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Author Topic: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)  (Read 20167 times)

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Offline BRUCE

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #300 on: October 05, 2018, 08:29:09 AM »
Come on severe wx season...

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #301 on: October 05, 2018, 11:10:51 AM »
Taking this in stride and soaking up the last bit of summer before it gets cooler out. I will welcome autumn weather with open arms, but if this is what we are going to get for now, I may as well enjoy it. I plan to get a nice, sticky Southern sweat going today.  ::blowtorch::

Online Drifter49

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #302 on: October 05, 2018, 11:16:08 AM »
Pretty much sums it up!


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To enjoy things in life that are good, you first must endure things that suck!
Bring on the snow baby!!!

Offline JayCee

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #303 on: October 05, 2018, 12:46:07 PM »
I took the top back off the jeep and going for a long drive in the mountains this weekend.  Might as well enjoy topless weather while I can.   ;)
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline collinsk

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #304 on: October 05, 2018, 08:30:51 PM »
I looked back at Oct 1974 in Nashville and many many days in early October with highs in 60's and lows in 40's. I recall those kinds of Octobers around here when I was in grade school.

Offline JayCee

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #305 on: October 06, 2018, 06:51:22 AM »
Judah Cohen says Siberian snow cover is severely lacking so far this autumn (compared to previous years), and long range CFS shows little falling.  However, his theory of heavy snow cover in Siberia leading to a cold, snowy winters in the eastern U.S. has taken a hit the last few years.  There's been plenty of snow over there, but the influence here has been minimal.  Judah has this to say about that...

Quote
Yes the correlation with the AO has dropped but the correlation of the AO with winter temperatures has also dropped.  I do think that something strange is going on with the AO.


From the discussion, I take it that even when the AO goes severely negative in winter, the usual result of colder weather in the U.S. (or the mid-latitudes in general) doesn't occur.  Maybe we're just running out of cold air. 
 ::hot::
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline Dyersburg Weather

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #306 on: October 06, 2018, 07:10:22 AM »
Looking at the FV3 GFS , it looks like fall arrives Thursday and sticks around. Even has lows in the 30s by mid month.

Offline JayCee

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #307 on: October 06, 2018, 07:42:27 AM »
I'll welcome 30's with open arms.  Waking up to summer soup this morning.  Dense fog with temperatures and dewpoints locked together in the upper 60's. 
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline BRUCE

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #308 on: October 06, 2018, 08:26:42 AM »
Yeah... itís bye bye ridge for now ...
Come on severe wx season...

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #309 on: October 06, 2018, 10:10:33 AM »
In the mean time, the extended summer continues. Weíre with family at a pumpkin patch and farm for fall activities- it does not feel it. Just another typical July or August day.

It was funny to hear forecasts on the radio talk about the very warm near record weather when itís just seemed like a continuation of same ole.

Climatology has driven the daily averages way down, while the actual weather hasnít budged much.


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Offline Thundersnow

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #310 on: October 06, 2018, 10:16:50 AM »
Oddly I think Iím taking to this better than I would if it had become cool and then we had a hot spell. Other than a brief day or two cool off, itís just been a continuation of what itís been and I havenít reaclimatized to anything different.


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Offline JayCee

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #311 on: October 06, 2018, 12:57:45 PM »
Temp = 86F.  Dewpoint = 70F. 

O Fall, Where Art Thou?
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline mamMATTus

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #312 on: October 06, 2018, 01:20:25 PM »
Not only am I sick of cutting the grass, I'm sick of being drenched in sweat and drained after I'm finished. IT WAS HOT & HUMID AF AT 7:30 LAST NIGHT. HURRY UP FALL.

Also, we now have a system in the Gulf that will likely become a TS before landfall. We'll get some of that plus the cold front coming through Weds-Thurs.

Offline Clint

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #313 on: October 06, 2018, 02:02:06 PM »
Looks like we have 80's through the state today with KCHA reporting 90 degrees.



But not fret...we will start getting some Fall temps by the middle of next week.


Offline JayCee

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Re: Fall 2018 (Epic Winter Prep Thread)
« Reply #314 on: October 06, 2018, 02:35:55 PM »
Despite this ridiculous heat in October, I'm still feeling good about the upcoming winter.  The warm water off of Alaska (northeast Pacific) argues for a trough in the eastern U.S..  Every decent winter we've had since 2009 has had that warm pool of water in the northeast Pacific.  It's back.  So...BEWARE.   >:D ::evillaugh::
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

 

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