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Author Topic: Winter 2018-19  (Read 235688 times)

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Offline Michael

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Re: Winter 2018-19
« Reply #555 on: December 05, 2018, 10:28:04 PM »
The GFS has locked on a solution for a solid week and isnít budging. Iíve never seen it hold so steady for so many runs. It has varied very slightly over the past 5 days or so. Unbelievable.


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Offline JayCee

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Re: Winter 2018-19
« Reply #556 on: December 06, 2018, 05:37:07 AM »
GFS V3 still holds out hope for north middle TN over to eastern TN from Knoxville east.  Southeast KY wins. Tri-Cities scores, but I don't want to talk about my close neighbor, western NC.    ::bangingheadintowall::

Most of the snow falls with the secondary system still being showing by the GFS.  With the first system, much of what falls is liquid, but it appears a quick switchover to heavy, wet snow is still possible for parts of eastern areas (east of Knox).  Sunday will be interesting.  At least I'll be home and can check my temperature every 5 minutes.   ::rofl::
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Offline pirates1

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Re: Winter 2018-19
« Reply #557 on: December 06, 2018, 05:57:00 AM »
Should the translation be donít hold out on that three day weekend (Williamson County)?

Offline Michael

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Re: Winter 2018-19
« Reply #558 on: December 06, 2018, 06:08:49 AM »
The latest Canadian, Euro and NAM all showing at least 6Ē+ IMBY. Euro and Canadian showing about 10-12Ē.

GFS only showing 1-2Ē. I think Iím leaning towards the GFS.


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Offline Dyersburg Weather

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Re: Winter 2018-19
« Reply #559 on: December 06, 2018, 07:01:30 AM »
Latest Euro and GFS have cut way back on snow for northern Arkansas.

Offline JayCee

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Re: Winter 2018-19
« Reply #560 on: December 06, 2018, 07:08:01 AM »
The latest Canadian, Euro and NAM all showing at least 6Ē+ IMBY. Euro and Canadian showing about 10-12Ē.

GFS only showing 1-2Ē. I think Iím leaning towards the GFS.


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I think this will be a nowcasting situation on Sunday.  Many areas could suddenly switch to heavy snow and it may stay as snow.  So close--and east TN has so many "micro-climates" that come into play with all the valleys, ridges and mountains.

NAM shows most of the east TN Valley in the upper 30's Sunday morning, but dropping slowly during the day as a northeast wind kicks in.  Even Knoxville ends the day slightly below freezing.   Tri-Cities drops from 37 to the upper 20's fairly quickly during the day.  What will be falling?  Sleet, freezing rain, snow?  All the above?  Will it switch to snow before we even get down to freezing?  Going to be a fun day to watch, whatever happens.  Just hope by Monday most here on the board have a reason to celebrate. 
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
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Offline Charles L.

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Re: Winter 2018-19
« Reply #561 on: December 06, 2018, 07:12:01 AM »
To avoid confusion, do you all mind to post discussions about the upcoming threat in the thread I created this morning? Thanks!
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Offline JayCee

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Re: Winter 2018-19
« Reply #562 on: December 06, 2018, 07:17:28 AM »
To avoid confusion, do you all mind to post discussions about the upcoming threat in the thread I created this morning? Thanks!

I'm so wound up over a possible snow, I may start posting in the summer thread, accidently.   ;D
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
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Online snowdog

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Re: Winter 2018-19
« Reply #563 on: December 07, 2018, 10:21:50 AM »
That bowling bowl that has been showing up at the end of the last few Euro runs have me....interested.  ::pondering::

Offline Michael

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Re: Winter 2018-19
« Reply #564 on: December 07, 2018, 10:23:35 AM »
That bowling bowl that has been showing up at the end of the last few Euro runs have me....interested.  ::pondering::
I havenít even been looking past Monday lol. I need to look at that.


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Offline BRUCE

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Re: Winter 2018-19
« Reply #565 on: December 07, 2018, 11:07:14 AM »
That bowling bowl that has been showing up at the end of the last few Euro runs have me....interested.  ::pondering::
yeah. Me too... now since I looked at euro longer range .... like see center the slp 100
Miles further south... but holy Jesus Batman... what system...

Post Merge: December 07, 2018, 12:53:36 PM
Wow. Euro sure going be extremely active late next week  ::coffee::
« Last Edit: December 07, 2018, 12:53:36 PM by BRUCE, Reason: Merged DoublePost »
Come on severe wx season...

Offline mamMATTus

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Re: Winter 2018-19
« Reply #566 on: December 07, 2018, 07:04:56 PM »
yeah. Me too... now since I looked at euro longer range .... like see center the slp 100
Miles further south... but holy Jesus Batman... what system...

Post Merge: December 07, 2018, 12:53:36 PM
Wow. Euro sure going be extremely active late next week  ::coffee::

I thought we were supposes to  ::blowtorch:: for a while after this weekend's system?

Offline StormNine

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Re: Winter 2018-19
« Reply #567 on: December 07, 2018, 07:26:51 PM »
It does look like that my Mid to Late December blowtorch is going to be more of a relaxation of the pattern.

There are signs that a strat warming event is may begin to set up during our relaxation, I don't know if I would call it a full torch.  If that is the case with a potential +PNA and El-Nino Climatology, winter could deal quite a bit of damage (fun for most of us) across the Eastern USA in January-February.   

Offline JayCee

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Re: Winter 2018-19
« Reply #568 on: December 07, 2018, 09:28:28 PM »
It does look like that my Mid to Late December blowtorch is going to be more of a relaxation of the pattern.

There are signs that a strat warming event is may begin to set up during our relaxation, I don't know if I would call it a full torch.  If that is the case with a potential +PNA and El-Nino Climatology, winter could deal quite a bit of damage (fun for most of us) across the Eastern USA in January-February.

I'm impressed with the number/strength of storms showing up--one right after the other.  All we need is more cold air, and we are in business.  Jan-Feb may be the winter we've all been waiting for.
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline Clint

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Re: Winter 2018-19
« Reply #569 on: December 08, 2018, 11:09:49 AM »
Looks like another system for late next week with marginal temps.


 

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