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Author Topic: Spring 2018  (Read 63872 times)

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Offline Curt

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Re: Spring 2018
« Reply #180 on: April 05, 2018, 06:18:41 AM »
What days is it showing for mid Tennessee?
Looking at the euro control(which is the unperturbed eps, there is a brief warm up to well above normal around day 9 as another cold air mass comes into the central US. Looks like a training got heavy rain as it creeps east and a window for severe. After it shows well below normal temps again. In fact the vast majority is below normal and if it’s correct wouldn’t be surprised for another potential freeze at some point mid April.

Keep in mind, below normal is getting warmer as we move through each week. Overall though it the EPS is right this is not a score her pattern. More like cool to cold for this time of year followed by a brief above normal period and possible heavy rainfall or severe.

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: Spring 2018
« Reply #181 on: April 05, 2018, 09:53:03 AM »
Overall though it the EPS is right this is not a score her pattern.

A score her pattern?  ::pondering::


Offline Curt

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Spring 2018
« Reply #182 on: April 05, 2018, 10:13:26 AM »
Lol oops stupid spellcheck. Have no idea what that was actually supposed to be now so will just leave it

Offline JHart

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Re: Spring 2018
« Reply #183 on: April 05, 2018, 11:22:04 AM »
Lol oops stupid spellcheck. Have no idea what that was actually supposed to be now so will just leave it

I am guessing "scorcher pattern" based on context.  My Title IX training prevents any further comments. ::whistling::
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Offline Dyersburg Weather

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Re: Spring 2018
« Reply #184 on: April 05, 2018, 11:25:06 AM »
If this was a couple months ago we would be jumping for joy. Absolutely perfect track for a Tennessee winter storm


Offline Drifter49

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Re: Spring 2018
« Reply #185 on: April 05, 2018, 11:27:40 AM »
If this was a couple months ago we would be jumping for joy. Absolutely perfect track for a Tennessee winter storm



Not too far north there are watches out.


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Offline JayCee

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Re: Spring 2018
« Reply #186 on: April 05, 2018, 12:22:00 PM »
Very dry air around today, with some dewpoints falling into the teens along the foothills.  it's certainly not the normal spring-time feel to the air outside.   
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Online StormNine

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Re: Spring 2018
« Reply #187 on: April 05, 2018, 08:34:46 PM »
The latest models have really weakened the overall system and backed off the snow amounts.  With warm ground temperatures, no heavier bands equal no significant accumulation.  The current 18Z run shows less than 1 inch for Henderson KY when it showed over 6 inches this time yesterday.

To be honest, I would not mind seeing this system fizzle out, I am a 4 seasons man and although I love snow and cooler weather I think it is time for winter to exit stage left. 

Offline Dyersburg Weather

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Re: Spring 2018
« Reply #188 on: April 06, 2018, 06:06:32 AM »
Not going to amount to anything but all models now have frozen precipitation and temps of around 30 degrees for NW Tn. Just your normal April 7th.  ::lookaround::

Offline Curt

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Re: Spring 2018
« Reply #189 on: April 06, 2018, 06:28:49 AM »
Not going to amount to anything but all models now have frozen precipitation and temps of around 30 degrees for NW Tn. Just your normal April 7th.  ::lookaround::


Offline BRUCE

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Re: Spring 2018
« Reply #190 on: April 06, 2018, 06:30:39 AM »
And we get back to normal April end next week still like severe weather chance... something to watch
Come on severe wx season...

Offline Charles L.

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Re: Spring 2018
« Reply #191 on: April 06, 2018, 07:12:25 AM »
And we get back to normal April end next week still like severe weather chance... something to watch

You say that every week though
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Offline Curt

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Re: Spring 2018
« Reply #192 on: April 06, 2018, 07:13:41 AM »
You say that every week though

Since March. And at some point we will have severe weather in between the cool downs. Shoot in the dark and you will eventually hit.

Offline JayCee

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Re: Spring 2018
« Reply #193 on: April 06, 2018, 07:13:59 AM »
We got down to 30 yesterday morning, and down to 34 this morning here in the foothills.  Little damage noted on the trees.  Japanese maples are leafed out, albeit not fully, and the hickories and some red oaks have open buds.  Saturday night looks worrisome with some mid to upper 20's expected.  Not good. 

At least two other chances for frosts or freezes before the pattern finally changes.  What a dismal spring this is turning out to be. 
« Last Edit: April 06, 2018, 07:20:14 AM by JayCee »
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Offline Charles L.

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Re: Spring 2018
« Reply #194 on: April 06, 2018, 07:20:09 AM »
The GFS, CMC, and NAM all have a nice shot of winter wx moving across northern sections of middle TN tomorrow morning.

Here is the 6z 3km NAM [ Guests cannot view attachments ] [ Guests cannot view attachments ] [ Guests cannot view attachments ]

[ Guests cannot view attachments ]
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