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Author Topic: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)  (Read 45215 times)

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Offline JayCee

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #165 on: September 22, 2018, 03:56:21 PM »
Flash Flood Warnings have already begun in parts of southeast KY where heavy, training thunderstorms are dropping too much rain too quickly.

"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Online Dyersburg Weather

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #166 on: September 22, 2018, 08:01:48 PM »
A little over 2 inches here so far. Looks to be a very wet week.

Offline JayCee

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #167 on: September 22, 2018, 08:48:43 PM »
Welcome to Fall y'all.  The Sun's direct rays are crossing the equator at 9:54 EDT tonight, and won't return until March of next year. 


Quote
Equinoxes & Solstices 2018
September Equinox
Sep 22  9:54 pm
December Solstice
Dec 21  5:23 pm
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #168 on: September 22, 2018, 11:29:07 PM »
I noticed that too, Skillsweather.

Offline MSR041933

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #169 on: September 23, 2018, 04:21:27 AM »
Yep. They kept pushing the heavier stuff closer and closer as we got closer. This morning i got a nice little shower and I got one again an hour ago. And so it begins the washing away of summer into fall (which usually is dryer then summer overall lol)

Edit. Spots slightly south of me in Wilson county (according to radar) has got 2-2.5 today. And theres some spots near Lawrenceburg thats got like 5+ today.. Crazy since we havn't even started with the real rains thats coming

This is correct. Picked up 6.25 inches Friday into Saturday..and already received another 2.5 overnight tonight!
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Offline JayCee

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #170 on: September 23, 2018, 06:51:59 AM »
Has something changed? My forecast has highs staying in the low 80s all week and next weekend. What happen to the 70s. 80 is average for right now.

The first trough (and the cool air) doesn't really make a deep push into our area.  The second trough by late week will deliver a better brand of air, but still not fall-like.  In any event, I'll enjoy 58 for a low by next Friday (if it doesn't change by then).

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The frontal passage will occur late Wednesday but expect the front will slow down as the trough races quickly off to the northeast late Wednesday.

Quick return flow will push this boundary back to the north on
Thursday. A weak trough is forecast to move along this boundary with
elevated chances of showers and storms continuing into Thursday. A
more robust rough will pass to the north late Thursday into early
Friday with the front finally passing to the south. With this, drier
and slightly cooler conditions are forecast Friday night into
Saturday.

Temperatures through the long-term forecast period will remain near
to slightly above average for late September.
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline WXRocker

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #171 on: September 23, 2018, 07:58:29 AM »
Has something changed? My forecast has highs staying in the low 80s all week and next weekend. What happen to the 70s. 80 is average for right now.
Meanwhile, in Hopkinsville....Today: 70/65, Monday:76/68, Tuesday:80/66, Wednesday: 74/56, Thursday:75/55   ::drowning::
Quote from: ERIC
We specialize in @$$hattery.

Welcome to Tennessee, where every day's weather is an exercise in bipolar disorder.

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Offline JayCee

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #172 on: September 23, 2018, 12:57:47 PM »
Yesterday the forecast high for today was 78.  Already up to 84 with summertime humidity to boot.  Not a day to open the windows, as I had hoped. 
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline spanarkle08

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #173 on: September 24, 2018, 08:59:59 AM »
Can not believe Carroll Co is not under a flash flood warning...have pick up 1.7 inches as of 6 this morning to go with the 1.8 from Sat. and its been poring for the past hour and a half

Offline snowdog

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #174 on: September 24, 2018, 11:18:17 AM »
Long range models: Fall fought the Southeast Ridge...and the, Southeast Ridge won.

The wait for fall temps continues....

Offline JayCee

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #175 on: September 24, 2018, 01:44:23 PM »
If summer is anything like last winter, it will be hot until mid November, then turn cold.  Fall gets skipped over like spring. 
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline cgauxknox

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #176 on: September 24, 2018, 01:47:06 PM »
I have confidence in predicting that fall weather will arrive before UT wins an SEC football game.  We'll most likely also see winter, spring, summer, and at least part of another fall....

Today certainly feels like a dreary fall day in Knoxville.  Even though it isn't that cool with the cloud cover and rain, and the forecast for the next several days, we may go all week without seeing the sun.  I'm glad for the break from the heat, but would rather have those beautiful fall days where it's cool and also sunny.

Online BRUCE

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #177 on: September 24, 2018, 02:39:19 PM »
Long range models: Fall fought the Southeast Ridge...and the, Southeast Ridge won.

The wait for fall temps continues....
yeah 12z euro builds the ridge right back in long range .... looks be steady dose mid 80s for some highs
Come on severe wx season...

Offline dwagner88

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #178 on: September 24, 2018, 04:04:39 PM »
Wettest day of the year so far for me. 4.15 in the gauge and its still coming down.
Winter 2009-10 Snowfall: 11.5 in. :)
Winter 2010-11 Snowfall: 15.5 in. :)
Winter 2011-12: Trace
Winter 2012-2013: 0.25 in.
Winter 2013-14: 10.6 (9.5 on 2/12)
Winter 2014-2015:
2/18 - 0.25" snow
2/20 - 1.5" snow, 0.15" ZR
2/24 - 0.5" snow
2/25 - 8" snow :)

Offline Jilly

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #179 on: September 24, 2018, 05:00:17 PM »
Did not expect a tornado warning today!
WA4CZD

 

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