from what we've been seeing so far this autumn. 
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline Curt

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #334 on: October 11, 2018, 09:42:35 AM »
Sergio looks to interact with arctic air in the southern plains for a really decent snow storm. Amarillo TX weather has always fascinated me but not to the point to live there. Sergio should get stalled along a front in western TN early next week and put down 2 to 3 inches of rain with some cool air to boot.

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #335 on: October 11, 2018, 10:52:11 AM »
Sergio looks to interact with arctic air in the southern plains for a really decent snow storm. Amarillo TX weather has always fascinated me but not to the point to live there. Sergio should get stalled along a front in western TN early next week and put down 2 to 3 inches of rain with some cool air to boot.

That's really interesting (how a tropical system can come into place in a winter weather scenario). That was the case with Sandy.

The high plains can get some good snow storms/blizzards in October anyway. I agree- fascinating area of the country.
« Last Edit: October 11, 2018, 10:56:53 AM by Thundersnow »

Offline Clay

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #336 on: October 11, 2018, 12:56:51 PM »
Sergio looks to interact with arctic air in the southern plains for a really decent snow storm. Amarillo TX weather has always fascinated me but not to the point to live there. Sergio should get stalled along a front in western TN early next week and put down 2 to 3 inches of rain with some cool air to boot.
Similarly so, I've always felt the same about Denver. 80F one day, snow the next. 3000+ mean sunshine hours per month, 50" of annual snowfall. Some severe wx, but no humidity. Must be nice not being down wind from a massive tub of bath water.
« Last Edit: October 11, 2018, 12:58:34 PM by Clay »

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #337 on: October 11, 2018, 04:36:05 PM »
What is this strange figure that is in the forecast tonight... low of 42- what is that? What will that feel like?

Might we die if we are out in that?

;)


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Offline JayCee

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #338 on: October 11, 2018, 05:58:16 PM »
The sun is still above the horizon and it's already down to 63 with a good breeze blowing.  Finally feels like October!
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline ChrisPC

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #339 on: October 11, 2018, 06:06:17 PM »
42? Its the answer to life, the universe, and everything.

Offline Dyersburg Weather

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #340 on: October 12, 2018, 06:52:17 AM »
A wonderful 45 degrees this morning.

Offline JayCee

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #341 on: October 12, 2018, 07:08:52 AM »
Didn't make it to 42, but I'm happy with a marvelous 49 this morning. 
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline cgauxknox

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #342 on: October 12, 2018, 07:25:49 AM »
At the desk to start my work day with a big mug of hot English Breakfast tea and my dog curled up on her bed beside me to sleep until we get out in the glorious weather to take a long walk.  This is what October mornings should be.  ;D

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #343 on: October 12, 2018, 08:14:22 AM »
I have a feeling we may see a fairly abrupt change of foliage in the next week or two with this cool weather + the shorter hours of daylight at this point. With the rainfall seen over the last month, the trees seem fairly lush and green, so I'm hoping we'll see some nice color this year.

Offline Clay

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #344 on: October 12, 2018, 09:50:00 AM »
41F IMBY. Fall is here to stay. Or at least I hope, my <90F prediction went down a week later.  >:D

 

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