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Author Topic: Subtropical Storm Alberto  (Read 519 times)

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Offline cgauxknox

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Subtropical Storm Alberto
« on: May 23, 2018, 07:37:37 AM »
Forecasts continue to show a high likelihood of Invest 90L developing at least into a Tropical Depression for Memorial Day weekend.  Regardless of development it seems certain that Florida and the Southeast as a whole are going to see several days of heavy rain from the system, which will be responsible for the likely washout of Memorial Day weekend in Tennessee.  Considering the sinkhole issues Florida is already experiencing from recent rainfall a heavy rain tropical event could lead to serious concerns there, and lots of ruined cookouts and lake days here.

On another, far more important, note, take some time in the coming weekend to remember and honor the sacrifice of those who gave their lives in service to our country.  ::flag::
« Last Edit: May 25, 2018, 10:53:31 AM by Thundersnow »

Offline BRUCE

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Re: Memorial Day 2018 Tropical Threat
« Reply #1 on: May 23, 2018, 08:11:47 AM »
Forecasts continue to show a high likelihood of Invest 90L developing at least into a Tropical Depression for Memorial Day weekend.  Regardless of development it seems certain that Florida and the Southeast as a whole are going to see several days of heavy rain from the system, which will be responsible for the likely washout of Memorial Day weekend in Tennessee.  Considering the sinkhole issues Florida is already experiencing from recent rainfall a heavy rain tropical event could lead to serious concerns there, and lots of ruined cookouts and lake days here.

On another, far more important, note, take some time in the coming weekend to remember and honor the sacrifice of those who gave their lives in service to our country.  ::flag::
semper fi.... ::flag::
Come on severe wx season...

Offline cgauxknox

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Re: Memorial Day 2018 Tropical Threat
« Reply #2 on: May 23, 2018, 02:05:48 PM »
Just checked the latest NHC posting and they're putting 5 day chances of development at 60%.  That includes sub-tropical or tropical storm status, so we're probably not looking at a tropical storm, but the threat here is as a rainmaker.

Offline memphishogfan

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Re: Memorial Day 2018 Tropical Threat
« Reply #3 on: May 23, 2018, 03:02:01 PM »
If we have +100 degree days with high humidity, I will give up.

Hopefully this will keep us in the mid 90's for most of June.

Offline cgauxknox

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Re: Memorial Day 2018 Tropical Threat
« Reply #4 on: May 25, 2018, 07:14:48 AM »
While Memorial Day weekend is obviously our priority right now for weather this thread may not be named properly as NHC is now expecting a high probability of a tropical or subtropical depression to form over the weekend.  From an article on TWC, "This system may become trapped over the South, maintaining the tropical moisture fetch into the Southeast well into next week."  It looks like we may be in for a long haul of tropical downpours from this one.  ::drowning::  Good thing we got new kayaks last weekend  ::whistling::

Offline dwagner88

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Re: Memorial Day 2018 Tropical Threat
« Reply #5 on: May 25, 2018, 10:17:51 AM »
Time for a thread title update. We officially have “subtropical” storm Alberto. Evidently there must be some frontogenesis happening with it.
Winter 2009-10 Snowfall: 11.5 in. :)
Winter 2010-11 Snowfall: 15.5 in. :)
Winter 2011-12: Trace
Winter 2012-2013: 0.25 in.
Winter 2013-14: 10.6 (9.5 on 2/12)
Winter 2014-2015:
2/18 - 0.25" snow
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Offline cgauxknox

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Re: Memorial Day 2018 Tropical Threat
« Reply #6 on: May 25, 2018, 11:31:39 AM »
Time for a thread title update. We officially have “subtropical” storm Alberto. Evidently there must be some frontogenesis happening with it.
Thanks for catching the official naming and getting the update in!

Offline Dyersburg Weather

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Re: Subtropical Storm Alberto
« Reply #7 on: May 25, 2018, 12:57:25 PM »
Forecast track has moved west.


Offline cgauxknox

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Re: Subtropical Storm Alberto
« Reply #8 on: May 25, 2018, 01:02:01 PM »
They're now saying there is a chance it will reach hurricane strength before landfall on Monday but that it won't really matter as the real risk is flooding rains inland as far as north of Atlanta.  I'm guessing we'll see the track wobble some more before they really get confident in where it's going, but much of the Southeast will have a flood threat through this time next week regardless of the exact eye path.

Offline Skillsweather

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Re: Subtropical Storm Alberto
« Reply #9 on: May 25, 2018, 03:52:32 PM »
This is so good for us in Tennessee to get a solid rain for everybody. THe flooding looks to mainly be east Tn and south problem for us its just a break from this intense heat. Not everyone needs the rain but for those that do this is perfect for areawide coverage. No more droughts please
Snow, flood and storm lover.

 

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