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Author Topic: Hurricane Lane  (Read 415 times)

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Offline schneitzeit

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Hurricane Lane
« on: August 21, 2018, 07:55:57 PM »
Pacific hurricane Lane will likely make landfall in Hawaii later this week. Sustained winds increased from 130 mph to 150 mph today. Could be catastrophic.

http://www.staradvertiser.com/2018/08/20/weather-updates/hurricane-lane-expected-to-take-northwest-turn-forecasters-warn-of-heavy-rain-flooding/

Offline mamMATTus

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Re: Hurricane Lane
« Reply #1 on: August 21, 2018, 08:32:09 PM »
Pacific hurricane Lane will likely make landfall in Hawaii later this week. Sustained winds increased from 130 mph to 150 mph today. Could be catastrophic.

http://www.staradvertiser.com/2018/08/20/weather-updates/hurricane-lane-expected-to-take-northwest-turn-forecasters-warn-of-heavy-rain-flooding/

My cousin and her husband/kids live on the east side of O'ahu so I'm watching this very closely.

Offline Charles L.

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Re: Hurricane Lane
« Reply #2 on: August 21, 2018, 09:34:30 PM »
I went ahead and created this thread...cause I have a bad feeling we will be hearing A LOT about this storm in the coming days.

Pretty sure Hawaii’s infrastructure isn’t like Florida...in that a major hurricane landfall would be horrendous for the islands.
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Offline mamMATTus

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Re: Hurricane Lane
« Reply #3 on: August 22, 2018, 12:09:45 PM »
Spoke with my cousin a little while ago. Seems like they are adequately prepared for whatever happens. They live in Kailua near the Marine Corps base. Considering that's on the northeast side of the island and mountains hopefully they will be somewhat shielded from the wind. I would say the main concern now is flooding.

Offline JayCee

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Re: Hurricane Lane
« Reply #4 on: August 22, 2018, 04:16:39 PM »
Quote
The UW-CIMSS shear analysis shows that Lane is located within an
area of moderate southwesterly shear. The tropical cyclone is
expected to begin moving under increasing shear in the coming days
which is expected to start a long-awaited weakenening trend. Around
72 hours or so, the shear is expected to weaken the core of the
tropical cyclone enough to initiate more rapid weakening that is
shown for the remainder of the forecast period. Our intensity
forecast is at the high end of the guidance, in best agreement with
the ECMWF.
 
 
KEY MESSAGES:
 
1. Lane is forecast to move dangerously close to the main Hawaiian
Islands as a hurricane tomorrow through Saturday, potentially
bringing damaging winds. As Lane will be slow-moving as it nears
the islands, prolonged heavy rainfall and life-threatening flash
flooding will be possible. Large and damaging surf can be
expected along exposed shorelines, along with localized storm surge.
 
2. As Lane approaches the islands from the southeast, initial
impacts will be felt on the Big Island and Maui County, where a
Hurricane Warning is in effect. Impacts on Kauai County and Oahu
are also possible, and a Hurricane Watch is in effect there.
 
3. Do not focus on the exact forecast track or intensity for Lane,
and be prepared for adjustments to the forecast. Life threatening
impacts can extend well away from the center of a hurricane.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  22/2100Z 15.5N 155.9W  135 KT 155 MPH
 12H  23/0600Z 16.2N 156.7W  125 KT 145 MPH
 24H  23/1800Z 17.6N 157.1W  115 KT 130 MPH
 36H  24/0600Z 18.9N 157.5W  100 KT 115 MPH
 48H  24/1800Z 19.9N 157.8W   85 KT 100 MPH
 72H  25/1800Z 20.8N 158.7W   65 KT  75 MPH
 96H  26/1800Z 21.0N 162.1W   50 KT  60 MPH
120H  27/1800Z 20.9N 165.0W   40 KT  45 MPH
 
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

 

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