* User

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.

Login with username, password and session length

Advertisement

* Current Watches/Warnings/Advisories for TN - Click the (+) Icon to the Right to see them ------>


Author Topic: January 15th - 16th Snow  (Read 44164 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Offline Curt

  • Administrator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 7,606
  • Location: Arlington, TN(Memphis suburb)
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 292
Re: January 15th - 16th Snow
« Reply #60 on: January 14, 2018, 10:31:19 AM »
12z nam catching up on qpf? Almost consistent 0.1 to .20 amounts statewide. Some areas just south of Memphis are .25-.30. All of this falls behind the front in upper teens to low 20ís

Offline mempho

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 3,642
  • Location: Collierville
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 405
Re: January 15th - 16th Snow
« Reply #61 on: January 14, 2018, 10:46:25 AM »
Jealousy gets you nowhere in life...
Truth- it's not always easy, though.  Misery loves company. 

Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk



Put on my big snow boots and
I boarded the plane
Touched down in the land of the Delta Blues
In the middle of the freezing rain

Snow up high
Won't you pour down over me
Yeah, I got some accretion
But I'm as blue as a boy can be

Offline mempho

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 3,642
  • Location: Collierville
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 405
Re: January 15th - 16th Snow
« Reply #62 on: January 14, 2018, 10:48:19 AM »
12z nam catching up on qpf? Almost consistent 0.1 to .20 amounts statewide. Some areas just south of Memphis are .25-.30. All of this falls behind the front in upper teens to low 20ís
Verbatim - that would be a really nice event, especially with the higher ratios and perhaps some existing snow cover out there. 

Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk



Put on my big snow boots and
I boarded the plane
Touched down in the land of the Delta Blues
In the middle of the freezing rain

Snow up high
Won't you pour down over me
Yeah, I got some accretion
But I'm as blue as a boy can be

Offline JayCee

  • Global Moderator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 3,037
  • Location: East Sevier County
  • Still a wxfreak
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 900
Re: January 15th - 16th Snow
« Reply #63 on: January 14, 2018, 11:08:29 AM »
12z nam catching up on qpf? Almost consistent 0.1 to .20 amounts statewide. Some areas just south of Memphis are .25-.30. All of this falls behind the front in upper teens to low 20ís

While not a snow "storm," this would be an enjoyable event statewide, and most of it falls during daylight hours.  However, travel conditions will be pretty nasty since the cold will make it difficult to treat the roads.  This snow will stick from the very first flake. 
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline schneitzeit

  • Supercell
  • *****
  • Posts: 727
  • Location: Knoxville
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 545
Re: January 15th - 16th Snow
« Reply #64 on: January 14, 2018, 11:44:31 AM »
Jealousy gets you nowhere in life...

Wise words, I'll take note  ::blowtorch::

Offline Charles L.

  • Global Moderator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 8,887
  • Location: Macon County, TN
  • Twitter:
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 1804
Re: January 15th - 16th Snow
« Reply #65 on: January 14, 2018, 11:55:23 AM »
I am very curious to see what the Euro shows today.
Mobile chat link:

http://tennesseewx.com/arrowchat/public/mobile/

SumnerSevereWx and MaconSevereWx #tSpotter Coordinator

Offline Adam

Re: January 15th - 16th Snow
« Reply #66 on: January 14, 2018, 11:58:06 AM »
All computer models showing an uptick in snowfall totals, still waiting on the Euro. One impressive thing that stands out is how saturated the atmosphere will be with temperatures this cold. I think the question is not whether or not its going to snow, but just how much at this point.
AND A LOT CAN CHANGE BETWEEN NOW AND THEN.

Offline pirates1

  • Thunderstorm
  • ***
  • Posts: 158
  • Location: Spring Hill Williamson county
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 11
Re: January 15th - 16th Snow
« Reply #67 on: January 14, 2018, 11:58:33 AM »
From what Nashville Severe Weather says in their blog leads me to think this system is nothing to worry about all.  They say all of the models show less (much less) than an inch. 

Offline Dyersburg Weather

  • Global Moderator
  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 1,920
  • Location: North of 40
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 505
Re: January 15th - 16th Snow
« Reply #68 on: January 14, 2018, 12:00:53 PM »
From what Nashville Severe Weather says in their blog leads me to think this system is nothing to worry about all.  They say all of the models show less (much less) than an inch.
Needs to update his blog imo. He could be correct but models at this point are trending better.

Offline Curt

  • Administrator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 7,606
  • Location: Arlington, TN(Memphis suburb)
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 292
January 15th - 16th Snow
« Reply #69 on: January 14, 2018, 12:06:48 PM »
Euro is actually increasing qpf



KMem for the win?
« Last Edit: January 14, 2018, 12:08:45 PM by Curt »

Offline Charles L.

  • Global Moderator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 8,887
  • Location: Macon County, TN
  • Twitter:
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 1804
Re: January 15th - 16th Snow
« Reply #70 on: January 14, 2018, 12:18:13 PM »
From Pivotal Weather, here is what each model is showing QPF wise for Nashville:

CMC: .14"
RGEM: .10"
GFS: .09"
12km NAM: .16"
3km NAM: .07"
EURO (not available on PW, but from what Curt posted): at least .10"

Each of these models show a Winter Wx Advisory level event for Nashville. The GFS is meager with moisture south of I-40, where as the 3km NAM is meager with moisture across the northern and NW sections of middle TN.
« Last Edit: January 14, 2018, 12:20:09 PM by Charles L. »
Mobile chat link:

http://tennesseewx.com/arrowchat/public/mobile/

SumnerSevereWx and MaconSevereWx #tSpotter Coordinator

Offline Dyersburg Weather

  • Global Moderator
  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 1,920
  • Location: North of 40
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 505
Re: January 15th - 16th Snow
« Reply #71 on: January 14, 2018, 12:20:13 PM »
Euro is actually increasing qpf



KMem for the win?
Was about to post same map. Best run yet. Verbatim with awesome ratios almost everyone would get 1-4 inches.

Offline justinmundie

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 6,638
  • Location: North Nashville, Cumberland Gardens
  • Twitter:
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 353
Re: January 15th - 16th Snow
« Reply #72 on: January 14, 2018, 12:28:58 PM »
This is not a normal southern snow situation. People will be surprised.

Offline jbmac25

  • Sunny
  • *
  • Posts: 15
  • Location:
  • Twitter:
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 18
Re: January 15th - 16th Snow
« Reply #73 on: January 14, 2018, 12:32:58 PM »
This is not a normal southern snow situation. People will be surprised.

Justin, can you be more specific as to why that is?

Offline Nashville_Wx

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 4,233
  • Location: Bellevue,TN
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 100
Re: January 15th - 16th Snow
« Reply #74 on: January 14, 2018, 12:34:13 PM »
This is not a normal southern snow situation. People will be surprised.

Yup, its a "dont ya know eh" system instead of a system from the south. It might produce a snowflake instead of everything in between.


 

Advertisement