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Author Topic: Spring 2018  (Read 63875 times)

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Offline JayCee

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Re: Spring 2018
« Reply #195 on: April 06, 2018, 07:23:05 AM »
The GFS, CMC, and NAM all have a nice shot of winter wx moving across northern sections of middle TN tomorrow morning.

Here is the 6z 3km NAM (Attachment Link) (Attachment Link) (Attachment Link)

I noticed the NAM even changes precipitation to snow in the central valley around Knoxville.  MRX, however, isn't biting.  Only mentions that far northeast TN and southwest Virginia may see some snow. 
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
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Online BRUCE

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Re: Spring 2018
« Reply #196 on: April 06, 2018, 08:01:31 AM »
You say that every week though
im just going by what Iím seeing on models ... canít promise it
Come on severe wx season...

Offline Dyersburg Weather

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Re: Spring 2018
« Reply #197 on: April 06, 2018, 10:02:11 AM »
12z NAM


Offline schneitzeit

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Re: Spring 2018
« Reply #198 on: April 06, 2018, 10:42:29 AM »
Like myself, many of you should admit that you want to see some April snow  ::snowman::

Online Eric

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Re: Spring 2018
« Reply #199 on: April 06, 2018, 11:27:13 AM »
Like myself, many of you should admit that you want to see some April snow  ::snowman::

I will admit that we changed our plans for tomorrow.  Originally, we were going to head S towards Columbia to look at potential homes but have decided instead to take a trip N up through a Mt Juliet/Lebanon/Hartsville/Lafayette corridor due to the ideas of experiencing some wet snow showers.  But dammit, this is it.  This ::poo:: has got to stop.
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Offline mamMATTus

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Re: Spring 2018
« Reply #200 on: April 06, 2018, 11:28:45 AM »
As much as I love snow, keep that white crap out of here. Itís spring now and I want storms.

Offline Drifter49

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Re: Spring 2018
« Reply #201 on: April 06, 2018, 11:29:38 AM »
Like myself, many of you should admit that you want to see some April snow  ::snowman::

Iím not going to hide the fact that I do.


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Bring on the snow baby!!!

Offline Curt

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Re: Spring 2018
« Reply #202 on: April 06, 2018, 11:53:01 AM »
im just going by what Iím seeing on models ... canít promise it

Looking at the most accurate model this far out the EURO...the only severe weather threat I can see is a week from tomorrow. Cape is not high in general and timing doesn't look good verbatim. As modeled, I would not call this anything of significance although we know this is far out.

Per Euro control days 10-15, looks like wash, rinse and repeat with a quick warm up, storms, then cool down. Caveat is margin of error this far out.

Post Merge: April 06, 2018, 11:54:08 AM
Just the rarity of frozen precip in April is pretty cool. I am ready for sunny and highs of 70 and lows of 50 for couple months before the heat arrives.

Offline Charles L.

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Re: Spring 2018
« Reply #203 on: April 06, 2018, 12:45:04 PM »
Of course since I love snow I am excited about the idea of seeing snow flying tomorrow! ::snowman::
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Offline StormNine

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Re: Spring 2018
« Reply #204 on: April 06, 2018, 01:37:18 PM »
The 12Z runs continue to renew some interest in tonight and tomorrow morning for KY and adjacent areas of TN.

Offline Dyersburg Weather

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Re: Spring 2018
« Reply #205 on: April 06, 2018, 01:59:24 PM »
The Latest HRRR has the front moving at a snails pace across northern Arkansas , the boot heel and Kentucky.




Post Merge: April 06, 2018, 03:27:38 PM
A lot more of the state just got NAM'd at 18z
« Last Edit: April 06, 2018, 03:27:38 PM by Dyersburg Weather, Reason: Merged DoublePost »

Offline Michael

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Re: Spring 2018
« Reply #206 on: April 06, 2018, 03:43:26 PM »
NAM 18z  ::popcorn::

Northern Valley  ::whistling:: (we're in the "blue"!)
Even has 3" up here in Kingsport  ::pondering::

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« Last Edit: April 06, 2018, 03:46:49 PM by Michael »

Offline Curt

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Re: Spring 2018
« Reply #207 on: April 06, 2018, 03:55:39 PM »
3k 18z nam actually has some decent sleet accumulations (for April ) from central and northeast Arkansas into west TN that might even be WWA worthy tomorrow morning.

Offline Curt

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Re: Spring 2018
« Reply #208 on: April 06, 2018, 04:00:42 PM »
Memphis actually took the majority of the forecast zones out of winter precip for tomorrow am. Someone a little conservative hit the forecast button here for tonight with lows almost to the upper 30ís while every model takes them to freezing.

Online BRUCE

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Re: Spring 2018
« Reply #209 on: April 06, 2018, 04:58:26 PM »
Memphis actually took the majority of the forecast zones out of winter precip for tomorrow am. Someone a little conservative hit the forecast button here for tonight with lows almost to the upper 30ís while every model takes them to freezing.
they are not simply buying it... guess i cant blame them in a way... being so late  season...
Come on severe wx season...

 

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